Forestar Group Stock Fundamentals
| FOR Stock | USD 25.04 0.54 2.20% |
As of the 28th of January, Forestar shows the Variance of 6.39, standard deviation of 2.53, and Mean Deviation of 1.86. Forestar Group technical analysis allows you to utilize historical prices and volume patterns in order to determine a pattern that computes the direction of the firm's future prices. Please confirm Forestar Group market risk adjusted performance, information ratio, as well as the relationship between the Information Ratio and skewness to decide if Forestar Group is priced favorably, providing market reflects its regular price of 25.04 per share. Given that Forestar has information ratio of (0.05), we urge you to verify Forestar Group's prevailing market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.
Forestar Total Revenue |
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Gross Profit | Profit Margin | Market Capitalization | Enterprise Value Revenue 1.1112 | Revenue |
Forestar | Select Account or Indicator | Build AI portfolio with Forestar Stock |
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Forestar Fundamental Market Drivers
Forestar Upcoming Events
| 18th of April 2024 Upcoming Quarterly Report | View | |
| 18th of July 2024 Next Financial Report | View | |
| 31st of March 2024 Next Fiscal Quarter End | View | |
| 5th of November 2024 Next Fiscal Year End | View | |
| 31st of December 2023 Last Quarter Report | View | |
| 30th of September 2023 Last Financial Announcement | View |
Forestar Profit Margin Driver Correlations
Understanding the fundamental principles of building solid financial models for Forestar is extremely important. It helps to project a fair market value of Forestar Stock properly, considering its historical fundamentals such as Profit Margin. Since Forestar's main accounts across its financial reports are all linked and dependent on each other, it is essential to analyze all possible correlations between related accounts. However, instead of reviewing all of Forestar's historical financial statements, investors can examine the correlated drivers to determine its overall health. This can be effectively done using a conventional correlation matrix of Forestar's interrelated accounts and indicators.
Click cells to compare fundamentals
Is Real Estate Management & Development space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Forestar. If investors know Forestar will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Forestar listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.06) | Earnings Share 3.34 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.09 | Return On Assets |
The market value of Forestar Group is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Forestar that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Forestar's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Forestar's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Forestar's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Forestar's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Forestar's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Forestar is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Forestar's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
Forestar 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Forestar's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Forestar.
| 10/30/2025 |
| 01/28/2026 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Forestar on October 30, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Forestar Group or generate 0.0% return on investment in Forestar over 90 days. Forestar is related to or competes with KKR Real, Ellington Financial, Apollo Commercial, Smith Douglas, Innovative Industrial, Veris Residential, and Ladder Capital. Forestar Group Inc. operates as a residential lot development company in the United States More
Forestar Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Forestar's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Forestar Group upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Information Ratio | (0.05) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 13.29 | |||
| Value At Risk | (3.21) | |||
| Potential Upside | 4.69 |
Forestar Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Forestar's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Forestar's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Forestar historical prices to predict the future Forestar's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.01) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.17) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.29) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.03) |
Forestar January 28, 2026 Technical Indicators
| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.01) | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.02) | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.86 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | (5,702) | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.53 | |||
| Variance | 6.39 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.05) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.17) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.29) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.03) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 13.29 | |||
| Value At Risk | (3.21) | |||
| Potential Upside | 4.69 | |||
| Skewness | 0.7088 | |||
| Kurtosis | 1.31 |
Forestar Group Backtested Returns
Forestar Group secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.0198, which denotes the company had a -0.0198 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Forestar Group exposes twenty-three different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Forestar's Standard Deviation of 2.53, mean deviation of 1.86, and Variance of 6.39 to check the risk estimate we provide. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 1.68, which means a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Forestar will likely underperform. At this point, Forestar Group has a negative expected return of -0.0474%. Please make sure to confirm Forestar's treynor ratio, kurtosis, as well as the relationship between the Kurtosis and day typical price , to decide if Forestar Group performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Auto-correlation | 0.53 |
Modest predictability
Forestar Group has modest predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Forestar time series from 30th of October 2025 to 14th of December 2025 and 14th of December 2025 to 28th of January 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Forestar Group price movement. The serial correlation of 0.53 indicates that about 53.0% of current Forestar price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.53 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.06 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 1.41 |
In a nutshell, Profit Margin indicator shows the amount of money the company makes from total sales or revenue. It can provide a good insight into companies in the same sector, as well as help to identify trends of a company from year to year.
| Competition |
Forestar Pretax Profit Margin
Pretax Profit Margin |
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Based on the latest financial disclosure, Forestar Group has a Profit Margin of 0.099%. This is 99.06% lower than that of the Real Estate Management & Development sector and significantly higher than that of the Real Estate industry. The profit margin for all United States stocks is 107.8% lower than that of the firm.
