Geo Group Stock Z Score

GEO Stock

USD 28.68 0.05 0.17%

Altman Z Score is one of the simplest fundamental models to determine how likely your company is to fail. The module uses available fundamental data of a given equity to approximate the Altman Z score. Altman Z Score is determined by evaluating five fundamental price points available from the company's current public disclosure documents. Check out Geo Piotroski F Score and Geo Valuation analysis.

At this time, Geo's Return On Capital Employed is very stable compared to the past year. As of the 22nd of November 2024, Capital Expenditure Coverage Ratio is likely to grow to 4.10, while Capital Surpluse is likely to drop about 1.1 B. At this time, Geo's Research Development is very stable compared to the past year. As of the 22nd of November 2024, Non Operating Income Net Other is likely to grow to about 49.9 M, while Depreciation And Amortization is likely to drop about 119.5 M.

Geo Group Company Z Score Analysis

Geo's Z-Score is a simple linear, multi-factor model that measures the financial health and economic stability of a company. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm going into bankruptcy within next 24 months or two fiscal years from the day stated on the accounting statements used to calculate it. The model uses five fundamental business ratios that are weighted according to algorithm of Professor Edward Altman who developed it in the late 1960s at New York University..

Z Score

Sum Of

5 Factors

More About Z Score | All Equity Analysis

First Factor

1.2 * (

Working Capital

/

Total Assets )

Second Factor

1.4 * (

Retained Earnings

/

Total Assets )

Thrid Factor

3.3 * (

EBITAD

/

Total Assets )

Fouth Factor

0.6 * (

Market Value of Equity

/

Total Liabilities )

Fifth Factor

0.99 * (

Revenue

/

Total Assets )

Geo Z Score Driver Correlations

Understanding the fundamental principles of building solid financial models for Geo is extremely important. It helps to project a fair market value of Geo Stock properly, considering its historical fundamentals such as Z Score. Since Geo's main accounts across its financial reports are all linked and dependent on each other, it is essential to analyze all possible correlations between related accounts. However, instead of reviewing all of Geo's historical financial statements, investors can examine the correlated drivers to determine its overall health. This can be effectively done using a conventional correlation matrix of Geo's interrelated accounts and indicators.

