Cincinnati Financial Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy
| CCJ Stock | EUR 150.95 1.15 0.76% |
Cincinnati |
Cincinnati Financial Company chance of financial distress Analysis
Cincinnati Financial's Probability Of Bankruptcy is a relative measure of the likelihood of financial distress. For stocks, the Probability Of Bankruptcy is the normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs, it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within the next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100, indicating the firm's actual probability it will be financially distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.
More About Probability Of Bankruptcy | All Equity Analysis
Probability Of Bankruptcy | = | Normalized | | Z-Score |
Current Cincinnati Financial Probability Of Bankruptcy | Less than 18% |
Most of Cincinnati Financial's fundamental indicators, such as Probability Of Bankruptcy, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, Cincinnati Financial is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.
Our calculation of Cincinnati Financial probability of bankruptcy is based on Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score, but not limited to these measures. To be applied to a broader range of industries and markets, we use several other techniques to enhance the accuracy of predicting Cincinnati Financial odds of financial distress. These include financial statement analysis, different types of price predictions, earning estimates, analysis consensus, and basic intrinsic valuation. Please use the options below to get a better understanding of different measures that drive the calculation of Cincinnati Financial financial health.
The Probability of Bankruptcy SHOULD NOT be confused with the actual chance of a company to file for chapter 7, 11, 12, or 13 bankruptcy protection. Macroaxis simply defines Financial Distress as an operational condition where a company is having difficulty meeting its current financial obligations towards its creditors or delivering on the expectations of its investors. Macroaxis derives these conditions daily from both public financial statements as well as analysis of stock prices reacting to market conditions or economic downturns, including short-term and long-term historical volatility. Other factors taken into account include analysis of liquidity, revenue patterns, R&D expenses, and commitments, as well as public headlines and social sentiment.
| Competition |
Based on the latest financial disclosure, Cincinnati Financial has a Probability Of Bankruptcy of 18.0%. This is 63.95% lower than that of the Financial Services sector and 54.4% lower than that of the Insurance - Property & Casualty industry. The probability of bankruptcy for all Germany stocks is 54.81% higher than that of the company.
Cincinnati Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison
Stock peer comparison is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It analyses Cincinnati Financial's direct or indirect competition against its Probability Of Bankruptcy to detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics or determine the stocks which would be a good addition to a portfolio. Peer analysis of Cincinnati Financial could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Cincinnati Financial by comparing valuation metrics of similar companies.Cincinnati Financial is currently under evaluation in probability of bankruptcy category among its peers.
Cincinnati Fundamentals
| Return On Equity | -0.0411 | |||
| Return On Asset | -0.0131 | |||
| Profit Margin | (0.07) % | |||
| Operating Margin | (0.1) % | |||
| Current Valuation | 15.27 B | |||
| Shares Outstanding | 157.24 M | |||
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 2.11 % | |||
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 68.92 % | |||
| Price To Earning | 12.72 X | |||
| Price To Book | 1.47 X | |||
| Price To Sales | 2.26 X | |||
| Revenue | 6.56 B | |||
| Gross Profit | (533 M) | |||
| EBITDA | (532 M) | |||
| Net Income | (486 M) | |||
| Cash And Equivalents | 803 M | |||
| Cash Per Share | 4.92 X | |||
| Total Debt | 841 M | |||
| Debt To Equity | 9.60 % | |||
| Current Ratio | 1.25 X | |||
| Book Value Per Share | 67.03 X | |||
| Cash Flow From Operations | 1.98 B | |||
| Earnings Per Share | (2.88) X | |||
| Target Price | 133.0 | |||
| Number Of Employees | 10 | |||
| Beta | 0.66 | |||
| Market Capitalization | 17.88 B | |||
| Total Asset | 29.74 B | |||
| Z Score | 12.6 | |||
| Annual Yield | 0.02 % | |||
| Five Year Return | 2.52 % | |||
| Net Asset | 29.74 B | |||
| Last Dividend Paid | 2.76 |
About Cincinnati Financial Fundamental Analysis
The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Cincinnati Financial's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Cincinnati Financial using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Cincinnati Financial based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.
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Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Cincinnati Stock
When determining whether Cincinnati Financial is a strong investment it is important to analyze Cincinnati Financial's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Cincinnati Financial's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Cincinnati Stock, refer to the following important reports:Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Cincinnati Financial. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors. For more detail on how to invest in Cincinnati Stock please use our How to Invest in Cincinnati Financial guide.You can also try the Watchlist Optimization module to optimize watchlists to build efficient portfolios or rebalance existing positions based on the mean-variance optimization algorithm.