Amtd Idea Group Stock Beneish M Score

AMTD Stock  USD 1.26  0.07  5.88%   
This module uses fundamental data of AMTD IDEA to approximate the value of its Beneish M Score. AMTD IDEA M Score tells investors if the company management is likely to be manipulating earnings. The score is calculated using eight financial indicators that are adjusted by a specific multiplier. Please note, the M Score is a probabilistic model and cannot detect companies that manipulate their earnings with 100% accuracy. Check out AMTD IDEA Piotroski F Score and AMTD IDEA Altman Z Score analysis.
  
At present, AMTD IDEA's Long Term Debt is projected to decrease significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Interest Debt Per Share is expected to grow to 2.26, whereas Net Debt is projected to grow to (22.5 M). At present, AMTD IDEA's Book Value Per Share is projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Free Cash Flow Yield is expected to grow to 0.39, whereas Dividend Yield is forecasted to decline to 0.06.
At this time, it appears that AMTD IDEA Group is a possible manipulator. The earnings manipulation may begin if AMTD IDEA's top management creates an artificial sense of financial success, forcing the stock price to be traded at a high price-earnings multiple than it should be. In general, excessive earnings management by AMTD IDEA executives may lead to removing some of the operating profits from subsequent periods to inflate earnings in the following periods. This way, the manipulation of AMTD IDEA's earnings can lead to misrepresentations of actual financial condition, taking the otherwise loyal stakeholders on to the path of questionable ethical practices and plain fraud.
-1.7
Beneish M Score - Possible Manipulator
Elasticity of Receivables

0.75

Focus
Asset Quality

1.02

Focus
Expense Coverage

0.57

Focus
Gross Margin Strengs

1.26

Focus
Accruals Factor

0.57

Focus
Depreciation Resistance

1.01

Focus
Net Sales Growth

1.67

Focus
Financial Leverage Condition

1.06

Focus

AMTD IDEA Beneish M-Score Indicator Trends

The cure to earnings manipulation is the transparency of financial reporting. It will typically remove the temptation of the top executives to inflate earnings (i.e., to promote the idea of 'winning at any cost'). Because a healthy internal audit department can enhance transparency, the board should promote the auditors' access to all the record-keeping systems across the enterprise. For example, if AMTD IDEA's auditors report directly to the board (not management), the managers will be reluctant to manipulate simply due to the fear of punishment. On the other hand, the auditors will be free to investigate the ledgers properly because they know that the board has their back.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Net Receivables1.3 B1.1 B
Fairly Up
Very volatile
Total Revenue204.3 M122.7 M
Way Up
Slightly volatile
Total Assets1.3 B1.5 B
Fairly Down
Pretty Stable
Total Current Assets114.2 M120.2 M
Notably Down
Pretty Stable
Non Current Assets Total269.7 M283.9 M
Notably Down
Slightly volatile
Property Plant Equipment117.7 K81.1 K
Way Up
Slightly volatile
Selling General Administrative10.9 M11.5 M
Notably Down
Slightly volatile
Total Current Liabilities149.2 M157.1 M
Notably Down
Slightly volatile
Non Current Liabilities Total140.8 M193 M
Way Down
Very volatile
Long Term Debt55.2 M30.4 M
Way Up
Slightly volatile
Operating Income98.7 M91.8 M
Notably Up
Pretty Stable
Total Cash From Operating Activities38 M40 M
Notably Down
Pretty Stable
Long Term Investments90.7 M95.4 M
Notably Down
Pretty Stable
Gross Profit Margin1.050.8363
Significantly Up
Pretty Stable

AMTD IDEA Group Beneish M-Score Driver Matrix

One of the toughest challenges investors face today is learning how to quickly synthesize historical financial statements and information provided by the company, SEC reporting, and various external parties in order to detect the potential manipulation of earnings. Understanding the correlation between AMTD IDEA's different financial indicators related to revenue, expenses, operating profit, and net earnings helps investors identify and prioritize their investing strategies towards AMTD IDEA in a much-optimized way. Analyzing correlations between earnings drivers directly associated with dollar figures is the most effective way to find AMTD IDEA's degree of accounting gimmicks and manipulations.

About AMTD IDEA Beneish M Score

M-Score is one of many grading techniques for value stocks. It was developed by Professor M. Daniel Beneish of the Kelley School of Business at Indiana University and published in 1999 under the paper titled The Detection of Earnings Manipulation. The Beneish score is a multi-factor model that utilizes financial identifiers to compile eight variables used to classify whether a company has manipulated its reported earnings. The variables are built from the officially filed financial statements to create a final score call 'M Score.' The score helps to identify companies that are likely to manipulate their profits if they show deteriorating gross margins, operating expenses, and leverage against growing revenue.

Depreciation And Amortization

2.75 Million

At present, AMTD IDEA's Depreciation And Amortization is projected to decrease significantly based on the last few years of reporting.

AMTD IDEA Earnings Manipulation Drivers

Although earnings manipulation is typically not the result of intentional misconduct by the c-level executives, it is still a widespread practice by the senior management of public companies such as AMTD IDEA. It is usually done by a series of misrepresentations of various accounting rules and operating activities across multiple financial cycles. The best way to spot the manipulation is to examine the historical financial statement to find inconsistencies in earning reports to find trends in assets or liabilities that are not sustainable in the future.
201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Net Receivables573.7M845.5M286.3M433.5M1.1B1.3B
Total Revenue151.0M141.5M177.6M22.4M122.7M204.3M
Total Assets1.1B1.4B857.7M1.1B1.5B1.3B
Total Current Assets98.4M58.6M67.5M138.2M120.2M114.2M
Net Debt(83.4M)(43.6M)(51.4M)(137.7M)(23.7M)(22.5M)
Short Term Debt40.8M30.0M49.9M(9.9M)66.2M101.2M
Operating Income125.7M114.2M154.8M17.3M91.8M98.7M
Investments(3.0B)(3.6B)(358.7M)(576.6M)(267.0M)(280.3M)

About AMTD IDEA Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze AMTD IDEA Group's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of AMTD IDEA using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of AMTD IDEA Group based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

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When determining whether AMTD IDEA Group is a strong investment it is important to analyze AMTD IDEA's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact AMTD IDEA's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding AMTD Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out AMTD IDEA Piotroski F Score and AMTD IDEA Altman Z Score analysis.
You can also try the Portfolio Manager module to state of the art Portfolio Manager to monitor and improve performance of your invested capital.
Is Asset Management & Custody Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of AMTD IDEA. If investors know AMTD will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about AMTD IDEA listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.44)
Earnings Share
2.22
Revenue Per Share
2.03
Quarterly Revenue Growth
1.192
Return On Assets
0.1204
The market value of AMTD IDEA Group is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of AMTD that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of AMTD IDEA's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is AMTD IDEA's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because AMTD IDEA's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect AMTD IDEA's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between AMTD IDEA's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if AMTD IDEA is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, AMTD IDEA's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.