Archer Daniels Midland Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy

ADM Stock

USD 53.13 0.06 0.11%

Archer Daniels' odds of distress is less than 5% at the moment. It is unlikely to undergo any financial hardship in the next 24 months. Archer Daniels' Odds of distress is determined by interpolating and adjusting Archer Altman Z Score to account for off-balance-sheet items and missing or unfiled public information. All items used in analyzing the odds of distress are taken from the Archer balance sheet, as well as cash flow and income statements available from the company's most recent filings. Check out Archer Daniels Piotroski F Score and Archer Daniels Altman Z Score analysis.

As of the 25th of November 2024, Market Cap is likely to grow to about 26.7 B. Also, Enterprise Value is likely to grow to about 30 B

Archer Daniels Midland Company odds of distress Analysis

Archer Daniels' Probability Of Bankruptcy is a relative measure of the likelihood of financial distress. For stocks, the Probability Of Bankruptcy is the normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs, it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within the next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100, indicating the firm's actual probability it will be financially distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.

Probability Of Bankruptcy

Normalized

Z-Score

More About Probability Of Bankruptcy | All Equity Analysis

Current Archer Daniels Probability Of Bankruptcy

Less than 5%

Most of Archer Daniels' fundamental indicators, such as Probability Of Bankruptcy, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, Archer Daniels Midland is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.

Our calculation of Archer Daniels probability of bankruptcy is based on Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score, but not limited to these measures. To be applied to a broader range of industries and markets, we use several other techniques to enhance the accuracy of predicting Archer Daniels odds of financial distress. These include financial statement analysis, different types of price predictions, earning estimates, analysis consensus, and basic intrinsic valuation. Please use the options below to get a better understanding of different measures that drive the calculation of Archer Daniels Midland financial health.

Is Agricultural Products & Services space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Archer Daniels. If investors know Archer will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Archer Daniels listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.

Quarterly Earnings Growth

(0.42)

Earnings Share

3.56

Revenue Per Share

171.202

Quarterly Revenue Growth

(0.12)

Return On Assets

0.0342

The market value of Archer Daniels Midland is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Archer that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Archer Daniels' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Archer Daniels' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Archer Daniels' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Archer Daniels' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.

