This module uses fundamental data of American Vanguard to approximate the value of its Beneish M Score. American Vanguard M Score tells investors if the company management is likely to be manipulating earnings. The score is calculated using eight financial indicators that are adjusted by a specific multiplier. Please note, the M Score is a probabilistic model and cannot detect companies that manipulate their earnings with 100% accuracy. Check out American Vanguard Piotroski F Score and American Vanguard Altman Z Score analysis.
At present, American Vanguard's Net Debt is projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Short Term Debt is expected to grow to about 9 M, whereas Cash Flow To Debt Ratio is projected to grow to (0.31). At present, American Vanguard's Book Value Per Share is projected to increase based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's EV To Sales is expected to grow to 1.00, whereas PTB Ratio is forecasted to decline to 0.71.
At this time, it appears that American Vanguard is a possible manipulator. The earnings manipulation may begin if American Vanguard's top management creates an artificial sense of financial success, forcing the stock price to be traded at a high price-earnings multiple than it should be. In general, excessive earnings management by American Vanguard executives may lead to removing some of the operating profits from subsequent periods to inflate earnings in the following periods. This way, the manipulation of American Vanguard's earnings can lead to misrepresentations of actual financial condition, taking the otherwise loyal stakeholders on to the path of questionable ethical practices and plain fraud.
American Vanguard Beneish M-Score Indicator Trends
The cure to earnings manipulation is the transparency of financial reporting. It will typically remove the temptation of the top executives to inflate earnings (i.e., to promote the idea of 'winning at any cost'). Because a healthy internal audit department can enhance transparency, the board should promote the auditors' access to all the record-keeping systems across the enterprise. For example, if American Vanguard's auditors report directly to the board (not management), the managers will be reluctant to manipulate simply due to the fear of punishment. On the other hand, the auditors will be free to investigate the ledgers properly because they know that the board has their back.
One of the toughest challenges investors face today is learning how to quickly synthesize historical financial statements and information provided by the company, SEC reporting, and various external parties in order to detect the potential manipulation of earnings. Understanding the correlation between American Vanguard's different financial indicators related to revenue, expenses, operating profit, and net earnings helps investors identify and prioritize their investing strategies towards American Vanguard in a much-optimized way. Analyzing correlations between earnings drivers directly associated with dollar figures is the most effective way to find American Vanguard's degree of accounting gimmicks and manipulations.
M-Score is one of many grading techniques for value stocks. It was developed by Professor M. Daniel Beneish of the Kelley School of Business at Indiana University and published in 1999 under the paper titled The Detection of Earnings Manipulation. The Beneish score is a multi-factor model that utilizes financial identifiers to compile eight variables used to classify whether a company has manipulated its reported earnings. The variables are built from the officially filed financial statements to create a final score call 'M Score.' The score helps to identify companies that are likely to manipulate their profits if they show deteriorating gross margins, operating expenses, and leverage against growing revenue.
Other Operating Expenses
671.46 Million
At present, American Vanguard's Other Operating Expenses is projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting.
American Vanguard Earnings Manipulation Drivers
Although earnings manipulation is typically not the result of intentional misconduct by the c-level executives, it is still a widespread practice by the senior management of public companies such as American Vanguard. It is usually done by a series of misrepresentations of various accounting rules and operating activities across multiple financial cycles. The best way to spot the manipulation is to examine the historical financial statement to find inconsistencies in earning reports to find trends in assets or liabilities that are not sustainable in the future.
Some studies have found that companies with high sustainability scores are getting higher valuations than competitors with lower social-engagement activities. While most ESG disclosures are voluntary and do not directly affect the long term financial condition, American Vanguard's sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to American Vanguard's managers, analysts, and investors.
Environmental
Governance
Social
About American Vanguard Fundamental Analysis
The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze American Vanguard's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of American Vanguard using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of American Vanguard based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
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When determining whether American Vanguard is a strong investment it is important to analyze American Vanguard's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact American Vanguard's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding American Stock, refer to the following important reports:
For information on how to trade American Stock refer to our How to Trade American Stock guide.You can also try the Premium Stories module to follow Macroaxis premium stories from verified contributors across different equity types, categories and coverage scope.
Is Fertilizers & Agricultural Chemicals space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of American Vanguard. If investors know American will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about American Vanguard listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.18)
Dividend Share
0.03
Earnings Share
(1.04)
Revenue Per Share
19.807
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.21)
The market value of American Vanguard is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of American that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of American Vanguard's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is American Vanguard's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because American Vanguard's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect American Vanguard's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between American Vanguard's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if American Vanguard is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, American Vanguard's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.