	Total Assets	Total Stockholder Equity	Retained Earnings	Accounts Payable	Net Receivables	Total Liab	Total Current Assets	Net Debt	Good Will	Common Stock	Intangible Assets	Short Term Debt	Long Term Debt	Property Plant Equipment	Current Deferred Revenue	Short Term Investments	Treasury Stock	Net Tangible Assets	Long Term Debt Total	Capital Surpluse	Deferred Long Term Liab	Long Term Investments	Short Long Term Debt	Cash And Equivalents	Net Invested Capital	Net Working Capital	Capital Stock
Total Assets		0.62	-0.35	0.91	0.37	0.98	0.89	0.97	0.75	0.89	0.59	0.33	0.95	0.95	0.3	0.14	0.22	-0.72	0.82	0.63	-0.23	0.7	0.24	0.29	-0.05	0.12	-0.16
Total Stockholder Equity	0.62		0.15	0.6	0.47	0.5	0.47	0.49	0.85	0.61	0.16	0.16	0.53	0.78	0.36	0.28	0.15	-0.58	0.5	0.49	-0.02	0.39	0.1	0.04	-0.37	-0.21	0.43
Retained Earnings	-0.35	0.15		-0.27	0.24	-0.49	-0.45	-0.46	-0.33	-0.44	-0.35	-0.14	-0.53	-0.18	-0.55	-0.04	-0.06	0.52	-0.67	-0.66	0.18	-0.73	-0.16	-0.5	0.21	-0.17	-0.11
Accounts Payable	0.91	0.6	-0.27		0.57	0.9	0.71	0.93	0.73	0.78	0.75	0.4	0.85	0.85	0.2	0.26	0.21	-0.59	0.72	0.53	-0.27	0.67	0.34	-0.02	0.02	-0.16	-0.15
Net Receivables	0.37	0.47	0.24	0.57		0.28	0.15	0.37	0.36	0.26	0.41	0.55	0.19	0.46	-0.18	0.12	0.33	-0.25	0.08	0.13	-0.33	0.22	0.54	-0.64	0.0	-0.6	-0.11
Total Liab	0.98	0.5	-0.49	0.9	0.28		0.92	0.99	0.72	0.86	0.63	0.35	0.98	0.88	0.33	0.15	0.19	-0.71	0.88	0.64	-0.23	0.74	0.27	0.37	-0.03	0.17	-0.16
Total Current Assets	0.89	0.47	-0.45	0.71	0.15	0.92		0.86	0.68	0.76	0.38	0.35	0.91	0.79	0.4	0.11	0.09	-0.67	0.86	0.61	-0.02	0.68	0.26	0.61	-0.19	0.38	-0.03
Net Debt	0.97	0.49	-0.46	0.93	0.37	0.99	0.86		0.7	0.82	0.73	0.41	0.96	0.86	0.25	0.16	0.26	-0.71	0.85	0.59	-0.34	0.71	0.33	0.24	0.06	0.07	-0.21
Good Will	0.75	0.85	-0.33	0.73	0.36	0.72	0.68	0.7		0.79	0.33	0.28	0.75	0.81	0.65	0.38	0.02	-0.72	0.82	0.8	0.02	0.77	0.23	0.28	-0.44	-0.16	0.5
Common Stock	0.89	0.61	-0.44	0.78	0.26	0.86	0.76	0.82	0.79		0.34	0.24	0.81	0.88	0.52	0.32	-0.05	-0.62	0.76	0.84	0.01	0.81	0.13	0.31	-0.29	-0.01	0.02
Intangible Assets	0.59	0.16	-0.35	0.75	0.41	0.63	0.38	0.73	0.33	0.34		0.38	0.64	0.44	-0.18	0.04	0.51	-0.47	0.54	0.19	-0.68	0.42	0.39	-0.2	0.5	-0.19	-0.39
Short Term Debt	0.33	0.16	-0.14	0.4	0.55	0.35	0.35	0.41	0.28	0.24	0.38		0.29	0.3	-0.14	0.32	0.04	-0.36	0.27	0.19	-0.24	0.3	0.98	-0.18	0.08	-0.51	-0.08
Long Term Debt	0.95	0.53	-0.53	0.85	0.19	0.98	0.91	0.96	0.75	0.81	0.64	0.29		0.84	0.34	0.13	0.28	-0.8	0.93	0.63	-0.29	0.73	0.23	0.45	-0.05	0.23	-0.07
Property Plant Equipment	0.95	0.78	-0.18	0.85	0.46	0.88	0.79	0.86	0.81	0.88	0.44	0.3	0.84		0.35	0.11	0.2	-0.71	0.73	0.66	-0.17	0.64	0.2	0.18	-0.15	-0.02	-0.03
Current Deferred Revenue	0.3	0.36	-0.55	0.2	-0.18	0.33	0.4	0.25	0.65	0.52	-0.18	-0.14	0.34	0.35		0.16	-0.39	-0.32	0.55	0.78	0.42	0.64	-0.19	0.53	-0.69	0.11	0.69
Short Term Investments	0.14	0.28	-0.04	0.26	0.12	0.15	0.11	0.16	0.38	0.32	0.04	0.32	0.13	0.11	0.16		-0.44	0.02	0.21	0.26	0.27	0.29	0.26	0.0	-0.12	-0.32	0.3
Treasury Stock	0.22	0.15	-0.06	0.21	0.33	0.19	0.09	0.26	0.02	-0.05	0.51	0.04	0.28	0.2	-0.39	-0.44		-0.55	0.17	-0.11	-0.86	-0.01	0.11	-0.2	0.3	0.06	-0.32
Net Tangible Assets	-0.72	-0.58	0.52	-0.59	-0.25	-0.71	-0.67	-0.71	-0.72	-0.62	-0.47	-0.36	-0.8	-0.71	-0.32	0.02	-0.55		-0.8	-0.63	0.51	-0.64	-0.35	-0.32	0.2	0.0	-0.15
Long Term Debt Total	0.82	0.5	-0.67	0.72	0.08	0.88	0.86	0.85	0.82	0.76	0.54	0.27	0.93	0.73	0.55	0.21	0.17	-0.8		0.77	-0.17	0.85	0.24	0.56	-0.18	0.19	0.2
Capital Surpluse	0.63	0.49	-0.66	0.53	0.13	0.64	0.61	0.59	0.8	0.84	0.19	0.19	0.63	0.66	0.78	0.26	-0.11	-0.63	0.77		0.1	0.94	0.15	0.39	-0.52	-0.09	0.39
Deferred Long Term Liab	-0.23	-0.02	0.18	-0.27	-0.33	-0.23	-0.02	-0.34	0.02	0.01	-0.68	-0.24	-0.29	-0.17	0.42	0.27	-0.86	0.51	-0.17	0.1		0.0	-0.29	0.34	-0.55	0.15	0.43
Long Term Investments	0.7	0.39	-0.73	0.67	0.22	0.74	0.68	0.71	0.77	0.81	0.42	0.3	0.73	0.64	0.64	0.29	-0.01	-0.64	0.85	0.94	0.0		0.27	0.35	-0.38	-0.07	0.24
Short Long Term Debt	0.24	0.1	-0.16	0.34	0.54	0.27	0.26	0.33	0.23	0.13	0.39	0.98	0.23	0.2	-0.19	0.26	0.11	-0.35	0.24	0.15	-0.29	0.27		-0.22	0.1	-0.55	-0.05
Cash And Equivalents	0.29	0.04	-0.5	-0.02	-0.64	0.37	0.61	0.24	0.28	0.31	-0.2	-0.18	0.45	0.18	0.53	0.0	-0.2	-0.32	0.56	0.39	0.34	0.35	-0.22		-0.33	0.75	0.26
Net Invested Capital	-0.05	-0.37	0.21	0.02	0.0	-0.03	-0.19	0.06	-0.44	-0.29	0.5	0.08	-0.05	-0.15	-0.69	-0.12	0.3	0.2	-0.18	-0.52	-0.55	-0.38	0.1	-0.33		0.02	-0.69
Net Working Capital	0.12	-0.21	-0.17	-0.16	-0.6	0.17	0.38	0.07	-0.16	-0.01	-0.19	-0.51	0.23	-0.02	0.11	-0.32	0.06	0.0	0.19	-0.09	0.15	-0.07	-0.55	0.75	0.02		-0.18
Capital Stock	-0.16	0.43	-0.11	-0.15	-0.11	-0.16	-0.03	-0.21	0.5	0.02	-0.39	-0.08	-0.07	-0.03	0.69	0.3	-0.32	-0.15	0.2	0.39	0.43	0.24	-0.05	0.26	-0.69	-0.18

