Guild Holdings Co Stock Beneish M Score

GHLD Stock  USD 13.79  0.14  1.03%   
This module uses fundamental data of Guild Holdings to approximate the value of its Beneish M Score. Guild Holdings M Score tells investors if the company management is likely to be manipulating earnings. The score is calculated using eight financial indicators that are adjusted by a specific multiplier. Please note, the M Score is a probabilistic model and cannot detect companies that manipulate their earnings with 100% accuracy. Check out Guild Holdings Piotroski F Score and Guild Holdings Altman Z Score analysis.
  
At present, Guild Holdings' Net Debt To EBITDA is projected to slightly grow based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Long Term Debt To Capitalization is expected to grow to 0.28, whereas Net Debt is forecasted to decline to about 386.2 M. At present, Guild Holdings' Dividend Yield is projected to increase slightly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's PTB Ratio is expected to grow to 1.43, whereas Free Cash Flow Yield is projected to grow to (0.11).
At this time, it appears that Guild Holdings is an unlikely manipulator. The earnings manipulation may begin if Guild Holdings' top management creates an artificial sense of financial success, forcing the stock price to be traded at a high price-earnings multiple than it should be. In general, excessive earnings management by Guild Holdings executives may lead to removing some of the operating profits from subsequent periods to inflate earnings in the following periods. This way, the manipulation of Guild Holdings' earnings can lead to misrepresentations of actual financial condition, taking the otherwise loyal stakeholders on to the path of questionable ethical practices and plain fraud.
-2.35
Beneish M Score - Unlikely Manipulator
Elasticity of Receivables

0.46

Focus
Asset Quality

1.01

Focus
Expense Coverage

0.87

Focus
Gross Margin Strengs

0.9

Focus
Accruals Factor

0.87

Focus
Depreciation Resistance

0.79

Focus
Net Sales Growth

1.53

Focus
Financial Leverage Condition

0.92

Focus

Guild Holdings Beneish M-Score Indicator Trends

The cure to earnings manipulation is the transparency of financial reporting. It will typically remove the temptation of the top executives to inflate earnings (i.e., to promote the idea of 'winning at any cost'). Because a healthy internal audit department can enhance transparency, the board should promote the auditors' access to all the record-keeping systems across the enterprise. For example, if Guild Holdings' auditors report directly to the board (not management), the managers will be reluctant to manipulate simply due to the fear of punishment. On the other hand, the auditors will be free to investigate the ledgers properly because they know that the board has their back.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Net Receivables62.6 M88.9 M
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Total Revenue1.1 B718.1 M
Way Up
Slightly volatile
Total Assets3.8 B3.7 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Total Current Assets157.3 M165.5 M
Notably Down
Slightly volatile
Non Current Assets Total797 M1.5 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Property Plant Equipment69.6 M102.1 M
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Depreciation And Amortization34.2 M36 M
Notably Down
Slightly volatile
Selling General Administrative727.3 M547.7 M
Significantly Up
Slightly volatile
Total Current Liabilities125.8 M132.4 M
Notably Down
Very volatile
Non Current Liabilities Total653.3 M1.1 B
Way Down
Pretty Stable
Net Debt386.2 M406.5 M
Notably Down
Slightly volatile
Short Term Debt50.1 M52.7 M
Notably Down
Very volatile
Long Term Debt399.9 M420.9 M
Notably Down
Slightly volatile
Operating Income56.5 M59.5 M
Notably Down
Pretty Stable
Short Term Investments30.5 M16.6 M
Way Up
Pretty Stable
Long Term Investments732.5 K771 K
Notably Down
Slightly volatile
Gross Profit Margin0.850.944
Moderately Down
Slightly volatile

Guild Holdings Beneish M-Score Driver Matrix

One of the toughest challenges investors face today is learning how to quickly synthesize historical financial statements and information provided by the company, SEC reporting, and various external parties in order to detect the potential manipulation of earnings. Understanding the correlation between Guild Holdings' different financial indicators related to revenue, expenses, operating profit, and net earnings helps investors identify and prioritize their investing strategies towards Guild Holdings in a much-optimized way. Analyzing correlations between earnings drivers directly associated with dollar figures is the most effective way to find Guild Holdings' degree of accounting gimmicks and manipulations.

About Guild Holdings Beneish M Score

M-Score is one of many grading techniques for value stocks. It was developed by Professor M. Daniel Beneish of the Kelley School of Business at Indiana University and published in 1999 under the paper titled The Detection of Earnings Manipulation. The Beneish score is a multi-factor model that utilizes financial identifiers to compile eight variables used to classify whether a company has manipulated its reported earnings. The variables are built from the officially filed financial statements to create a final score call 'M Score.' The score helps to identify companies that are likely to manipulate their profits if they show deteriorating gross margins, operating expenses, and leverage against growing revenue.

Depreciation And Amortization

34.21 Million

At present, Guild Holdings' Depreciation And Amortization is projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting.

Guild Holdings Earnings Manipulation Drivers

Although earnings manipulation is typically not the result of intentional misconduct by the c-level executives, it is still a widespread practice by the senior management of public companies such as Guild Holdings. It is usually done by a series of misrepresentations of various accounting rules and operating activities across multiple financial cycles. The best way to spot the manipulation is to examine the historical financial statement to find inconsistencies in earning reports to find trends in assets or liabilities that are not sustainable in the future.
201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Net Receivables38.2M43.4M68.4M58.3M88.9M62.6M
Total Revenue419.4M1.6B1.6B1.2B718.1M1.1B
Total Assets2.6B4.8B4.4B3.2B3.7B3.8B
Total Current Assets140.0M378.0M311.5M196.2M165.5M157.3M
Net Debt122.9M2.1B2.0B788.0M406.5M386.2M
Short Term Debt1.3B2.1B1.9B713.2M52.7M50.1M
Long Term Debt637.1M1.4B2.2B844.6M420.9M399.9M
Operating Income5.8M494.1M386.9M487.2M59.5M56.5M
Investments(1.0M)(18.0M)(104.7M)(7.2M)(110.0M)(104.5M)

Guild Holdings ESG Sustainability

Some studies have found that companies with high sustainability scores are getting higher valuations than competitors with lower social-engagement activities. While most ESG disclosures are voluntary and do not directly affect the long term financial condition, Guild Holdings' sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to Guild Holdings' managers, analysts, and investors.
Environmental
Governance
Social

About Guild Holdings Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Guild Holdings Co's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Guild Holdings using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Guild Holdings Co based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

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When determining whether Guild Holdings is a strong investment it is important to analyze Guild Holdings' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Guild Holdings' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Guild Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Guild Holdings Piotroski F Score and Guild Holdings Altman Z Score analysis.
You can also try the Portfolio Anywhere module to track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device.
Is Regional Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Guild Holdings. If investors know Guild will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Guild Holdings listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(1.54)
Revenue Per Share
13.555
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.30)
Return On Assets
(0)
Return On Equity
(0.08)
The market value of Guild Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Guild that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Guild Holdings' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Guild Holdings' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Guild Holdings' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Guild Holdings' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Guild Holdings' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Guild Holdings is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Guild Holdings' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.