Geron Stock Beneish M Score

GERN Stock  USD 4.07  0.05  1.24%   
This module uses fundamental data of Geron to approximate the value of its Beneish M Score. Geron M Score tells investors if the company management is likely to be manipulating earnings. The score is calculated using eight financial indicators that are adjusted by a specific multiplier. Please note, the M Score is a probabilistic model and cannot detect companies that manipulate their earnings with 100% accuracy. Check out Geron Piotroski F Score and Geron Altman Z Score analysis.
To learn how to invest in Geron Stock, please use our How to Invest in Geron guide.
  
At this time, Geron's Short and Long Term Debt Total is very stable compared to the past year. As of the 25th of November 2024, Net Debt is likely to grow to about 15.5 M, while Short and Long Term Debt is likely to drop about 24.9 M. At this time, Geron's Capex To Revenue is very stable compared to the past year.
At this time, it appears that Geron is an unlikely manipulator. The earnings manipulation may begin if Geron's top management creates an artificial sense of financial success, forcing the stock price to be traded at a high price-earnings multiple than it should be. In general, excessive earnings management by Geron executives may lead to removing some of the operating profits from subsequent periods to inflate earnings in the following periods. This way, the manipulation of Geron's earnings can lead to misrepresentations of actual financial condition, taking the otherwise loyal stakeholders on to the path of questionable ethical practices and plain fraud.
-3.01
Beneish M Score - Unlikely Manipulator
Elasticity of Receivables

0.84

Focus
Asset Quality

0.92

Focus
Expense Coverage

1.11

Focus
Gross Margin Strengs

0.95

Focus
Accruals Factor

1.11

Focus
Depreciation Resistance

1.16

Focus
Net Sales Growth

0.95

Focus
Financial Leverage Condition

1.0

Focus

Geron Beneish M-Score Indicator Trends

The cure to earnings manipulation is the transparency of financial reporting. It will typically remove the temptation of the top executives to inflate earnings (i.e., to promote the idea of 'winning at any cost'). Because a healthy internal audit department can enhance transparency, the board should promote the auditors' access to all the record-keeping systems across the enterprise. For example, if Geron's auditors report directly to the board (not management), the managers will be reluctant to manipulate simply due to the fear of punishment. On the other hand, the auditors will be free to investigate the ledgers properly because they know that the board has their back.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Net Receivables1.3 M1.7 M
Significantly Down
Slightly volatile
Total Revenue225.2 K237 K
Notably Down
Pretty Stable
Total Assets413.8 M394.1 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Total Current Assets358.4 M341.3 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Non Current Assets Total55.4 M52.7 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Property Plant Equipment1.4 M713.7 K
Way Up
Pretty Stable
Depreciation And Amortization1.4 MM
Significantly Up
Pretty Stable
Selling General Administrative72.6 M69.1 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Total Current Liabilities113.5 M108.1 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Short Term Debt50.2 M47.8 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Short Term Investments276.9 M263.7 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile

Geron Beneish M-Score Driver Matrix

One of the toughest challenges investors face today is learning how to quickly synthesize historical financial statements and information provided by the company, SEC reporting, and various external parties in order to detect the potential manipulation of earnings. Understanding the correlation between Geron's different financial indicators related to revenue, expenses, operating profit, and net earnings helps investors identify and prioritize their investing strategies towards Geron in a much-optimized way. Analyzing correlations between earnings drivers directly associated with dollar figures is the most effective way to find Geron's degree of accounting gimmicks and manipulations.

About Geron Beneish M Score

M-Score is one of many grading techniques for value stocks. It was developed by Professor M. Daniel Beneish of the Kelley School of Business at Indiana University and published in 1999 under the paper titled The Detection of Earnings Manipulation. The Beneish score is a multi-factor model that utilizes financial identifiers to compile eight variables used to classify whether a company has manipulated its reported earnings. The variables are built from the officially filed financial statements to create a final score call 'M Score.' The score helps to identify companies that are likely to manipulate their profits if they show deteriorating gross margins, operating expenses, and leverage against growing revenue.

Depreciation And Amortization

1.44 Million

At this time, Geron's Depreciation And Amortization is very stable compared to the past year.

Geron Earnings Manipulation Drivers

Although earnings manipulation is typically not the result of intentional misconduct by the c-level executives, it is still a widespread practice by the senior management of public companies such as Geron. It is usually done by a series of misrepresentations of various accounting rules and operating activities across multiple financial cycles. The best way to spot the manipulation is to examine the historical financial statement to find inconsistencies in earning reports to find trends in assets or liabilities that are not sustainable in the future.
201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Net Receivables802K722K1.8M3.1M1.7M1.3M
Total Revenue460K253K1.4M596K237K225.2K
Total Assets165.5M270.7M226.0M190.6M394.1M413.8M
Total Current Assets141.6M199.9M187.2M180.2M341.3M358.4M
Net Debt(11.4M)19.4M20.1M(1.5M)14.8M15.5M
Operating Income(72.5M)(76.9M)(114.0M)(138.6M)(193.9M)(184.2M)
Investments27.8M(105.3M)70.6M62.5M(180.3M)(171.3M)
Gross Profit Margin(110.46)(196.83)0.44(0.46)(521.11)(495.05)

Geron ESG Sustainability

Some studies have found that companies with high sustainability scores are getting higher valuations than competitors with lower social-engagement activities. While most ESG disclosures are voluntary and do not directly affect the long term financial condition, Geron's sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to Geron's managers, analysts, and investors.
Environmental
Governance
Social

About Geron Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Geron's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Geron using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Geron based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.
When determining whether Geron offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Geron's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Geron Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Geron Stock:
Check out Geron Piotroski F Score and Geron Altman Z Score analysis.
To learn how to invest in Geron Stock, please use our How to Invest in Geron guide.
You can also try the Balance Of Power module to check stock momentum by analyzing Balance Of Power indicator and other technical ratios.
Is Biotechnology space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Geron. If investors know Geron will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Geron listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(0.32)
Revenue Per Share
0.047
Quarterly Revenue Growth
171.384
Return On Assets
(0.30)
Return On Equity
(0.69)
The market value of Geron is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Geron that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Geron's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Geron's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Geron's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Geron's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Geron's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Geron is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Geron's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.