Forestar Group Fundamental Drivers Relationships
Comparative valuation techniques use various fundamental indicators to help in determining Forestar's current stock value. Our valuation model uses many indicators to compare Forestar value to that of its competitors to determine the firm's financial worth. You can analyze the relationship between different fundamental ratios across Forestar competition to find correlations between indicators driving Forestar's intrinsic value. More Info.Forestar Group is one of the top stocks in return on equity category among its peers. It also is one of the top stocks in return on asset category among its peers reporting about 0.43 of Return On Asset per Return On Equity. The ratio of Return On Equity to Return On Asset for Forestar Group is roughly 2.31 . At this time, Forestar's Return On Equity is relatively stable compared to the past year. Comparative valuation analysis is a catch-all technique that is used if you cannot value Forestar by discounting back its dividends or cash flows. It compares the stock's price multiples to nearest competition to determine if the stock is relatively undervalued or overvalued.Forestar Profit Margin Peer Comparison
Stock peer comparison is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It analyses Forestar's direct or indirect competition against its Profit Margin to detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics or determine the stocks which would be a good addition to a portfolio. Peer analysis of Forestar could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Forestar by comparing valuation metrics of similar companies.Forestar is currently under evaluation in profit margin category among its peers.
Forestar Current Valuation Drivers
We derive many important indicators used in calculating different scores of Forestar from analyzing Forestar's financial statements. These drivers represent accounts that assess Forestar's ability to generate profits relative to its revenue, operating costs, and shareholders' equity. Below are some of Forestar's important valuation drivers and their relationship over time.
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | ||
| Market Cap | 911.0M | 557.5M | 1.3B | 1.6B | 335.5M | 318.7M | |
| Enterprise Value | 1.5B | 1.0B | 1.4B | 1.9B | 599.5M | 874.3M |
Forestar ESG Sustainability
Some studies have found that companies with high sustainability scores are getting higher valuations than competitors with lower social-engagement activities. While most ESG disclosures are voluntary and do not directly affect the long term financial condition, Forestar's sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to Forestar's managers, analysts, and investors.Environmental | Governance | Social |
Forestar Fundamentals
| Return On Equity | 0.0981 | ||||
| Return On Asset | 0.0425 | ||||
| Profit Margin | 0.1 % | ||||
| Operating Margin | 0.07 % | ||||
| Current Valuation | 1.87 B | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 50.89 M | ||||
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 62.35 % | ||||
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 36.83 % | ||||
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 564.37 K | ||||
| Price To Earning | 8.42 X | ||||
| Price To Book | 0.71 X | ||||
| Price To Sales | 0.76 X | ||||
| Revenue | 1.66 B | ||||
| Gross Profit | 363.5 M | ||||
| EBITDA | 222.8 M | ||||
| Net Income | 167.9 M | ||||
| Cash And Equivalents | 379.2 M | ||||
| Cash Per Share | 2.94 X | ||||
| Total Debt | 817.1 M | ||||
| Debt To Equity | 0.62 % | ||||
| Current Ratio | 0.93 X | ||||
| Book Value Per Share | 35.10 X | ||||
| Cash Flow From Operations | (197.7 M) | ||||
| Short Ratio | 3.88 X | ||||
| Earnings Per Share | 3.34 X | ||||
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 3.50 X | ||||
| Target Price | 32.5 | ||||
| Number Of Employees | 415 | ||||
| Beta | 1.42 | ||||
| Market Capitalization | 1.27 B | ||||
| Total Asset | 3.14 B | ||||
| Retained Earnings | 1.05 B | ||||
| Working Capital | (24.4 M) | ||||
| Current Asset | 111.47 M | ||||
| Current Liabilities | 59.26 M | ||||
| Net Asset | 3.14 B |
About Forestar Fundamental Analysis
The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Forestar Group's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Forestar using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Forestar Group based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Current Deferred Revenue | 227.8 M | 239.2 M | |
| Total Revenue | 1.9 B | 2 B | |
| Cost Of Revenue | 1.5 B | 1.6 B | |
| Stock Based Compensation To Revenue | 0.06 | 0.04 | |
| Sales General And Administrative To Revenue | 0.45 | 0.47 | |
| Capex To Revenue | 0.02 | 0.02 | |
| Revenue Per Share | 2.71 | 2.58 | |
| Ebit Per Revenue | 0.35 | 0.23 |
Pair Trading with Forestar
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Forestar position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Forestar will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving against Forestar Stock
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Forestar could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Forestar when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Forestar - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Forestar Group to buy it.
The correlation of Forestar is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Forestar moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Forestar Group moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Forestar can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Additional Tools for Forestar Stock Analysis
When running Forestar's price analysis, check to measure Forestar's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Forestar is operating at the current time. Most of Forestar's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Forestar's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Forestar's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Forestar to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.