Click cells to compare fundamentals

To calculate a Z-Score, one would need to know a company's current working capital, its total assets and liabilities, and the amount of its latest earnings as well as earnings before interest and tax. Z-Scores can be used to compare the odds of bankruptcy of companies in a similar line of business or firms operating in the same industry. Companies with Z-Scores above 3.1 are generally considered to be stable and healthy with a low probability of bankruptcy. Scores that fall between 1.8 and 3.1 lie in a so-called 'grey area,' with scores of less than 1 indicating the highest probability of distress. Z Score is a used widely measure by financial auditors, accountants, money managers, loan processors, wealth advisers, and day traders. In the last 25 years, many financial models that utilize z-scores proved it to be successful as a predictor of corporate bankruptcy.

Competition

Predict Geo

According to the company's disclosures, Geo Group has a Z Score of 0.0. This is 100.0% lower than that of the Commercial Services & Supplies sector and about the same as Industrials (which currently averages 0.0) industry. The z score for all United States stocks is 100.0% higher than that of the company.

Geo ESG Sustainability

Some studies have found that companies with high sustainability scores are getting higher valuations than competitors with lower social-engagement activities. While most ESG disclosures are voluntary and do not directly affect the long term financial condition, Geo's sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to Geo's managers, analysts, and investors.

Environmental

Governance

Social

Geo Institutional Holders

Institutional Holdings refers to the ownership stake in Geo that is held by large financial organizations, pension funds or endowments. Institutions may purchase large blocks of Geo's outstanding shares and can exert considerable influence upon its management. Institutional holders may also work to push the share price higher once they own the stock. Extensive social media coverage, TV shows, articles in high-profile magazines, and presentations at investor conferences help move the stock higher, increasing Geo's value.

