Melco Resorts Entertainment Stock Beneish M Score

MLCO Stock  USD 6.06  0.01  0.17%   
This module uses fundamental data of Melco Resorts to approximate the value of its Beneish M Score. Melco Resorts M Score tells investors if the company management is likely to be manipulating earnings. The score is calculated using eight financial indicators that are adjusted by a specific multiplier. Please note, the M Score is a probabilistic model and cannot detect companies that manipulate their earnings with 100% accuracy. Check out Melco Resorts Piotroski F Score and Melco Resorts Altman Z Score analysis.
  
At this time, Melco Resorts' Interest Debt Per Share is very stable compared to the past year. As of the 21st of November 2024, Debt To Assets is likely to grow to 0.95, while Long Term Debt Total is likely to drop about 4.5 B. At this time, Melco Resorts' Capex To Operating Cash Flow is very stable compared to the past year. As of the 21st of November 2024, PFCF Ratio is likely to grow to 11.37, while Price To Sales Ratio is likely to drop 0.98.
At this time, it appears that Melco Resorts Entert is a possible manipulator. The earnings manipulation may begin if Melco Resorts' top management creates an artificial sense of financial success, forcing the stock price to be traded at a high price-earnings multiple than it should be. In general, excessive earnings management by Melco Resorts executives may lead to removing some of the operating profits from subsequent periods to inflate earnings in the following periods. This way, the manipulation of Melco Resorts' earnings can lead to misrepresentations of actual financial condition, taking the otherwise loyal stakeholders on to the path of questionable ethical practices and plain fraud.
29.5
Beneish M Score - Possible Manipulator
Elasticity of Receivables

1.2

Focus
Asset Quality

80.25

Focus
Expense Coverage

0.87

Focus
Gross Margin Strengs

1.48

Focus
Accruals Factor

0.87

Focus
Depreciation Resistance

0.86

Focus
Net Sales Growth

0.79

Focus
Financial Leverage Condition

1.22

Focus

Melco Resorts Beneish M-Score Indicator Trends

The cure to earnings manipulation is the transparency of financial reporting. It will typically remove the temptation of the top executives to inflate earnings (i.e., to promote the idea of 'winning at any cost'). Because a healthy internal audit department can enhance transparency, the board should promote the auditors' access to all the record-keeping systems across the enterprise. For example, if Melco Resorts' auditors report directly to the board (not management), the managers will be reluctant to manipulate simply due to the fear of punishment. On the other hand, the auditors will be free to investigate the ledgers properly because they know that the board has their back.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Net Receivables87.8 M92.4 M
Notably Down
Slightly volatile
Total RevenueB3.8 B
Significantly Down
Very volatile
Total AssetsB8.3 B
Fairly Down
Slightly volatile
Total Current Assets1.7 B1.5 B
Moderately Up
Very volatile
Non Current Assets Total5.6 B6.8 B
Significantly Down
Slightly volatile
Property Plant EquipmentB6.8 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Selling General Administrative336.1 M488.1 M
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Total Current Liabilities996.9 M1.1 B
Moderately Down
Slightly volatile
Non Current Liabilities Total8.5 B8.1 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Short Term Debt146.5 M91.3 M
Way Up
Pretty Stable
Long Term Debt7.8 B7.5 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Gross Profit Margin0.350.2362
Way Up
Slightly volatile

Melco Resorts Entert Beneish M-Score Driver Matrix

One of the toughest challenges investors face today is learning how to quickly synthesize historical financial statements and information provided by the company, SEC reporting, and various external parties in order to detect the potential manipulation of earnings. Understanding the correlation between Melco Resorts' different financial indicators related to revenue, expenses, operating profit, and net earnings helps investors identify and prioritize their investing strategies towards Melco Resorts in a much-optimized way. Analyzing correlations between earnings drivers directly associated with dollar figures is the most effective way to find Melco Resorts' degree of accounting gimmicks and manipulations.

About Melco Resorts Beneish M Score

M-Score is one of many grading techniques for value stocks. It was developed by Professor M. Daniel Beneish of the Kelley School of Business at Indiana University and published in 1999 under the paper titled The Detection of Earnings Manipulation. The Beneish score is a multi-factor model that utilizes financial identifiers to compile eight variables used to classify whether a company has manipulated its reported earnings. The variables are built from the officially filed financial statements to create a final score call 'M Score.' The score helps to identify companies that are likely to manipulate their profits if they show deteriorating gross margins, operating expenses, and leverage against growing revenue.

Depreciation And Amortization

374.78 Million

At this time, Melco Resorts' Depreciation And Amortization is very stable compared to the past year.

Melco Resorts Earnings Manipulation Drivers

Although earnings manipulation is typically not the result of intentional misconduct by the c-level executives, it is still a widespread practice by the senior management of public companies such as Melco Resorts. It is usually done by a series of misrepresentations of various accounting rules and operating activities across multiple financial cycles. The best way to spot the manipulation is to examine the historical financial statement to find inconsistencies in earning reports to find trends in assets or liabilities that are not sustainable in the future.
201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Net Receivables284.8M129.6M54.9M56.6M92.4M87.8M
Total Revenue5.7B1.7B2.0B1.3B3.8B3.0B
Total Assets9.5B9.0B8.9B9.3B8.3B7.0B
Total Current Assets1.9B2.0B1.9B2.1B1.5B1.7B
Net Debt3.4B4.3B5.4B6.9B6.5B6.8B
Short Term Debt73.0M107.1M130.8M417.9M91.3M146.5M
Long Term Debt4.4B5.6B6.6B8.1B7.5B7.8B
Operating Income747.7M(940.6M)(578.8M)(743.1M)65.0M89.5M
Investments(1.0B)410.0M(674.6M)(806.1M)(48.5M)(50.9M)
Gross Profit Margin0.370.110.260.210.240.35

Melco Resorts ESG Sustainability

Some studies have found that companies with high sustainability scores are getting higher valuations than competitors with lower social-engagement activities. While most ESG disclosures are voluntary and do not directly affect the long term financial condition, Melco Resorts' sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to Melco Resorts' managers, analysts, and investors.
Environmental
Governance
Social

About Melco Resorts Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Melco Resorts Entertainment's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Melco Resorts using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Melco Resorts Entertainment based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

Pair Trading with Melco Resorts

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Melco Resorts position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Melco Resorts will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving against Melco Stock

  0.78PNST Pinstripes Holdings Symbol ChangePairCorr
  0.68MOND Mondee HoldingsPairCorr
  0.63BTBDW BT Brands WarrantPairCorr
  0.42XPOF Xponential Fitness Downward RallyPairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Melco Resorts could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Melco Resorts when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Melco Resorts - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Melco Resorts Entertainment to buy it.
The correlation of Melco Resorts is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Melco Resorts moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Melco Resorts Entert moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Melco Resorts can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching
When determining whether Melco Resorts Entert offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Melco Resorts' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Melco Resorts Entertainment Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Melco Resorts Entertainment Stock:
Check out Melco Resorts Piotroski F Score and Melco Resorts Altman Z Score analysis.
You can also try the Pattern Recognition module to use different Pattern Recognition models to time the market across multiple global exchanges.
Is Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Melco Resorts. If investors know Melco will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Melco Resorts listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
7.797
Earnings Share
(0.32)
Revenue Per Share
10.403
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.155
Return On Assets
0.0375
The market value of Melco Resorts Entert is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Melco that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Melco Resorts' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Melco Resorts' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Melco Resorts' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Melco Resorts' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Melco Resorts' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Melco Resorts is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Melco Resorts' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.