Amtd Idea Group Stock Technical Analysis
| AMTD Stock | USD 1.03 0.01 0.98% |
As of the 18th of February 2026, AMTD IDEA shows the risk adjusted performance of 0.0385, and Mean Deviation of 2.18. AMTD IDEA Group technical analysis gives you the methodology to make use of historical prices and volume patterns to determine a pattern that approximates the direction of the firm's future prices. Please confirm AMTD IDEA Group variance, maximum drawdown, as well as the relationship between the Maximum Drawdown and semi variance to decide if AMTD IDEA Group is priced some-what accurately, providing market reflects its regular price of 1.03 per share. Given that AMTD IDEA is a hitting penny stock territory we recommend to closely look at its total risk alpha.
AMTD IDEA Momentum Analysis
Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as AMTD, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to AMTDAMTD IDEA's Momentum analyses are specifically helpful, as they help investors time the market using mark points where the market can reverse. The reversal spots are usually identified through divergence between price movement and momentum.AMTD IDEA Analyst Consensus
| Target Price | Consensus | # of Analysts | |
| 9.0 | Strong Sell | 0 | Odds |
Most AMTD analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand AMTD stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of AMTD IDEA Group, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to AMTD conference calls.
AMTD Analyst Advice DetailsWill Asset Management & Custody Banks sector continue expanding? Could AMTD diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of AMTD IDEA. If investors know AMTD will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every AMTD IDEA data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.74) | Earnings Share 0.72 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 1.168 | Return On Assets |
The market value of AMTD IDEA Group is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of AMTD that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of AMTD IDEA's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is AMTD IDEA's true underlying value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Because AMTD IDEA's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect AMTD IDEA's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Understanding that AMTD IDEA's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether AMTD IDEA represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. Meanwhile, AMTD IDEA's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.
AMTD IDEA 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to AMTD IDEA's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of AMTD IDEA.
| 11/20/2025 |
| 02/18/2026 |
If you would invest 0.00 in AMTD IDEA on November 20, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding AMTD IDEA Group or generate 0.0% return on investment in AMTD IDEA over 90 days. AMTD IDEA is related to or competes with Beneficient, Sizzle Acquisition, ETHZilla, Dune Acquisition, SHF Holdings, Terrestrial Energy, and Launch One. AMTD IDEA Group, an investment holding company, engages in investment banking activities in Hong Kong, Mainland China, t... More
AMTD IDEA Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure AMTD IDEA's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess AMTD IDEA Group upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 2.91 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0245 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 19.41 | |||
| Value At Risk | (3.96) | |||
| Potential Upside | 3.85 |
AMTD IDEA Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for AMTD IDEA's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as AMTD IDEA's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use AMTD IDEA historical prices to predict the future AMTD IDEA's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0385 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.1213 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.03) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0265 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.57) |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of AMTD IDEA's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
AMTD IDEA February 18, 2026 Technical Indicators
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0385 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.56) | |||
| Mean Deviation | 2.18 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.26 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 2.91 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 2548.86 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.16 | |||
| Variance | 9.98 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0245 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.1213 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.03) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0265 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.57) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 19.41 | |||
| Value At Risk | (3.96) | |||
| Potential Upside | 3.85 | |||
| Downside Variance | 8.49 | |||
| Semi Variance | 5.13 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (3.26) | |||
| Skewness | 1.5 | |||
| Kurtosis | 5.93 |
AMTD IDEA Group Backtested Returns
At this point, AMTD IDEA is relatively risky. AMTD IDEA Group secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.032, which signifies that the company had a 0.032 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-nine technical indicators for AMTD IDEA Group, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please confirm AMTD IDEA's mean deviation of 2.18, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0385 to double-check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0815%. AMTD IDEA has a performance score of 2 on a scale of 0 to 100. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.2, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning AMTD IDEA are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, AMTD IDEA is likely to outperform the market. AMTD IDEA Group currently shows a risk of 2.55%. Please confirm AMTD IDEA Group accumulation distribution, day typical price, as well as the relationship between the semi variance and maximum drawdown , to decide if AMTD IDEA Group will be following its price patterns.
Auto-correlation | -0.06 |
Very weak reverse predictability
AMTD IDEA Group has very weak reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between AMTD IDEA time series from 20th of November 2025 to 4th of January 2026 and 4th of January 2026 to 18th of February 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of AMTD IDEA Group price movement. The serial correlation of -0.06 indicates that barely 6.0% of current AMTD IDEA price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.06 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.08 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.0 |
AMTD IDEA technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
AMTD IDEA Group Technical Analysis
The output start index for this execution was ten with a total number of output elements of fifty-one. The Average True Range was developed by J. Welles Wilder in 1970s. It is one of components of the Welles Wilder Directional Movement indicators. The ATR is a measure of AMTD IDEA Group volatility. High ATR values indicate high volatility, and low values indicate low volatility.
About AMTD IDEA Technical Analysis
The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of AMTD IDEA Group on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of AMTD IDEA Group based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this company, focuses on AMTD IDEA Group price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding AMTD IDEA Group. By analyzing AMTD IDEA's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of AMTD IDEA's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to AMTD IDEA specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.
| 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.15 | 0.32 | 0.29 | 0.27 | Price To Sales Ratio | 0.15 | 0.25 | 0.29 | 0.27 |
AMTD IDEA February 18, 2026 Technical Indicators
Most technical analysis of AMTD help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for AMTD from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze AMTD charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0385 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.56) | |||
| Mean Deviation | 2.18 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.26 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 2.91 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 2548.86 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.16 | |||
| Variance | 9.98 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0245 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.1213 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.03) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0265 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.57) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 19.41 | |||
| Value At Risk | (3.96) | |||
| Potential Upside | 3.85 | |||
| Downside Variance | 8.49 | |||
| Semi Variance | 5.13 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (3.26) | |||
| Skewness | 1.5 | |||
| Kurtosis | 5.93 |
AMTD IDEA February 18, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators
Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as AMTD stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 407.77 | ||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.33 | ||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.01 | ||
| Day Median Price | 1.02 | ||
| Day Typical Price | 1.02 | ||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.02 |
Complementary Tools for AMTD Stock analysis
When running AMTD IDEA's price analysis, check to measure AMTD IDEA's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy AMTD IDEA is operating at the current time. Most of AMTD IDEA's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of AMTD IDEA's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move AMTD IDEA's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of AMTD IDEA to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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