	Total Assets	Total Stockholder Equity	Net Debt	Retained Earnings	Net Receivables	Total Liab	Total Current Assets	Short Term Debt	Accounts Payable	Short Term Investments	Common Stock	Long Term Debt	Property Plant Equipment	Good Will	Intangible Assets	Treasury Stock	Net Tangible Assets	Current Deferred Revenue	Long Term Debt Total	Deferred Long Term Liab	Long Term Investments	Accumulated Depreciation	Short Long Term Debt	Cash And Equivalents	Net Invested Capital	Net Working Capital	Capital Stock
Total Assets		0.96	0.72	0.76	0.91	0.99	0.97	0.32	0.9	-0.03	-0.36	0.84	0.83	0.59	0.6	-0.58	0.5	0.43	0.43	0.35	0.26	-0.69	0.38	0.21	-0.02	0.51	0.42
Total Stockholder Equity	0.96		0.73	0.73	0.89	0.91	0.92	0.32	0.85	0.0	-0.26	0.77	0.93	0.49	0.48	-0.5	0.53	0.29	0.32	0.39	0.19	-0.62	0.27	0.22	0.02	0.42	0.33
Net Debt	0.72	0.73		0.61	0.53	0.69	0.64	0.67	0.54	-0.06	-0.29	0.8	0.68	0.51	0.48	-0.49	0.41	-0.04	0.43	0.29	0.41	-0.69	0.56	0.14	-0.02	0.41	0.36
Retained Earnings	0.76	0.73	0.61		0.77	0.75	0.66	0.11	0.79	0.43	-0.59	0.86	0.71	0.89	0.86	-0.8	0.5	0.41	0.6	0.49	0.38	-0.88	0.34	0.44	0.14	0.7	0.71
Net Receivables	0.91	0.89	0.53	0.77		0.9	0.89	0.09	0.93	0.06	-0.3	0.72	0.74	0.64	0.63	-0.52	0.6	0.52	0.4	0.34	0.24	-0.66	0.19	0.15	0.13	0.57	0.52
Total Liab	0.99	0.91	0.69	0.75	0.9		0.96	0.31	0.9	-0.04	-0.42	0.86	0.75	0.64	0.65	-0.62	0.46	0.51	0.49	0.31	0.3	-0.72	0.43	0.19	-0.04	0.54	0.45
Total Current Assets	0.97	0.92	0.64	0.66	0.89	0.96		0.4	0.88	-0.07	-0.16	0.74	0.77	0.47	0.46	-0.4	0.5	0.36	0.34	0.24	0.13	-0.58	0.24	0.11	-0.03	0.49	0.4
Short Term Debt	0.32	0.32	0.67	0.11	0.09	0.31	0.4		0.11	-0.21	0.34	0.32	0.28	-0.06	-0.11	0.15	0.22	-0.47	0.05	-0.13	0.07	-0.22	0.24	-0.14	-0.07	0.11	0.11
Accounts Payable	0.9	0.85	0.54	0.79	0.93	0.9	0.88	0.11		0.14	-0.4	0.8	0.65	0.72	0.7	-0.59	0.6	0.56	0.58	0.44	0.14	-0.75	0.27	0.27	0.03	0.75	0.66
Short Term Investments	-0.03	0.0	-0.06	0.43	0.06	-0.04	-0.07	-0.21	0.14		-0.21	0.15	0.16	0.42	0.35	-0.23	0.38	-0.11	0.42	0.15	-0.06	-0.22	-0.19	0.24	0.3	0.39	0.55
Common Stock	-0.36	-0.26	-0.29	-0.59	-0.3	-0.42	-0.16	0.34	-0.4	-0.21		-0.63	-0.23	-0.74	-0.8	0.95	0.0	-0.66	-0.57	-0.48	-0.53	0.64	-0.6	-0.45	-0.05	-0.38	-0.32
Long Term Debt	0.84	0.77	0.8	0.86	0.72	0.86	0.74	0.32	0.8	0.15	-0.63		0.66	0.83	0.82	-0.8	0.46	0.38	0.75	0.4	0.41	-0.9	0.56	0.51	0.03	0.72	0.63
Property Plant Equipment	0.83	0.93	0.68	0.71	0.74	0.75	0.77	0.28	0.65	0.16	-0.23	0.66		0.4	0.38	-0.46	0.46	0.11	0.17	0.4	0.2	-0.5	0.19	0.2	0.1	0.22	0.19
Good Will	0.59	0.49	0.51	0.89	0.64	0.64	0.47	-0.06	0.72	0.42	-0.74	0.83	0.4		0.99	-0.85	0.44	0.54	0.8	0.42	0.49	-0.9	0.47	0.45	0.08	0.8	0.81
Intangible Assets	0.6	0.48	0.48	0.86	0.63	0.65	0.46	-0.11	0.7	0.35	-0.8	0.82	0.38	0.99		-0.89	0.34	0.63	0.76	0.39	0.53	-0.88	0.52	0.42	0.03	0.73	0.73
Treasury Stock	-0.58	-0.5	-0.49	-0.8	-0.52	-0.62	-0.4	0.15	-0.59	-0.23	0.95	-0.8	-0.46	-0.85	-0.89		-0.15	-0.64	-0.59	-0.53	-0.55	0.81	-0.62	-0.47	-0.05	-0.5	-0.44
Net Tangible Assets	0.5	0.53	0.41	0.5	0.6	0.46	0.5	0.22	0.6	0.38	0.0	0.46	0.46	0.44	0.34	-0.15		-0.04	0.55	0.36	0.21	-0.43	-0.03	0.14	0.54	0.64	0.68
Current Deferred Revenue	0.43	0.29	-0.04	0.41	0.52	0.51	0.36	-0.47	0.56	-0.11	-0.66	0.38	0.11	0.54	0.63	-0.64	-0.04		0.28	0.32	0.36	-0.5	0.44	0.18	-0.1	0.31	0.22
Long Term Debt Total	0.43	0.32	0.43	0.6	0.4	0.49	0.34	0.05	0.58	0.42	-0.57	0.75	0.17	0.8	0.76	-0.59	0.55	0.28		0.27	0.28	-0.7	0.37	0.56	0.15	0.85	0.82
Deferred Long Term Liab	0.35	0.39	0.29	0.49	0.34	0.31	0.24	-0.13	0.44	0.15	-0.48	0.4	0.4	0.42	0.39	-0.53	0.36	0.32	0.27		0.28	-0.46	0.23	0.16	0.04	0.35	0.34
Long Term Investments	0.26	0.19	0.41	0.38	0.24	0.3	0.13	0.07	0.14	-0.06	-0.53	0.41	0.2	0.49	0.53	-0.55	0.21	0.36	0.28	0.28		-0.54	0.74	0.01	0.21	0.09	0.16
Accumulated Depreciation	-0.69	-0.62	-0.69	-0.88	-0.66	-0.72	-0.58	-0.22	-0.75	-0.22	0.64	-0.9	-0.5	-0.9	-0.88	0.81	-0.43	-0.5	-0.7	-0.46	-0.54		-0.65	-0.46	-0.07	-0.75	-0.71
Short Long Term Debt	0.38	0.27	0.56	0.34	0.19	0.43	0.24	0.24	0.27	-0.19	-0.6	0.56	0.19	0.47	0.52	-0.62	-0.03	0.44	0.37	0.23	0.74	-0.65		0.13	-0.07	0.18	0.13
Cash And Equivalents	0.21	0.22	0.14	0.44	0.15	0.19	0.11	-0.14	0.27	0.24	-0.45	0.51	0.2	0.45	0.42	-0.47	0.14	0.18	0.56	0.16	0.01	-0.46	0.13		0.14	0.5	0.32
Net Invested Capital	-0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.14	0.13	-0.04	-0.03	-0.07	0.03	0.3	-0.05	0.03	0.1	0.08	0.03	-0.05	0.54	-0.1	0.15	0.04	0.21	-0.07	-0.07	0.14		0.16	0.17
Net Working Capital	0.51	0.42	0.41	0.7	0.57	0.54	0.49	0.11	0.75	0.39	-0.38	0.72	0.22	0.8	0.73	-0.5	0.64	0.31	0.85	0.35	0.09	-0.75	0.18	0.5	0.16		0.95
Capital Stock	0.42	0.33	0.36	0.71	0.52	0.45	0.4	0.11	0.66	0.55	-0.32	0.63	0.19	0.81	0.73	-0.44	0.68	0.22	0.82	0.34	0.16	-0.71	0.13	0.32	0.17	0.95

