Medalist Diversified Reit Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy

MDRR Stock

USD 12.31 0.09 0.74%

Medalist Diversified's odds of distress is over 60% at this time. It has an above-average probability of going through some form of financial crunch in the next 2 years. Medalist Diversified's Probability of distress is determined by interpolating and adjusting Medalist Altman Z Score to account for off-balance-sheet items and missing or unfiled public information. All items used in analyzing the odds of distress are taken from the Medalist balance sheet, as well as cash flow and income statements available from the company's most recent filings. Check out Medalist Diversified Piotroski F Score and Medalist Diversified Altman Z Score analysis.

As of 11/26/2024, Market Cap is likely to grow to about 34.5 M, while Enterprise Value is likely to drop slightly above 56.2 M.

Medalist Diversified Reit Company probability of distress Analysis

Medalist Diversified's Probability Of Bankruptcy is a relative measure of the likelihood of financial distress. For stocks, the Probability Of Bankruptcy is the normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs, it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within the next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100, indicating the firm's actual probability it will be financially distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.

Probability Of Bankruptcy

Normalized

Z-Score

More About Probability Of Bankruptcy | All Equity Analysis

Current Medalist Diversified Probability Of Bankruptcy

Over 61%

Most of Medalist Diversified's fundamental indicators, such as Probability Of Bankruptcy, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, Medalist Diversified Reit is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.

Our calculation of Medalist Diversified probability of bankruptcy is based on Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score, but not limited to these measures. To be applied to a broader range of industries and markets, we use several other techniques to enhance the accuracy of predicting Medalist Diversified odds of financial distress. These include financial statement analysis, different types of price predictions, earning estimates, analysis consensus, and basic intrinsic valuation. Please use the options below to get a better understanding of different measures that drive the calculation of Medalist Diversified Reit financial health.

Is Diversified REITs space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Medalist Diversified. If investors know Medalist will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Medalist Diversified listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.

Dividend Share

0.13

Earnings Share

(0.19)

Revenue Per Share

8.893

Quarterly Revenue Growth

(0.1)

Return On Assets

0.0099

The market value of Medalist Diversified Reit is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Medalist that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Medalist Diversified's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Medalist Diversified's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Medalist Diversified's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Medalist Diversified's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.

Please note, there is a significant difference between Medalist Diversified's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Medalist Diversified is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Medalist Diversified's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Medalist Probability Of Bankruptcy Driver Correlations

Understanding the fundamental principles of building solid financial models for Medalist Diversified is extremely important. It helps to project a fair market value of Medalist Stock properly, considering its historical fundamentals such as Probability Of Bankruptcy. Since Medalist Diversified's main accounts across its financial reports are all linked and dependent on each other, it is essential to analyze all possible correlations between related accounts. However, instead of reviewing all of Medalist Diversified's historical financial statements, investors can examine the correlated drivers to determine its overall health. This can be effectively done using a conventional correlation matrix of Medalist Diversified's interrelated accounts and indicators.