		Shares
Carronade Capital Management Lp	2024-09-30	1.7 M
Balyasny Asset Management Llc	2024-06-30	1.4 M
Philosophy Capital Management Llc	2024-06-30	1.4 M
Northern Trust Corp	2024-09-30	1.4 M
Bank Of New York Mellon Corp	2024-06-30	1.1 M
Amvescap Plc.	2024-06-30	1.1 M
Weiss Asset Management Lp	2024-06-30	1.1 M
Nisa Investment Advisors, L.l.c.	2024-06-30	1 M
Allianz Asset Management Ag	2024-06-30	1 M
Blackrock Inc	2024-06-30	19.7 M
Vanguard Group Inc	2024-09-30	14.9 M

Geo Fundamentals

	Return On Equity	0.0323
	Return On Asset	0.0555
	Profit Margin	0.02 %
	Operating Margin	0.14 %
	Current Valuation	5.61 B
	Shares Outstanding	139.83 M
	Shares Owned By Insiders	4.74 %
	Shares Owned By Institutions	79.47 %
	Number Of Shares Shorted	5.51 M
	Price To Earning	11.19 X
	Price To Book	2.95 X
	Price To Sales	1.66 X
	Revenue	2.41 B
	Gross Profit	713 M
	EBITDA	478.17 M
	Net Income	89.1 M
	Cash And Equivalents	95.07 M
	Cash Per Share	4.88 X
	Total Debt	1.89 B
	Debt To Equity	2.79 %
	Current Ratio	2.63 X
	Book Value Per Share	9.68 X
	Cash Flow From Operations	284.93 M
	Short Ratio	2.76 X
	Earnings Per Share	0.28 X
	Price To Earnings To Growth	1.52 X
	Target Price	29.2
	Number Of Employees	18 K
	Beta	0.63
	Market Capitalization	4.02 B
	Total Asset	3.7 B
	Retained Earnings	103.09 M
	Working Capital	91.04 M
	Current Asset	438.35 M
	Current Liabilities	278.62 M
	Five Year Return	11.25 %
	Net Asset	3.7 B

About Geo Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Geo Group's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Geo using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Geo Group based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.

Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

Pair Trading with Geo

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Geo position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Geo will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving together with Geo Stock

0.89

DRVN

Driven Brands Holdings

Pair Corr

Moving against Geo Stock

0.76	CVEO	Civeo Corp	Pair Corr
0.62	MMS	Maximus	Pair Corr
0.62	PFMT	Performant Financial	Pair Corr
0.56	FA	First Advantage Corp	Pair Corr
0.53	WHLM	Wilhelmina	Pair Corr

The ability to find closely correlated positions to Geo could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Geo when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Geo - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Geo Group to buy it.

The correlation of Geo is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Geo moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Geo Group moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.

Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Geo can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.

Pair Correlation Correlation Matching

When determining whether Geo Group offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Geo's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Geo Group Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Geo Group Stock:

How To Invest In Geo

Details

Is Geo Stock a good investment?

Details

What is Geo's Net Worth?

Details

Largest Commercial Services & Supplies Companies

View

Largest Commercial & Professional Services Companies

View

Check out Geo Piotroski F Score and Geo Valuation analysis.

You can also try the Portfolio Rebalancing module to analyze risk-adjusted returns against different time horizons to find asset-allocation targets.

Is Commercial Services & Supplies space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Geo. If investors know Geo will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Geo listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.

Quarterly Earnings Growth

0.188

Earnings Share

0.28

Revenue Per Share

18.972

Quarterly Revenue Growth

0.001

Return On Assets

0.0555

The market value of Geo Group is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Geo that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Geo's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Geo's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Geo's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Geo's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.

Please note, there is a significant difference between Geo's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Geo is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Geo's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Macroaxis helps investors of all levels and skills to maximize the upside of all their holdings and minimize the risk associated with market volatility, economic swings, and company-specific events. View terms and conditions

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Geo Group Stock Z Score

Geo Group Company Z Score Analysis

Z Score

Sum Of

5 Factors

First Factor

1.2 * (

Working Capital

/

Total Assets )

Second Factor

1.4 * (

Retained Earnings

/

Total Assets )

Thrid Factor

3.3 * (

EBITAD

/

Total Assets )

Fouth Factor

0.6 * (

Market Value of Equity

/

Total Liabilities )

Fifth Factor

0.99 * (

Revenue

/

Total Assets )

Geo Z Score Driver Correlations

Geo ESG Sustainability

Geo Institutional Holders

Geo Fundamentals

About Geo Fundamental Analysis

Pair Trading with Geo

Moving together with Geo Stock

Moving against Geo Stock

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