	2019	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024 (projected)
Return On Assets	0.0313	0.0356	0.0483	0.0726	0.0638	0.0529
Asset Turnover	1.58	1.47	1.29	1.7	1.72	1.2
Gross Profit Margin	0.0641	0.0692	0.0702	0.0743	0.08	0.1
Net Debt	9.0B	10.4B	9.6B	9.3B	8.2B	5.2B
Total Current Liabilities	13.7B	18.2B	21.9B	24.2B	18.7B	19.6B
Non Current Liabilities Total	11.0B	11.4B	11.4B	11.0B	11.5B	6.8B
Total Current Assets	21.3B	27.3B	31.9B	35.4B	29.8B	15.3B
Total Cash From Operating Activities	(5.5B)	(2.4B)	6.6B	3.5B	4.5B	4.7B

	Return On Equity	0.11
	Return On Asset	0.0342
	Profit Margin	0.03 %
	Operating Margin	0.02 %
	Current Valuation	35.99 B
	Shares Outstanding	478.53 M
	Shares Owned By Insiders	0.58 %
	Shares Owned By Institutions	80.00 %
	Number Of Shares Shorted	7.27 M
	Price To Earning	13.30 X
	Price To Book	1.16 X
	Price To Sales	0.29 X
	Revenue	93.94 B
	Gross Profit	7.57 B
	EBITDA	6.01 B
	Net Income	3.48 B
	Cash And Equivalents	1.04 B
	Cash Per Share	2.19 X
	Total Debt	9.6 B
	Debt To Equity	0.40 %
	Current Ratio	1.51 X
	Book Value Per Share	47.04 X
	Cash Flow From Operations	4.46 B
	Short Ratio	3.05 X
	Earnings Per Share	3.56 X
	Price To Earnings To Growth	16.43 X
	Target Price	59.19
	Number Of Employees	40.21 K
	Beta	0.72
	Market Capitalization	25.42 B
	Total Asset	54.63 B
	Retained Earnings	23.46 B
	Working Capital	11.11 B
	Current Asset	7.33 B
	Current Liabilities	4.56 B
	Annual Yield	0.04 %
	Five Year Return	2.80 %
	Net Asset	54.63 B

Archer Daniels Midland Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy

Archer Daniels Midland Company odds of distress Analysis

Probability Of Bankruptcy

Normalized

Z-Score

Current Archer Daniels Probability Of Bankruptcy

Archer Probability Of Bankruptcy Driver Correlations

Archer Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison

Archer Daniels Main Bankruptcy Drivers

Archer Daniels ESG Sustainability

Archer Fundamentals

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