	Total Assets	Total Stockholder Equity	Net Tangible Assets	Retained Earnings	Total Liab	Total Current Assets	Net Debt	Accounts Payable	Capital Surpluse	Long Term Debt	Net Receivables	Short Term Investments	Long Term Debt Total	Deferred Long Term Liab	Net Invested Capital	Short Long Term Debt	Net Working Capital	Short Term Debt	Intangible Assets	Common Stock	Property Plant Equipment	Capital Stock	Current Deferred Revenue	Long Term Investments
Total Assets		0.96	0.96	-0.84	1.0	0.79	0.99	0.88	0.99	0.93	0.76	0.73	0.93	0.9	0.93	-0.56	0.82	0.41	0.84	0.66	0.93	0.59	-0.43	0.78
Total Stockholder Equity	0.96		0.97	-0.73	0.93	0.67	0.95	0.84	0.92	0.83	0.73	0.78	0.81	0.81	0.91	-0.37	0.78	0.44	0.86	0.69	0.82	0.63	-0.45	0.63
Net Tangible Assets	0.96	0.97		-0.8	0.94	0.69	0.95	0.81	0.95	0.81	0.64	0.67	0.86	0.86	0.89	-0.4	0.75	0.41	0.78	0.63	0.88	0.56	-0.41	0.7
Retained Earnings	-0.84	-0.73	-0.8		-0.86	-0.8	-0.83	-0.6	-0.84	-0.86	-0.6	-0.37	-0.9	-0.91	-0.86	0.77	-0.83	-0.43	-0.68	-0.58	-0.91	-0.52	0.45	-0.91
Total Liab	1.0	0.93	0.94	-0.86		0.83	0.99	0.87	0.99	0.94	0.77	0.7	0.95	0.93	0.93	-0.63	0.83	0.41	0.83	0.65	0.95	0.58	-0.43	0.82
Total Current Assets	0.79	0.67	0.69	-0.8	0.83		0.73	0.6	0.82	0.81	0.72	0.5	0.88	0.8	0.72	-0.86	0.91	0.17	0.6	0.55	0.79	0.5	-0.24	0.92
Net Debt	0.99	0.95	0.95	-0.83	0.99	0.73		0.9	0.98	0.93	0.72	0.71	0.91	0.9	0.94	-0.52	0.77	0.41	0.86	0.63	0.93	0.55	-0.43	0.73
Accounts Payable	0.88	0.84	0.81	-0.6	0.87	0.6	0.9		0.85	0.78	0.49	0.58	0.73	0.73	0.77	-0.32	0.52	0.07	0.76	0.32	0.77	0.25	-0.08	0.49
Capital Surpluse	0.99	0.92	0.95	-0.84	0.99	0.82	0.98	0.85		0.92	0.73	0.71	0.95	0.92	0.92	-0.58	0.81	0.37	0.79	0.62	0.95	0.54	-0.39	0.81
Long Term Debt	0.93	0.83	0.81	-0.86	0.94	0.81	0.93	0.78	0.92		0.8	0.7	0.94	0.92	0.95	-0.68	0.82	0.42	0.87	0.65	0.94	0.58	-0.45	0.82
Net Receivables	0.76	0.73	0.64	-0.6	0.77	0.72	0.72	0.49	0.73	0.8		0.85	0.75	0.7	0.77	-0.63	0.85	0.69	0.75	0.92	0.66	0.9	-0.74	0.72
Short Term Investments	0.73	0.78	0.67	-0.37	0.7	0.5	0.71	0.58	0.71	0.7	0.85		0.61	0.53	0.71	-0.23	0.65	0.51	0.73	0.72	0.56	0.68	-0.53	0.41
Long Term Debt Total	0.93	0.81	0.86	-0.9	0.95	0.88	0.91	0.73	0.95	0.94	0.75	0.61		0.98	0.92	-0.73	0.84	0.4	0.78	0.64	0.98	0.58	-0.43	0.91
Deferred Long Term Liab	0.9	0.81	0.86	-0.91	0.93	0.8	0.9	0.73	0.92	0.92	0.7	0.53	0.98		0.94	-0.65	0.77	0.42	0.83	0.65	0.98	0.59	-0.44	0.85
Net Invested Capital	0.93	0.91	0.89	-0.86	0.93	0.72	0.94	0.77	0.92	0.95	0.77	0.71	0.92	0.94		-0.53	0.79	0.5	0.95	0.73	0.94	0.66	-0.52	0.74
Short Long Term Debt	-0.56	-0.37	-0.4	0.77	-0.63	-0.86	-0.52	-0.32	-0.58	-0.68	-0.63	-0.23	-0.73	-0.65	-0.53		-0.8	-0.31	-0.37	-0.51	-0.63	-0.48	0.38	-0.92
Net Working Capital	0.82	0.78	0.75	-0.83	0.83	0.91	0.77	0.52	0.81	0.82	0.85	0.65	0.84	0.77	0.79	-0.8		0.48	0.68	0.78	0.76	0.73	-0.53	0.9
Short Term Debt	0.41	0.44	0.41	-0.43	0.41	0.17	0.41	0.07	0.37	0.42	0.69	0.51	0.4	0.42	0.5	-0.31	0.48		0.43	0.85	0.38	0.86	-1.0	0.43
Intangible Assets	0.84	0.86	0.78	-0.68	0.83	0.6	0.86	0.76	0.79	0.87	0.75	0.73	0.78	0.83	0.95	-0.37	0.68	0.43		0.7	0.81	0.65	-0.44	0.55
Common Stock	0.66	0.69	0.63	-0.58	0.65	0.55	0.63	0.32	0.62	0.65	0.92	0.72	0.64	0.65	0.73	-0.51	0.78	0.85	0.7		0.58	1.0	-0.88	0.64
Property Plant Equipment	0.93	0.82	0.88	-0.91	0.95	0.79	0.93	0.77	0.95	0.94	0.66	0.56	0.98	0.98	0.94	-0.63	0.76	0.38	0.81	0.58		0.5	-0.39	0.84
Capital Stock	0.59	0.63	0.56	-0.52	0.58	0.5	0.55	0.25	0.54	0.58	0.9	0.68	0.58	0.59	0.66	-0.48	0.73	0.86	0.65	1.0	0.5		-0.89	0.6
Current Deferred Revenue	-0.43	-0.45	-0.41	0.45	-0.43	-0.24	-0.43	-0.08	-0.39	-0.45	-0.74	-0.53	-0.43	-0.44	-0.52	0.38	-0.53	-1.0	-0.44	-0.88	-0.39	-0.89		-0.48
Long Term Investments	0.78	0.63	0.7	-0.91	0.82	0.92	0.73	0.49	0.81	0.82	0.72	0.41	0.91	0.85	0.74	-0.92	0.9	0.43	0.55	0.64	0.84	0.6	-0.48

