Caterpillar Stock Performance
| CAT Stock | USD 702.89 11.98 1.73% |
On a scale of 0 to 100, Caterpillar holds a performance score of 14. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 1.83, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Caterpillar will likely underperform. Please check Caterpillar's skewness, and the relationship between the value at risk and day median price , to make a quick decision on whether Caterpillar's price patterns will revert.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Good
Weak | Strong |
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Caterpillar are ranked lower than 14 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of comparatively weak basic indicators, Caterpillar unveiled solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more
Actual Historical Performance (%)
One Day Return 1.73 | Five Day Return 7.28 | Year To Date Return 17.46 | Ten Year Return 1 K | All Time Return 43.8 K |
Forward Dividend Yield 0.0087 | Payout Ratio | Last Split Factor 2:1 | Forward Dividend Rate 6.04 | Dividend Date 2026-02-19 |
| Caterpillar dividend paid on 20th of November 2025 | 11/20/2025 |
1 | How Investors May Respond To Catapult Sports Surging ACV, EBITDA And Strategic Acquisitions | 01/16/2026 |
2 | Diesel Generator Market Size to Worth USD 32.24 Billion by 2033 Research by SNS Insider | 01/20/2026 |
3 | Caterpillar Reports Growth From Data Center Demand | 01/29/2026 |
4 | Caterpillar Taps AI Data Center Power Boom With Monarch Alliance | 01/30/2026 |
5 | I Correctly Predicted That 2024s Best-Performing Dow Jones Stock Would Beat the SP 500 Again in 2025. Does 2025s Leading Dow Stock Have Room to Run in 2026 | 02/02/2026 |
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 6.9 B | |
| Total Cashflows From Investing Activities | -4.7 B |
Caterpillar | Build AI portfolio with Caterpillar Stock |
Caterpillar Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 56,845 in Caterpillar on November 6, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of 13,444 from holding Caterpillar or generate 23.65% return on investment over 90 days. Caterpillar is generating 0.3673% of daily returns assuming volatility of 1.9469% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 17% of stocks are less volatile than Caterpillar, and above 93% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days. Expected Return |
| Risk |
Caterpillar Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The tendency of Caterpillar Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 702.89 | 90 days | 702.89 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Caterpillar to move above the current price in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Caterpillar probability density function shows the probability of Caterpillar Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Caterpillar Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Caterpillar
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Caterpillar. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Caterpillar Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Caterpillar is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Caterpillar's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Caterpillar, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Caterpillar within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.21 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.83 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 36.62 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.12 |
Caterpillar Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Caterpillar for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Caterpillar can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Caterpillar is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Caterpillar has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| About 74.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from fool.com: I Correctly Predicted That 2024s Best-Performing Dow Jones Stock Would Beat the SP 500 Again in 2025. Does 2025s Leading Dow Stock Have Room to Run in 2026 |
Caterpillar Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Caterpillar Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Caterpillar's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Caterpillar's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 469 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 10 B |
Caterpillar Fundamentals Growth
Caterpillar Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Caterpillar, and Caterpillar fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Caterpillar Stock performance.
| Return On Equity | 0.44 | |||
| Return On Asset | 0.0756 | |||
| Profit Margin | 0.13 % | |||
| Operating Margin | 0.14 % | |||
| Current Valuation | 340.98 B | |||
| Shares Outstanding | 467.98 M | |||
| Price To Earning | 17.15 X | |||
| Price To Book | 14.43 X | |||
| Price To Sales | 4.79 X | |||
| Revenue | 67.59 B | |||
| Gross Profit | 19.46 B | |||
| EBITDA | 14.86 B | |||
| Net Income | 8.88 B | |||
| Cash And Equivalents | 9.98 B | |||
| Cash Per Share | 14.27 X | |||
| Total Debt | 43.33 B | |||
| Debt To Equity | 2.34 % | |||
| Current Ratio | 1.41 X | |||
| Book Value Per Share | 45.70 X | |||
| Cash Flow From Operations | 11.74 B | |||
| Earnings Per Share | 18.79 X | |||
| Market Capitalization | 323.68 B | |||
| Total Asset | 98.58 B | |||
| Retained Earnings | 65.45 B | |||
| Working Capital | 13.41 B | |||
| Current Asset | 34.42 B | |||
| Current Liabilities | 26.3 B | |||
About Caterpillar Performance
Assessing Caterpillar's fundamental ratios provides investors with valuable insights into Caterpillar's financial health and overall profitability. This information is crucial for making informed investment decisions. A high ROA would indicate that the Caterpillar is effectively leveraging its assets and equity to generate significant profits, making it an appealing investment. Conversely, low Return on Assets could signal underlying management issues in assets and equity, indicating a necessity for operational refinements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Days Of Inventory On Hand | 144.75 | 76.18 | |
| Return On Tangible Assets | 0.10 | 0.10 | |
| Return On Capital Employed | 0.18 | 0.19 | |
| Return On Assets | 0.09 | 0.09 | |
| Return On Equity | 0.42 | 0.44 |
Things to note about Caterpillar performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about Caterpillar for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Caterpillar help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Caterpillar is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Caterpillar has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| About 74.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from fool.com: I Correctly Predicted That 2024s Best-Performing Dow Jones Stock Would Beat the SP 500 Again in 2025. Does 2025s Leading Dow Stock Have Room to Run in 2026 |
- Analyzing Caterpillar's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Caterpillar's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining Caterpillar's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating Caterpillar's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Caterpillar's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Caterpillar's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Caterpillar's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Additional Tools for Caterpillar Stock Analysis
When running Caterpillar's price analysis, check to measure Caterpillar's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Caterpillar is operating at the current time. Most of Caterpillar's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Caterpillar's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Caterpillar's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Caterpillar to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.