Xponential Fitness Stock Analysis

XPOF Stock  USD 14.94  0.57  3.97%   
Xponential Fitness is undervalued with Real Value of 18.96 and Target Price of 33.69. The main objective of Xponential Fitness stock analysis is to determine its intrinsic value, which is an estimate of what Xponential Fitness is worth, separate from its market price. There are two main types of Xponential Fitness' stock analysis: fundamental analysis and technical analysis.
The Xponential Fitness stock is traded in the USA on New York Stock Exchange, with the market opening at 09:30:00 and closing at 16:00:00 every Mon,Tue,Wed,Thu,Fri except for officially observed holidays in the USA. Here, you can get updates on important government artifacts, including earning estimates, SEC corporate filings, announcements, and Xponential Fitness' ongoing operational relationships across important fundamental and technical indicators.
  
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For more detail on how to invest in Xponential Stock please use our How to Invest in Xponential Fitness guide.

Xponential Stock Analysis Notes

About 94.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.93. Xponential Fitness recorded a loss per share of 1.15. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. Xponential Fitness, Inc., through its subsidiaries, operates as a boutique fitness franchisor in the United States and internationally. The company was founded in 2017 and is headquartered in Irvine, California. Xponential Fitness operates under Leisure classification in the United States and is traded on New York Stock Exchange. It employs 232 people. For more information please call Mark King at 949 346 3000 or visit https://www.xponential.com.

Xponential Fitness Quarterly Total Revenue

80.49 Million

Xponential Fitness Investment Alerts

Xponential Fitness had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Xponential Fitness currently holds 406.62 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 1.56, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Xponential Fitness has a current ratio of 0.87, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Xponential Fitness' use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity.
The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 318.66 M. Net Loss for the year was (1.71 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 162 M.
Xponential Fitness has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Over 94.0% of Xponential Fitness outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from investing.com: Mark Grabowski sells .8m in Xponential Fitness stock

Xponential Fitness Upcoming and Recent Events

7th of March 2024
Upcoming Quarterly Report
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2nd of May 2024
Next Financial Report
View
31st of December 2023
Next Fiscal Quarter End
View
7th of March 2024
Next Fiscal Year End
View
30th of September 2023
Last Quarter Report
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31st of December 2022
Last Financial Announcement
View

Xponential Largest EPS Surprises

Earnings surprises can significantly impact Xponential Fitness' stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2023-11-07
2023-09-300.150.11-0.0426 
2024-05-02
2024-03-310.220.16-0.0627 
2024-02-29
2023-12-310.150.08-0.0746 
View All Earnings Estimates

Xponential Fitness Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) Scores

Xponential Fitness' ESG score is a quantitative measure that evaluates Xponential Fitness' performance and commitment regarding environmental, social, and governance (ESG) factors. These scores are becoming increasingly crucial in investment decision-making processes, providing insights into non-financial aspects of Xponential Fitness' operations that may have significant financial implications and affect Xponential Fitness' stock price as well as guide investors towards more socially responsible investments.

Xponential Fitness Thematic Classifications

In addition to having Xponential Fitness stock in your portfolios, you can add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your favorite investment opportunity, you can then obtain an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility. If you are a result-oriented investor, you can benefit from optimizing one of our existing themes to build an efficient portfolio against your specific investing outlook.
Entertainment Idea
Entertainment
USA Equities from Entertainment industry as classified by Fama & French
Health Management Idea
Health Management
Healthcare providers, hospitals
Recreation Idea
Recreation
USA Equities from Recreation industry as classified by Fama & French

Xponential Stock Institutional Investors

Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Goldman Sachs Group Inc2024-06-30
881.5 K
State Street Corp2024-06-30
539.1 K
Geode Capital Management, Llc2024-09-30
538.4 K
Millennium Management Llc2024-06-30
398.7 K
Gratia Capital, Llc2024-09-30
359.2 K
Caption Management, Llc2024-09-30
298.5 K
Jcp Investment Management, Llc2024-06-30
251 K
Jpmorgan Chase & Co2024-06-30
240.3 K
Northern Trust Corp2024-09-30
203.1 K
Nut Tree Capital Management, Lp2024-09-30
M
Voss Capital Llc2024-09-30
2.8 M
Note, although Xponential Fitness' institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Xponential Market Capitalization

The company currently falls under 'Small-Cap' category with a current market capitalization of 721.65 M.

