Caterpillar Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

CAT Stock  USD 397.49  7.90  2.03%   
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Caterpillar is 'Strong Hold'. A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Caterpillar given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Caterpillar. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Caterpillar, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Caterpillar Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For more information on how to buy Caterpillar Stock please use our How to Invest in Caterpillar guide.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Caterpillar and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Caterpillar. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation.

Execute Caterpillar Buy or Sell Advice

The Caterpillar recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Caterpillar. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Caterpillar or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Caterpillar's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell CaterpillarBuy Caterpillar
Strong Hold

Market Performance

OKDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

Low keyDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Actively responds to the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

ImpartialDetails

Analyst Consensus

BuyDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

UnavailableDetails
For the selected time horizon Caterpillar has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1055, Jensen Alpha of 0.0141, Total Risk Alpha of (0.06), Sortino Ratio of 0.0728 and Treynor Ratio of 0.1283
Macroaxis provides advice on Caterpillar to complement and cross-verify current analyst consensus on Caterpillar. Our investment recommendation engine determines the company's potential to grow exclusively from the perspective of an investor's current risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure Caterpillar is not overpriced, please confirm all Caterpillar fundamentals, including its cash flow from operations, working capital, and the relationship between the cash per share and number of employees . Given that Caterpillar has a price to earning of 17.15 X, we suggest you to validate Caterpillar market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Caterpillar Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

About 72.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
On 20th of November 2024 Caterpillar paid $ 1.41 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Issa Odeh, 18, and Antony Saleh, 17, from Palestine win NFTEs World Youth Entrepreneurship Challenge

Caterpillar Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Caterpillar's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Caterpillar's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Caterpillar daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Caterpillar price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Caterpillar returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Caterpillar.
Mean Return
0.25
Value At Risk
-2.13
Potential Upside
3.36
Standard Deviation
1.93
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Caterpillar historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Caterpillar Stock Institutional Investors

The Caterpillar's institutional investors refer to entities that pool money to purchase Caterpillar's securities or originate loans. These institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds.
Shares
Fmr Inc2024-09-30
4.9 M
Bank Of America Corp2024-06-30
4.8 M
Legal & General Group Plc2024-06-30
3.9 M
Ubs Asset Mgmt Americas Inc2024-09-30
3.6 M
Goldman Sachs Group Inc2024-06-30
3.5 M
Bank Of New York Mellon Corp2024-06-30
3.4 M
Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc2024-09-30
3.2 M
Amvescap Plc.2024-06-30
3.2 M
Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc.2024-09-30
3.1 M
Vanguard Group Inc2024-09-30
46.5 M
State Street Corp2024-06-30
36.6 M
Note, although Caterpillar's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Caterpillar Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Caterpillar or Machinery sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Caterpillar's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Caterpillar stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.01
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.87
σ
Overall volatility
1.95
Ir
Information ratio 0.06

Caterpillar Volatility Alert

Caterpillar has relatively low volatility with skewness of 1.3 and kurtosis of 5.5. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Caterpillar's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Caterpillar's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Caterpillar Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Caterpillar's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Caterpillar's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Caterpillar and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Caterpillar or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Caterpillar's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Caterpillar by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Caterpillar to competition
FundamentalsCaterpillarPeer Average
Return On Equity0.53-0.31
Return On Asset0.0993-0.14
Profit Margin0.16 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.20 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation224.17 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding482.8 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders0.21 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions72.46 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted10.59 M4.71 M
Price To Earning17.15 X28.72 X
Price To Book9.89 X9.51 X
Price To Sales2.92 X11.42 X
Revenue67.06 B9.43 B
Gross Profit15.56 B27.38 B
EBITDA15.71 B3.9 B
Net Income10.34 B570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents7 B2.7 B
Cash Per Share14.27 X5.01 X
Total Debt38.45 B5.32 B
Debt To Equity2.34 %48.70 %
Current Ratio1.41 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share40.18 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations12.88 B971.22 M
Short Ratio4.88 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share21.54 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth2.71 X4.89 X
Target Price379.04
Number Of Employees113.2 K18.84 K
Beta1.1-0.15
Market Capitalization191.91 B19.03 B
Total Asset87.48 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings51.25 B9.33 B
Working Capital12.22 B1.48 B
Note: Acquisition by Denise Johnson of tradable shares of Caterpillar subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Caterpillar Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Caterpillar . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Caterpillar Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Caterpillar? Buying financial instruments such as Caterpillar Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Caterpillar in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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ESG Investing
ESG Investing Theme
Sustainable investments that promote the conservation of the natural world, social resposibility, freindly employees policies and strong governance. The ESG Investing theme has 51 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize ESG Investing Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Additional Tools for Caterpillar Stock Analysis

When running Caterpillar's price analysis, check to measure Caterpillar's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Caterpillar is operating at the current time. Most of Caterpillar's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Caterpillar's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Caterpillar's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Caterpillar to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.