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The Probability of Bankruptcy SHOULD NOT be confused with the actual chance of a company to file for chapter 7, 11, 12, or 13 bankruptcy protection. Macroaxis simply defines Financial Distress as an operational condition where a company is having difficulty meeting its current financial obligations towards its creditors or delivering on the expectations of its investors. Macroaxis derives these conditions daily from both public financial statements as well as analysis of stock prices reacting to market conditions or economic downturns, including short-term and long-term historical volatility. Other factors taken into account include analysis of liquidity, revenue patterns, R&D expenses, and commitments, as well as public headlines and social sentiment.

Competition

Predict Medalist Diversified

Based on the latest financial disclosure, Medalist Diversified Reit has a Probability Of Bankruptcy of 61%. This is 42.62% higher than that of the Diversified REITs sector and significantly higher than that of the Real Estate industry. The probability of bankruptcy for all United States stocks is 53.15% lower than that of the firm.

Medalist Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison

Stock peer comparison is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It analyses Medalist Diversified's direct or indirect competition against its Probability Of Bankruptcy to detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics or determine the stocks which would be a good addition to a portfolio. Peer analysis of Medalist Diversified could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Medalist Diversified by comparing valuation metrics of similar companies.

Medalist Diversified is currently under evaluation in probability of bankruptcy category among its peers.

Medalist Diversified Main Bankruptcy Drivers

	2019	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024 (projected)
Return On Assets	(0.0649)	(0.15)	(0.11)	(0.0565)	(0.0552)	(0.058)
Gross Profit Margin	0.46	0.47	0.49	0.57	0.65	0.75
Net Debt	58.9M	48.0M	50.1M	57.4M	49.5M	44.3M
Total Current Liabilities	4.4M	12.0M	8.9M	1.2M	2.4M	4.1M
Non Current Liabilities Total	58.0M	55.6M	60.6M	68.0M	66.6M	50.5M
Total Assets	83.2M	79.3M	92.5M	87.9M	82.7M	63.4M
Total Current Assets	2.7M	18.6M	18.6M	7.1M	15.1M	7.9M
Total Cash From Operating Activities	805.7K	(1.7M)	832.6K	1.2M	104.0K	114.8K

Medalist Diversified ESG Sustainability

Some studies have found that companies with high sustainability scores are getting higher valuations than competitors with lower social-engagement activities. While most ESG disclosures are voluntary and do not directly affect the long term financial condition, Medalist Diversified's sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to Medalist Diversified's managers, analysts, and investors.

Environmental

Governance

Social

Medalist Fundamentals

	Return On Equity	0.0251
	Return On Asset	0.0099
	Profit Margin	(0.02) %
	Operating Margin	0.13 %
	Current Valuation	60.73 M
	Shares Outstanding	1.12 M
	Shares Owned By Insiders	50.42 %
	Shares Owned By Institutions	4.40 %
	Number Of Shares Shorted	3.24 K
	Price To Earning	(4.55) X
	Price To Book	1.09 X
	Price To Sales	1.37 X
	Revenue	10.27 M
	Gross Profit	7.16 M
	EBITDA	3.54 M
	Net Income	(4.57 M)
	Cash And Equivalents	2.48 M
	Cash Per Share	0.14 X
	Total Debt	58.33 M
	Debt To Equity	3.39 %
	Current Ratio	9.77 X
	Book Value Per Share	11.26 X
	Cash Flow From Operations	104.01 K
	Short Ratio	0.78 X
	Earnings Per Share	(0.19) X
	Target Price	9.0
	Beta	0.74
	Market Capitalization	13.63 M
	Total Asset	82.75 M
	Retained Earnings	(35.86 M)
	Working Capital	3.24 M
	Annual Yield	0.02 %
	Net Asset	82.75 M
	Last Dividend Paid	0.13

About Medalist Diversified Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Medalist Diversified Reit's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Medalist Diversified using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Medalist Diversified Reit based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.

Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

Additional Tools for Medalist Stock Analysis

When running Medalist Diversified's price analysis, check to measure Medalist Diversified's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Medalist Diversified is operating at the current time. Most of Medalist Diversified's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Medalist Diversified's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Medalist Diversified's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Medalist Diversified to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.

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Medalist Diversified Reit Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy

Medalist Diversified Reit Company probability of distress Analysis

Probability Of Bankruptcy

Normalized

Z-Score

Current Medalist Diversified Probability Of Bankruptcy

Medalist Probability Of Bankruptcy Driver Correlations

Medalist Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison

Medalist Diversified Main Bankruptcy Drivers

Medalist Diversified ESG Sustainability

Medalist Fundamentals

About Medalist Diversified Fundamental Analysis

Additional Tools for Medalist Stock Analysis

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