American Express Cdr Stock Current Valuation

AXP Stock   29.62  0.36  1.23%   
Valuation analysis of American Express CDR helps investors to measure American Express' intrinsic value by examining its available valuation indicators, including the cash flow records, the balance sheet account changes and income statement patterns. At this time, American Express' Cash is very stable compared to the past year. As of the 21st of February 2026, Other Cashflows From Financing Activities is likely to grow to about 13.6 B, while Cash And Short Term Investments are likely to drop about 45.5 B.
Overvalued
Today
29.62
Please note that American Express' price fluctuation is very steady at this time. Calculation of the real value of American Express CDR is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing American Express' time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
Since American Express is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of American Stock. However, American Express' intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  29.62 Real  28.18 Hype  29.62 Naive  28.8
The intrinsic value of American Express' stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence American Express' stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
28.18
Real Value
29.75
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of American Express CDR helps investors to forecast how American stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of American Express more accurately as focusing exclusively on American Express' fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
14.1629.8945.61
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
28.0529.6231.19
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
27.2328.8030.37
Details
Understanding that American Express' value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether American Express represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. Meanwhile, American Express' quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.

American Express 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to American Express' stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of American Express.
0.00
11/23/2025
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 3 months and 1 day
02/21/2026
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in American Express on November 23, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding American Express CDR or generate 0.0% return on investment in American Express over 90 days. American Express is related to or competes with Visa, Mastercard, PayPal Holdings, Goeasy, Propel Holdings, and ECN Capital. American Express is entity of Canada. It is traded as Stock on TO exchange. More

American Express Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure American Express' stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess American Express CDR upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

American Express Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for American Express' investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as American Express' standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use American Express historical prices to predict the future American Express' volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
28.0529.6231.19
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
26.6128.1829.75
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
27.2328.8030.37
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
14.1629.8945.61
Details

American Express February 21, 2026 Technical Indicators

American Express CDR Backtested Returns

American Express CDR secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.0232, which signifies that the company had a -0.0232 % return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. American Express CDR exposes twenty-four different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm American Express' mean deviation of 1.23, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.01) to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 1.09, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. American Express returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, American Express is expected to follow. At this point, American Express CDR has a negative expected return of -0.0361%. Please make sure to confirm American Express' jensen alpha, accumulation distribution, relative strength index, as well as the relationship between the value at risk and day typical price , to decide if American Express CDR performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.62  

Very good reverse predictability

American Express CDR has very good reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between American Express time series from 23rd of November 2025 to 7th of January 2026 and 7th of January 2026 to 21st of February 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of American Express CDR price movement. The serial correlation of -0.62 indicates that roughly 62.0% of current American Express price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.62
Spearman Rank Test-0.57
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.79
Enterprise Value can be a useful tool to compare companies with different capital structures. Long term liability and current cash or cash equivalents can have a huge impact on market valuation of a given company.
Competition

In accordance with the recently published financial statements, American Express CDR has a Current Valuation of 0.0. This is 100.0% lower than that of the Financial Services sector and 100.0% lower than that of the Credit Services industry. The current valuation for all Canada stocks is 100.0% higher than that of the company.

American Current Valuation Peer Comparison

Stock peer comparison is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It analyses American Express' direct or indirect competition against its Current Valuation to detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics or determine the stocks which would be a good addition to a portfolio. Peer analysis of American Express could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing American Express by comparing valuation metrics of similar companies.
American Express is currently under evaluation in current valuation category among its peers.

American Fundamentals

About American Express Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze American Express CDR's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of American Express using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of American Express CDR based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

Pair Trading with American Express

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if American Express position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in American Express will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving together with American Stock

  0.85VISA Visa Inc CDRPairCorr
  0.82MA Mastercard CDRPairCorr
  0.96AXP AMERICAN EXPRESS CDRPairCorr

Moving against American Stock

  0.71PPL Pembina Pipeline Corp Earnings Call This WeekPairCorr
  0.65AMGN Amgen CDRPairCorr
  0.39HD Home Depot CDRPairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to American Express could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace American Express when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back American Express - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling American Express CDR to buy it.
The correlation of American Express is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as American Express moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if American Express CDR moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for American Express can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching

Other Information on Investing in American Stock

American Express financial ratios help investors to determine whether American Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in American with respect to the benefits of owning American Express security.