Medifast Inc Stock Technical Analysis

MED Stock  USD 10.62  0.09  0.84%   
As of the 20th of February, MEDIFAST INC secures the risk adjusted performance of (0.02), and Mean Deviation of 1.82. Compared to fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model lets you check possible technical drivers of MEDIFAST INC, as well as the relationship between them. Please verify MEDIFAST INC variance, as well as the relationship between the maximum drawdown and skewness to decide if MEDIFAST INC is priced fairly, providing market reflects its recent price of 10.62 per share. Given that MEDIFAST INC has information ratio of (0.07), we recommend you to check MEDIFAST INC's last-minute market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself in the future.

MEDIFAST INC Momentum Analysis

Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as MEDIFAST, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to MEDIFASTMEDIFAST INC's Momentum analyses are specifically helpful, as they help investors time the market using mark points where the market can reverse. The reversal spots are usually identified through divergence between price movement and momentum.

MEDIFAST INC Analyst Consensus

Target PriceConsensus# of Analysts
12.0Hold1Odds
MEDIFAST INC current and past analyst recommendations published by a number of research institutions as well as average analyst consensus.
Most MEDIFAST analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand MEDIFAST stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of MEDIFAST INC, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to MEDIFAST conference calls.
MEDIFAST Analyst Advice Details
Will Personal Care Products sector continue expanding? Could MEDIFAST diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of MEDIFAST INC. Expected growth trajectory for MEDIFAST significantly influences the price investors are willing to assign. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every MEDIFAST INC data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.87)
Earnings Share
0.02
Revenue Per Share
35.132
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.37)
Return On Assets
(0.03)
Investors evaluate MEDIFAST INC using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating MEDIFAST INC's intrinsic value - the estimated true worth - helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause MEDIFAST INC's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
Understanding that MEDIFAST INC's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether MEDIFAST INC represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. Conversely, MEDIFAST INC's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.

MEDIFAST INC 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to MEDIFAST INC's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of MEDIFAST INC.
0.00
11/22/2025
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 3 months and 1 day
02/20/2026
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in MEDIFAST INC on November 22, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding MEDIFAST INC or generate 0.0% return on investment in MEDIFAST INC over 90 days. MEDIFAST INC is related to or competes with Torrid Holdings, Bassett Furniture, Clarus Corp, 1StdibsCom, China Automotive, Faraday Future, and Kewaunee Scientific. Medifast, Inc., through its subsidiaries, manufactures and distributes weight loss, weight management, healthy living pr... More

MEDIFAST INC Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure MEDIFAST INC's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess MEDIFAST INC upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

MEDIFAST INC Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for MEDIFAST INC's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as MEDIFAST INC's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use MEDIFAST INC historical prices to predict the future MEDIFAST INC's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of MEDIFAST INC's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
8.3010.6312.96
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
9.1711.5013.83
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
8.0310.3612.68
Details
1 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
10.9212.0013.32
Details

MEDIFAST INC February 20, 2026 Technical Indicators

MEDIFAST INC Backtested Returns

At this point, MEDIFAST INC is not too volatile. MEDIFAST INC has Sharpe Ratio of 0.0135, which conveys that the firm had a 0.0135 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-three technical indicators for MEDIFAST INC, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please verify MEDIFAST INC's risk adjusted performance of (0.02), and Mean Deviation of 1.82 to check out if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0314%. MEDIFAST INC has a performance score of 1 on a scale of 0 to 100. The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 1.23, which conveys a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, MEDIFAST INC will likely underperform. MEDIFAST INC at this time secures a risk of 2.33%. Please verify MEDIFAST INC skewness, day typical price, and the relationship between the maximum drawdown and daily balance of power , to decide if MEDIFAST INC will be following its current price movements.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.39  

Below average predictability

MEDIFAST INC has below average predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between MEDIFAST INC time series from 22nd of November 2025 to 6th of January 2026 and 6th of January 2026 to 20th of February 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of MEDIFAST INC price movement. The serial correlation of 0.39 indicates that just about 39.0% of current MEDIFAST INC price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.39
Spearman Rank Test-0.16
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.17
MEDIFAST INC technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of MEDIFAST INC technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of MEDIFAST INC trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...

MEDIFAST INC Technical Analysis

Indicator
Time Period
Execute Indicator
The output start index for this execution was ten with a total number of output elements of fifty-one. The Average True Range was developed by J. Welles Wilder in 1970s. It is one of components of the Welles Wilder Directional Movement indicators. The ATR is a measure of MEDIFAST INC volatility. High ATR values indicate high volatility, and low values indicate low volatility.

About MEDIFAST INC Technical Analysis

The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of MEDIFAST INC on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of MEDIFAST INC based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this company, focuses on MEDIFAST INC price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding MEDIFAST INC. By analyzing MEDIFAST INC's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of MEDIFAST INC's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to MEDIFAST INC specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.
 2023 2024 2025 2026 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.09980.0037130.0016630.00158
Price To Sales Ratio0.680.320.30.29

MEDIFAST INC February 20, 2026 Technical Indicators

Most technical analysis of MEDIFAST help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for MEDIFAST from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze MEDIFAST charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

MEDIFAST INC February 20, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators

Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as MEDIFAST stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

Complementary Tools for MEDIFAST Stock analysis

When running MEDIFAST INC's price analysis, check to measure MEDIFAST INC's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy MEDIFAST INC is operating at the current time. Most of MEDIFAST INC's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of MEDIFAST INC's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move MEDIFAST INC's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of MEDIFAST INC to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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