American Vanguard Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| AVD Stock | USD 6.09 0.02 0.33% |
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding American Vanguard is 'Strong Sell'. Macroaxis provides American Vanguard buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding AVD positions.
Check out American Vanguard Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. For information on how to trade American Stock refer to our How to Trade American Stock guide. Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as American and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. American Vanguard. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in real.
American |
Execute American Vanguard Buy or Sell Advice
The American recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on American Vanguard. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in American Vanguard or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute American Vanguard's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Sell
Market Performance | Modest | Details | |
Volatility | Somewhat reliable | Details | |
Hype Condition | Over hyped | Details | |
Current Valuation | Undervalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Below Average | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Almost mirrors the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Impartial | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Strong Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Poor | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Possible Manipulator | Details |
American Vanguard Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| American Vanguard had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| American Vanguard has about 20.33 M in cash with (58.75 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.71. | |
| American Vanguard has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Over 77.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Disposition of 1114 shares by Bennett John Mason of American Vanguard at 10.28 subject to Rule 16b-3 |
American Vanguard Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of American Vanguard's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of American Vanguard's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of American Vanguard daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use American Vanguard price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of American Vanguard returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for American Vanguard.
| Mean Return | 0.25 | Value At Risk | -5.36 | Potential Upside | 7.08 | Standard Deviation | 3.23 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of American Vanguard historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
American Stock Institutional Investors
| Shares | Geode Capital Management, Llc | 2024-09-30 | 582 K | Hotchkis & Wiley Capital Management Llc | 2024-09-30 | 443.5 K | Kennedy Capital Management Inc | 2024-09-30 | 346.1 K | Citadel Advisors Llc | 2024-09-30 | 320.1 K | Jpmorgan Chase & Co | 2024-09-30 | 298.9 K | Jacobs Levy Equity Management, Inc. | 2024-09-30 | 271.2 K | Nuveen Asset Management, Llc | 2024-09-30 | 264.3 K | Royal Bank Of Canada | 2024-09-30 | 239.1 K | Northern Trust Corp | 2024-09-30 | 217.3 K | Blackrock Inc | 2024-09-30 | 2.1 M | Vanguard Group Inc | 2024-09-30 | 1.6 M |
American Vanguard Cash Flow Accounts
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | ||
| Change In Cash | 9.3M | 362K | 4.0M | (8.9M) | (8.0M) | (7.6M) | |
| Free Cash Flow | 77.9M | 77.3M | 42.6M | (70.8M) | (81.4M) | (77.4M) | |
| Depreciation | 19.9M | 22.2M | 22.1M | 23.5M | 27.1M | 28.4M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | (2.0M) | 5.8M | 5.6M | (8.7M) | (10.0M) | (9.5M) | |
| Capital Expenditures | 11.2M | 10.0M | 14.6M | 12.1M | 13.9M | 13.9M | |
| Net Income | 15.2M | 18.6M | 27.4M | 7.5M | 8.6M | 11.4M | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 15.9M | 16.3M | 20.3M | 11.4M | 13.1M | 6.7M | |
| Change To Inventory | 7.4M | 8.1M | (29.6M) | (27.3M) | (24.6M) | (23.4M) | |
| Dividends Paid | 1.2M | 2.4M | 2.8M | (3.4M) | (3.9M) | (3.7M) | |
| Change Receivables | (11.4M) | 15.6M | (24.3M) | (6.4M) | (7.4M) | (7.8M) | |
| Net Borrowings | 51.9M | (41.6M) | (55.6M) | (1M) | (900K) | (945K) | |
| Change To Netincome | 11.0M | 1.3M | 6.2M | 2.4M | 2.2M | 4.0M | |
| Investments | (35.8M) | (20.0M) | (14.5M) | (13.6M) | (12.3M) | (12.9M) |
American Vanguard Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to American Vanguard or Chemicals sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that American Vanguard's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a American stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.17 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.94 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.36 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.05 |
American Vanguard Volatility Alert
American Vanguard shows above-average downside volatility for the selected time horizon. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure American Vanguard's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact American Vanguard's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.American Vanguard Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing American Vanguard's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze American Vanguard's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between American Vanguard and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as American Vanguard or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of American Vanguard's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing American Vanguard by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare American Vanguard to competition |
| Fundamentals | American Vanguard | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | -0.0843 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | -0.0023 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | (0.05) % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | (0.17) % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 368.11 M | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 28.79 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 9.31 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 77.45 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 1.13 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 44.20 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 0.55 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 0.32 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 579.37 M | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 152.11 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 45.08 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 7.52 M | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 20.33 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 0.71 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 162.09 M | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 0.33 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 1.88 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 11.46 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | (58.75 M) | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 3.24 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | (1.04) X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 2.27 X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 14.0 | |
| Number Of Employees | 845 | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 0.88 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 174.74 M | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 767.55 M | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 332.9 M | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 201.53 M | 1.48 B |
Note: Disposition of 1114 shares by Bennett John Mason of American Vanguard at 10.28 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
American Vanguard Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as American . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 7388.26 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.0909 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 6.01 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 6.04 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.09 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.02 |
About American Vanguard Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell American Vanguard? Buying financial instruments such as American Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having American Vanguard in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
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You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Broad Market ETFs Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Check out American Vanguard Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. For information on how to trade American Stock refer to our How to Trade American Stock guide.You can also try the Price Exposure Probability module to analyze equity upside and downside potential for a given time horizon across multiple markets.
Is Fertilizers & Agricultural Chemicals space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of American Vanguard. If investors know American will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about American Vanguard listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.18) | Dividend Share 0.03 | Earnings Share (1.04) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.21) |
The market value of American Vanguard is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of American that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of American Vanguard's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is American Vanguard's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because American Vanguard's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect American Vanguard's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between American Vanguard's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if American Vanguard is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, American Vanguard's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.