Caterpillar Stock Beneish M Score

CAT Stock  USD 395.86  6.27  1.61%   
This module uses fundamental data of Caterpillar to approximate the value of its Beneish M Score. Caterpillar M Score tells investors if the company management is likely to be manipulating earnings. The score is calculated using eight financial indicators that are adjusted by a specific multiplier. Please note, the M Score is a probabilistic model and cannot detect companies that manipulate their earnings with 100% accuracy. Check out Caterpillar Piotroski F Score and Caterpillar Altman Z Score analysis.
For more information on how to buy Caterpillar Stock please use our How to Invest in Caterpillar guide.
  
At this time, Caterpillar's Interest Debt Per Share is comparatively stable compared to the past year. Cash Flow To Debt Ratio is likely to gain to 0.36 in 2024, whereas Short and Long Term Debt Total is likely to drop slightly above 23.8 B in 2024. At this time, Caterpillar's EV To Sales is comparatively stable compared to the past year. Free Cash Flow Per Share is likely to gain to 20.14 in 2024, whereas Days Of Inventory On Hand is likely to drop 74.27 in 2024.
At this time, Caterpillar's M Score is unavailable. The earnings manipulation may begin if Caterpillar's top management creates an artificial sense of financial success, forcing the stock price to be traded at a high price-earnings multiple than it should be. In general, excessive earnings management by Caterpillar executives may lead to removing some of the operating profits from subsequent periods to inflate earnings in the following periods. This way, the manipulation of Caterpillar's earnings can lead to misrepresentations of actual financial condition, taking the otherwise loyal stakeholders on to the path of questionable ethical practices and plain fraud.
-2.84
Beneish M Score - Unavailable
Elasticity of Receivables

1.2

Focus
Asset Quality

1.26

Focus
Expense Coverage

1.12

Focus
Gross Margin Strengs

0.63

Focus
Accruals Factor

1.12

Focus
Depreciation Resistance

0.82

Focus
Net Sales Growth

0.53

Focus
Financial Leverage Condition

1.0

Focus

Caterpillar Beneish M-Score Indicator Trends

The cure to earnings manipulation is the transparency of financial reporting. It will typically remove the temptation of the top executives to inflate earnings (i.e., to promote the idea of 'winning at any cost'). Because a healthy internal audit department can enhance transparency, the board should promote the auditors' access to all the record-keeping systems across the enterprise. For example, if Caterpillar's auditors report directly to the board (not management), the managers will be reluctant to manipulate simply due to the fear of punishment. On the other hand, the auditors will be free to investigate the ledgers properly because they know that the board has their back.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Net Receivables12 B19.1 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Total Revenue35.3 B67.1 B
Way Down
Pretty Stable
Total Assets50.5 B87.5 B
Way Down
Pretty Stable
Total Current Assets24 B46.9 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Non Current Assets Total26.5 B40.5 B
Way Down
Very volatile
Property Plant EquipmentB13.8 B
Way Down
Pretty Stable
Depreciation And Amortization1.7 B2.1 B
Significantly Down
Very volatile
Selling General Administrative3.8 B6.4 B
Way Down
Pretty Stable
Total Current Liabilities17.8 B34.7 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Non Current Liabilities Total23.1 B33.2 B
Way Down
Pretty Stable
Net Debt20.6 B31.5 B
Way Down
Pretty Stable
Short Term Debt7.6 B13.6 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Long Term Debt21.9 B24.5 B
Fairly Down
Slightly volatile
Operating Income13.6 B13 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Total Cash From Operating Activities13.5 B12.9 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Long Term Investments10.3 B14.6 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Gross Profit Margin0.220.3497
Way Down
Pretty Stable

Caterpillar Beneish M-Score Driver Matrix

One of the toughest challenges investors face today is learning how to quickly synthesize historical financial statements and information provided by the company, SEC reporting, and various external parties in order to detect the potential manipulation of earnings. Understanding the correlation between Caterpillar's different financial indicators related to revenue, expenses, operating profit, and net earnings helps investors identify and prioritize their investing strategies towards Caterpillar in a much-optimized way. Analyzing correlations between earnings drivers directly associated with dollar figures is the most effective way to find Caterpillar's degree of accounting gimmicks and manipulations.

About Caterpillar Beneish M Score

M-Score is one of many grading techniques for value stocks. It was developed by Professor M. Daniel Beneish of the Kelley School of Business at Indiana University and published in 1999 under the paper titled The Detection of Earnings Manipulation. The Beneish score is a multi-factor model that utilizes financial identifiers to compile eight variables used to classify whether a company has manipulated its reported earnings. The variables are built from the officially filed financial statements to create a final score call 'M Score.' The score helps to identify companies that are likely to manipulate their profits if they show deteriorating gross margins, operating expenses, and leverage against growing revenue.

Other Operating Expenses

31.22 Billion

At this time, Caterpillar's Other Operating Expenses is comparatively stable compared to the past year.

Caterpillar Earnings Manipulation Drivers

Although earnings manipulation is typically not the result of intentional misconduct by the c-level executives, it is still a widespread practice by the senior management of public companies such as Caterpillar. It is usually done by a series of misrepresentations of various accounting rules and operating activities across multiple financial cycles. The best way to spot the manipulation is to examine the historical financial statement to find inconsistencies in earning reports to find trends in assets or liabilities that are not sustainable in the future.
201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Net Receivables17.9B16.8B17.4B17.9B19.1B12.0B
Total Revenue53.8B41.7B51.0B59.4B67.1B35.3B
Total Assets78.5B78.3B82.8B81.9B87.5B50.5B
Total Current Assets39.2B39.5B43.5B43.8B46.9B24.0B
Net Debt29.4B27.8B28.5B30.0B31.5B20.6B
Short Term Debt11.4B11.3B11.8B11.4B13.6B7.6B
Long Term Debt26.3B26.0B26.0B25.7B24.5B21.9B
Investments(382M)10M(1.5B)(2.5B)(5.9B)(6.2B)

Caterpillar ESG Sustainability

Some studies have found that companies with high sustainability scores are getting higher valuations than competitors with lower social-engagement activities. While most ESG disclosures are voluntary and do not directly affect the long term financial condition, Caterpillar's sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to Caterpillar's managers, analysts, and investors.
Environmental
Governance
Social

About Caterpillar Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Caterpillar's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Caterpillar using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Caterpillar based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

Thematic Opportunities

Explore Investment Opportunities

Build portfolios using Macroaxis predefined set of investing ideas. Many of Macroaxis investing ideas can easily outperform a given market. Ideas can also be optimized per your risk profile before portfolio origination is invoked. Macroaxis thematic optimization helps investors identify companies most likely to benefit from changes or shifts in various micro-economic or local macro-level trends. Originating optimal thematic portfolios involves aligning investors' personal views, ideas, and beliefs with their actual investments.
Explore Investing Ideas  

Additional Tools for Caterpillar Stock Analysis

When running Caterpillar's price analysis, check to measure Caterpillar's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Caterpillar is operating at the current time. Most of Caterpillar's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Caterpillar's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Caterpillar's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Caterpillar to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.