Medifast Inc Stock Beneish M Score

MED Stock  USD 18.41  0.11  0.60%   
This module uses fundamental data of MEDIFAST INC to approximate the value of its Beneish M Score. MEDIFAST INC M Score tells investors if the company management is likely to be manipulating earnings. The score is calculated using eight financial indicators that are adjusted by a specific multiplier. Please note, the M Score is a probabilistic model and cannot detect companies that manipulate their earnings with 100% accuracy. Check out MEDIFAST INC Piotroski F Score and MEDIFAST INC Altman Z Score analysis.
For information on how to trade MEDIFAST Stock refer to our How to Trade MEDIFAST Stock guide.
  
At present, MEDIFAST INC's Short Term Debt is projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Short and Long Term Debt is expected to grow to about 277.2 K, whereas Net Debt To EBITDA is forecasted to decline to (0.55). At present, MEDIFAST INC's PTB Ratio is projected to slightly grow based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Book Value Per Share is expected to grow to 19.44, whereas Days Sales Outstanding is forecasted to decline to 0.25.
At this time, it appears that MEDIFAST INC is an unlikely manipulator. The earnings manipulation may begin if MEDIFAST INC's top management creates an artificial sense of financial success, forcing the stock price to be traded at a high price-earnings multiple than it should be. In general, excessive earnings management by MEDIFAST INC executives may lead to removing some of the operating profits from subsequent periods to inflate earnings in the following periods. This way, the manipulation of MEDIFAST INC's earnings can lead to misrepresentations of actual financial condition, taking the otherwise loyal stakeholders on to the path of questionable ethical practices and plain fraud.
-3.03
Beneish M Score - Unlikely Manipulator
Elasticity of Receivables

1.0

Focus
Asset Quality

0.93

Focus
Expense Coverage

1.0

Focus
Gross Margin Strengs

0.75

Focus
Accruals Factor

1.0

Focus
Depreciation Resistance

1.0

Focus
Net Sales Growth

1.05

Focus
Financial Leverage Condition

1.35

Focus

MEDIFAST INC Beneish M-Score Indicator Trends

The cure to earnings manipulation is the transparency of financial reporting. It will typically remove the temptation of the top executives to inflate earnings (i.e., to promote the idea of 'winning at any cost'). Because a healthy internal audit department can enhance transparency, the board should promote the auditors' access to all the record-keeping systems across the enterprise. For example, if MEDIFAST INC's auditors report directly to the board (not management), the managers will be reluctant to manipulate simply due to the fear of punishment. On the other hand, the auditors will be free to investigate the ledgers properly because they know that the board has their back.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Total Revenue1.1 B1.1 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Total Assets325.4 M309.9 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Total Current Assets235.2 M224 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Non Current Assets Total90.2 M85.9 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Property Plant Equipment69.1 M65.8 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Depreciation And Amortization13.8 M13.1 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Selling General Administrative678.4 M646 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Total Current Liabilities96.9 M92.3 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Non Current Liabilities Total16.9 M16.1 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Operating Income132.7 M126.4 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Gross Profit Margin0.540.7237
Way Down
Very volatile

MEDIFAST INC Beneish M-Score Driver Matrix

One of the toughest challenges investors face today is learning how to quickly synthesize historical financial statements and information provided by the company, SEC reporting, and various external parties in order to detect the potential manipulation of earnings. Understanding the correlation between MEDIFAST INC's different financial indicators related to revenue, expenses, operating profit, and net earnings helps investors identify and prioritize their investing strategies towards MEDIFAST INC in a much-optimized way. Analyzing correlations between earnings drivers directly associated with dollar figures is the most effective way to find MEDIFAST INC's degree of accounting gimmicks and manipulations.

About MEDIFAST INC Beneish M Score

M-Score is one of many grading techniques for value stocks. It was developed by Professor M. Daniel Beneish of the Kelley School of Business at Indiana University and published in 1999 under the paper titled The Detection of Earnings Manipulation. The Beneish score is a multi-factor model that utilizes financial identifiers to compile eight variables used to classify whether a company has manipulated its reported earnings. The variables are built from the officially filed financial statements to create a final score call 'M Score.' The score helps to identify companies that are likely to manipulate their profits if they show deteriorating gross margins, operating expenses, and leverage against growing revenue.

Other Operating Expenses

992.93 Million

At present, MEDIFAST INC's Other Operating Expenses is projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting.

MEDIFAST INC Earnings Manipulation Drivers

Although earnings manipulation is typically not the result of intentional misconduct by the c-level executives, it is still a widespread practice by the senior management of public companies such as MEDIFAST INC. It is usually done by a series of misrepresentations of various accounting rules and operating activities across multiple financial cycles. The best way to spot the manipulation is to examine the historical financial statement to find inconsistencies in earning reports to find trends in assets or liabilities that are not sustainable in the future.
201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Net Receivables1.0M1.4M584K0.08.7M9.2M
Total Revenue713.7M934.8M1.5B1.6B1.1B1.1B
Total Assets194.7M276.1M398.3M316.2M309.9M325.4M
Total Current Assets154.2M234.3M306.9M222.8M224.0M235.2M
Net Debt(63.4M)(152.6M)(71.6M)(61.6M)(72.4M)(68.8M)
Short Term Debt3.2M7.3M6.5M5.8M11.8M12.4M
Operating Income91.0M134.2M216.2M184.8M126.4M132.7M
Investments3.7M4.6M5.1M5.3M(59.4M)(56.4M)

MEDIFAST INC ESG Sustainability

Some studies have found that companies with high sustainability scores are getting higher valuations than competitors with lower social-engagement activities. While most ESG disclosures are voluntary and do not directly affect the long term financial condition, MEDIFAST INC's sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to MEDIFAST INC's managers, analysts, and investors.
Environmental
Governance
Social

About MEDIFAST INC Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze MEDIFAST INC's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of MEDIFAST INC using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of MEDIFAST INC based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

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When determining whether MEDIFAST INC is a strong investment it is important to analyze MEDIFAST INC's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact MEDIFAST INC's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding MEDIFAST Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out MEDIFAST INC Piotroski F Score and MEDIFAST INC Altman Z Score analysis.
For information on how to trade MEDIFAST Stock refer to our How to Trade MEDIFAST Stock guide.
You can also try the Portfolio Volatility module to check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk.
Is Personal Care Products space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of MEDIFAST INC. If investors know MEDIFAST will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about MEDIFAST INC listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.95)
Earnings Share
0.67
Revenue Per Share
61.769
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.41)
Return On Assets
0.0477
The market value of MEDIFAST INC is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of MEDIFAST that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of MEDIFAST INC's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is MEDIFAST INC's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because MEDIFAST INC's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect MEDIFAST INC's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between MEDIFAST INC's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if MEDIFAST INC is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, MEDIFAST INC's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.