Forestar Group Stock Market Outlook
| FOR Stock | USD 30.30 0.01 0.03% |
Slightly above 53% of Forestar's retail investors are presently thinking to get in. The analysis of overall sentiment of trading Forestar Group stock suggests that some investors are interested at this time. Forestar's investing sentiment overview a quick insight into current market opportunities from investing in Forestar Group. Many technical investors use Forestar Group stock news signals to limit their universe of possible portfolio assets and to time the market correctly.
Comfort Level 53
Impartial
Panic | Confidence |
Today, several news technology companies offer sentiment data to assist traders in manufacturing news sentiment indicators for investment decisions. We partner with these technology firms in helping retail investors build forecasting models that use Forestar's input sentiment indicators derived from textual data and news published on major financial information outlets and social sites. These indicators can be used to analyze time-dependent numerical information representing public perception toward Forestar Group.
News SentimentBullish | Hype SentimentNeutral | Insider SentimentWaiting |
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Forestar Group is 'Strong Buy'. A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated analysis based on historical performance and your stated risk tolerance. It serves as guidance on whether to purchase or sell Forestar Group within the specified time frame.
Execute Forestar Advice
The Forestar recommendation should be used to complement the investment advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Forestar Group. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Forestar Group or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Forestar's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
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Strong Buy
Market Performance | Good | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Under hyped | Details | |
Current Valuation | Undervalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Responds to the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Impartial | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Strong Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Poor | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Possible Manipulator | Details |
For the selected time horizon Forestar Group has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1262, Jensen Alpha of 0.2738, Total Risk Alpha of 0.1734, Sortino Ratio of 0.1336 and Treynor Ratio of 0.2547Our advice module can be used to complement Forestar investment recommendation provided by average analyst sentiment. It analyzes the company's potential to grow using fundamental, technical, data market data available at the time. To make sure Forestar is not overpriced, please confirm all Forestar Group fundamentals, including its revenue, cash flow from operations, working capital, as well as the relationship between the cash per share and number of employees . Given that Forestar Group has a price to earning of 8.42 X, we urge you to verify Forestar Group market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.
Forestar Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Forestar Group has 817.1 M in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 0.62, which is OK given its current industry classification. Forestar Group has a current ratio of 0.91, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for Forestar to invest in growth at high rates of return. | |
| Forestar Group has about 379.2 M in cash with (197.7 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 2.94. | |
| Forestar Group has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Roughly 62.0% of Forestar shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from stockstory.org: CBRE Earnings What To Look For From CBRE |
Forestar Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Forestar's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Forestar's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Forestar daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Forestar Group price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Forestar returns is essential to provide solid investment analysis for Forestar.
| Mean Return | 0.37 | Value At Risk | -2.92 | Potential Upside | 4.69 | Standard Deviation | 2.49 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Forestar historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Forestar Stock Institutional Investors
The Forestar's institutional investors refer to entities that pool money to purchase Forestar's securities or originate loans. These institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds.
| Shares | Denali Advisors Llc | 2025-06-30 | 336.8 K | Jacobs Levy Equity Management, Inc. | 2025-06-30 | 304.9 K | Aqr Capital Management Llc | 2025-06-30 | 296.6 K | Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts | 2025-06-30 | 279.6 K | Verition Fund Managegment, Llc | 2025-06-30 | 231.6 K | Summittx Capital, L.p | 2025-06-30 | 228.4 K | Millennium Management Llc | 2025-06-30 | 216.2 K | Northern Trust Corp | 2025-06-30 | 191.8 K | Jpmorgan Chase & Co | 2025-06-30 | 184.9 K | Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc. | 2025-06-30 | 2.7 M | Vanguard Group Inc | 2025-06-30 | 2.7 M |
Forestar Cash Flow Accounts
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | ||
| Change In Cash | 111.2M | 351.2M | (134.8M) | (102M) | (117.3M) | (111.4M) | |
| Free Cash Flow | 105.2M | 362.8M | (160.6M) | (199.9M) | (179.9M) | (170.9M) | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 8.1M | 22.4M | (5.4M) | 3.3M | 3.8M | 4.0M | |
| Capital Expenditures | 1.6M | 3.5M | 1.3M | 2.2M | 2.0M | 1.9M | |
| Net Income | 178.8M | 166.9M | 203.4M | 167.9M | 193.1M | 202.7M | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 264.8M | 616M | 481.2M | 379.2M | 436.1M | 457.9M | |
| Change To Netincome | 26.2M | 40.6M | 23.9M | 40.5M | 46.6M | 40.4M | |
| Investments | 1.6M | 300K | 7.3M | 3.2M | 3.7M | 3.9M |
Forestar Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Forestar or Real Estate Management & Development sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Forestar's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Forestar stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.27 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.41 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.50 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.12 |
Forestar Volatility Alert
Forestar Group currently demonstrates below-average downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of 0.12 and Jensen Alpha of 0.27. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Forestar's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Forestar's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Forestar Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Forestar's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Forestar's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Forestar and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Forestar or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Forestar's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Forestar by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Forestar to competition |
| Fundamentals | Forestar | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.0981 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0425 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.1 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.07 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 2.14 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 50.89 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 62.35 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 37.10 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 429.16 K | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 8.42 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 0.86 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 0.92 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 1.66 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 363.5 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 222.8 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 167.9 M | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 379.2 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 2.94 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 817.1 M | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 0.62 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 0.93 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 35.10 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | (197.7 M) | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 2.51 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 3.27 X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 3.50 X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 33.0 | |
| Number Of Employees | 415 | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 1.44 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 1.54 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 3.14 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 1.05 B | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | (24.4 M) | 1.48 B |
Note: Acquisition by Donald Tomnitz of 4976 shares of Forestar subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Forestar Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Forestar . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Forestar Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Forestar Group? Buying financial instruments such as Forestar Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
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Additional Tools for Forestar Stock Analysis
When running Forestar's price analysis, check to measure Forestar's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Forestar is operating at the current time. Most of Forestar's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Forestar's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Forestar's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Forestar to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.


