Geron Valuation

GERN Stock  USD 1.33  0.05  3.62%   
Today, the firm appears to be undervalued. Geron retains a regular Real Value of $1.84 per share. The prevalent price of the firm is $1.33. Our model calculates the value of Geron from evaluating the firm fundamentals such as Return On Equity of -0.3, current valuation of 622.31 M, and Return On Asset of -0.0779 as well as inspecting its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy. Key fundamental drivers impacting Geron's valuation include:
Price Book
3.542
Enterprise Value
622.3 M
Enterprise Value Ebitda
(9.06)
Price Sales
4.6292
Enterprise Value Revenue
3.3932
Undervalued
Today
1.33
Please note that Geron's price fluctuation is very risky at this time. Calculation of the real value of Geron is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing Geron's time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
Since Geron is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Geron Stock. However, Geron's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  1.33 Real  1.84 Target  3.6 Hype  1.33 Naive  1.38
The intrinsic value of Geron's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Geron's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
1.84
Real Value
5.37
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Geron helps investors to forecast how Geron stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Geron more accurately as focusing exclusively on Geron's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Earnings
Estimates
LowProjectedHigh
-0.03-0.03-0.03
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.071.334.86
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
0.031.384.91
Details
9 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
3.283.604.00
Details
Traditionally, analysts and sophisticated investors use multiple methods for valuing a cash-flow-generating entity or its stock. For example, some money managers use Geron's intrinsic value based on its ongoing forecasts of Geron's financial statements. In contrast, other private, professional wealth advisors use a multiplier approach by looking to relative value analysis against Geron's closest peers.

Geron Cash

95.41 Million

Geron Total Value Analysis

Geron is currently projected to have valuation of 622.31 M with market capitalization of 849.01 M, debt of 121.72 M, and cash on hands of 219.29 M. Please note that valuation may be misleading and is a subject to auditing or accounting errors. We encourage investors to vigilantly validate all of the Geron fundamentals before making equity appraisal based on enterprise value of the company
  Takeover PriceMarket CapDebt ObligationsCash
622.31 M
849.01 M
121.72 M
219.29 M

Geron Investor Information

About 82.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Geron was currently reported as 0.39. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.12. Geron had not issued any dividends in recent years. The entity had 1058:1000 split on the 22nd of July 2014. Based on the analysis of Geron's profitability, liquidity, and operating efficiency, Geron may be sliding down financialy. It has an above-average odds of going through some form of financial crisis next quarter.

Geron Asset Utilization

The asset utilization indicator refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. Geron has an asset utilization ratio of 12.97 percent. This suggests that the Company is making $0.13 for each dollar of assets. An increasing asset utilization means that Geron is more efficient with each dollar of assets it utilizes for everyday operations.
 
Dot-com Bubble
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes

Geron Profitability Analysis

Considering Geron's profitability and operating efficiency indicators, Geron may not be well positioned to generate adequate gross income at this time. It has a very high odds of underperforming in March. Profitability indicators assess Geron's ability to earn profits and add value for shareholders.
 
Net Loss  
First Reported
1996-03-31
Previous Quarter
-16.4 M
Current Value
-18.4 M
Quarterly Volatility
13.7 M
 
Dot-com Bubble
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
At this time, Geron's Gross Profit is very stable compared to the past year. As of the 29th of January 2026, Gross Profit Margin is likely to grow to 1.19, while Pretax Profit Margin is likely to drop (2.74).
For Geron profitability analysis, we use financial ratios and fundamental drivers that measure the ability of Geron to generate income relative to revenue, assets, operating costs, and current equity. These fundamental indicators attest to how well Geron utilizes its assets to generate profit and value for its shareholders. The profitability module also shows relationships between Geron's most relevant fundamental drivers. It provides multiple suggestions of what could affect the performance of Geron over time as well as its relative position and ranking within its peers.

Geron Earnings per Share Projection vs Actual

By analyzing Geron's earnings estimates, investors can diagnose different trends across Geron's analyst sentiment over time as well as compare current EPS estimates against different timeframes. Please be aware that the consensus of earnings estimates for Geron is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.
 
Dot-com Bubble
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
Geron is projected to generate -0.03125 in earnings per share on the 31st of December 2025. Geron earnings estimates show analyst consensus about projected Geron EPS (Earning Per Share). It derives the highest and the lowest estimates based on Geron's historical volatility. Many public companies, such as Geron, manage the perception of their earnings on a regular basis to make sure that analyst estimates are accurate. Future earnings calculations are also an essential input when attempting to value a firm.

Geron Ownership Allocation

Geron has a total of 638.36 Million outstanding shares. The majority of Geron outstanding shares are owned by outside corporations. These institutional investors are usually referred to as non-private investors looking to purchase positions in Geron to benefit from reduced commissions. Consequently, third-party entities are subject to a different set of regulations than regular investors in Geron. Please pay attention to any change in the institutional holdings of Geron as this could imply that something significant has changed or is about to change at the company. Please note that no matter how many assets the company holds, if the real value of the firm is less than the current market value, you may not be able to make money on it.

Geron Profitability Analysis

The company reported the previous year's revenue of 76.99 M. Net Loss for the year was (174.57 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 97.86 M.

About Geron Valuation

We use absolute and relative valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Geron. In general, an absolute valuation paradigm, as applied to this company, attempts to find the value of Geron based exclusively on its fundamental and basic technical indicators. By analyzing Geron's financials, quarterly and monthly indicators, and their related drivers, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Geron's intrinsic value. As compared to an absolute model, our relative valuation model uses a comparative analysis of Geron. We calculate exposure to Geron's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of Geron's related companies.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Gross Profit68.2 M71.6 M
Pretax Profit Margin(2.61)(2.74)
Operating Profit Margin(2.59)(2.72)
Net Loss(2.61)(2.74)
Gross Profit Margin 1.13  1.19 

Geron Current Valuation Indicators

Geron's valuation analysis is a process of estimating the intrinsic value of all assets and outstanding equities. There are different methodologies and models we use to develop the final Geron's valuation. The techniques such as discounted cash flow and fundamental indicators such as book value per share or market capitalization are well known and widely used across most financial advisers and money managers.
Valuations are an essential part of business, for companies themselves, but also for investors. For companies, such as Geron, valuations can help measure their progress and success and can help them track their performance in the market compared to others. In addition, investors can use Geron's valuations to help determine the worth of potential investments. They can do this by using data and information made public by a company. Regardless of who the valuation is for, it essentially describes Geron's worth.
When determining whether Geron offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Geron's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Geron Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Geron Stock:
Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Geron. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in real.
To learn how to invest in Geron Stock, please use our How to Invest in Geron guide.
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Will Biotechnology sector continue expanding? Could Geron diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Geron. Market participants price Geron higher when confident in its future expansion prospects. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Geron data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Earnings Share
(0.12)
Revenue Per Share
0.275
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.671
Return On Assets
(0.08)
Return On Equity
(0.30)
Understanding Geron requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Geron's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value—what Geron's is actually worth based on fundamentals—guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Geron's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Geron's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Geron is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. In contrast, Geron's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.