Xponential Profitablity

The company has Profit Margin (PM) of (0.09) %, which may suggest that it does not properly executes on its current pricing strategies or is unable to control all of the operational costs. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows Operating Margin (OM) of 0.02 %, which suggests for every 100 dollars of sales, it generated a net operating income of $0.02.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets(0.07)(0.08)
Return On Capital Employed 0.09  0.10 
Return On Assets(0.03)(0.03)
Return On Equity 1.65  1.73 

Management Efficiency

Xponential Fitness has return on total asset (ROA) of 0.0441 % which means that it generated a profit of $0.0441 on every $100 spent on assets. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows a return on stockholder's equity (ROE) of (0.2884) %, meaning that it created substantial loss on money invested by shareholders. Xponential Fitness' management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well Xponential Fitness manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. At this time, Xponential Fitness' Return On Capital Employed is most likely to increase slightly in the upcoming years. The Xponential Fitness' current Return On Equity is estimated to increase to 1.73, while Return On Tangible Assets are projected to decrease to (0.08). At this time, Xponential Fitness' Intangible Assets are most likely to increase significantly in the upcoming years. The Xponential Fitness' current Intangibles To Total Assets is estimated to increase to 0.77, while Net Tangible Assets are projected to decrease to (141.3 M).
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Book Value Per Share(2.78)(2.92)
Tangible Book Value Per Share(11.97)(12.57)
Enterprise Value Over EBITDA 11.45  12.03 
Price Book Value Ratio(38.65)(36.71)
Enterprise Value Multiple 11.45  12.03 
Price Fair Value(38.65)(36.71)
Enterprise Value539.2 M479.3 M
The management team at Xponential Fitness has a track record of steering the company towards sustained growth. Evaluating their strategies helps in understanding the stock's long-term potential.
Operating Margin
0.0216
Profit Margin
(0.09)
Beta
1.186
Return On Assets
0.0441
Return On Equity
(0.29)

Technical Drivers

As of the 24th of November, Xponential Fitness maintains the Market Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1842, downside deviation of 3.43, and Mean Deviation of 2.92. Relative to fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model lets you check existing technical drivers of Xponential Fitness, as well as the relationship between them. Please check out Xponential Fitness information ratio, potential upside, as well as the relationship between the Potential Upside and kurtosis to decide if Xponential Fitness is priced fairly, providing market reflects its latest price of 14.94 per share. Given that Xponential Fitness has jensen alpha of 0.0605, we strongly advise you to confirm Xponential Fitness's prevalent market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.

Xponential Fitness Price Movement Analysis

The output start index for this execution was two with a total number of output elements of fifty-nine. The Bollinger Bands is very popular indicator that was developed by John Bollinger. It consist of three lines. Xponential Fitness middle band is a simple moving average of its typical price. The upper and lower bands are (N) standard deviations above and below the middle band. The bands widen and narrow when the volatility of the price is higher or lower, respectively. The upper and lower bands can also be interpreted as price targets for Xponential Fitness. When the price bounces off of the lower band and crosses the middle band, then the upper band becomes the price target.

Xponential Fitness Insider Trading Activities

Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific Xponential Fitness insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on Xponential Fitness' material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases Xponential Fitness insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.

Xponential Fitness Outstanding Bonds

Xponential Fitness issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the largest components of the U.S. bond market, which is considered the world's largest securities market. Xponential Fitness uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt. Most Xponential bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when Xponential Fitness has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.

Xponential Fitness Predictive Daily Indicators

Xponential Fitness intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Xponential Fitness stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.

Xponential Fitness Corporate Filings

F4
22nd of November 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
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8K
21st of November 2024
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
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F3
19th of November 2024
The report used by insiders such as officers, directors, and major shareholders (beneficial owners holding more than 10% of any class of the company's equity securities) to declare their ownership of a company's stock
ViewVerify
8K
18th of November 2024
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
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13A
14th of November 2024
The form used by investors holding more than 5% of a company's stock, to report their beneficial ownership pursuant to Rule 13d-1 or Rule 13d-2 under the Securities Exchange Act of 1934
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10Q
12th of November 2024
Quarterly performance report mandated by Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), to be filed by publicly traded corporations
ViewVerify
8K
7th of November 2024
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
8K
4th of November 2024
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify

Xponential Fitness Forecast Models

Xponential Fitness' time-series forecasting models are one of many Xponential Fitness' stock analysis techniques aimed at predicting future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Xponential Fitness' historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

About Xponential Stock Analysis

Stock analysis is the technique used by a trader or investor to examine and evaluate how Xponential Fitness prices is reacting to, or reflecting on a current market direction and economic conditions. It can be used to make informed decisions about market timing, and when buying or selling Xponential shares will generate the highest return on investment. We also built our stock analysis module to help investors to gain an insight into the world economy as a whole, the stock market, thematic ideas. a specific sector, or an individual Stock such as Xponential Fitness. By using and applying Xponential Stock analysis, traders can create a robust methodology for identifying Xponential entry and exit points for their positions.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Operating Profit Margin 0.12  0.13 
Net Loss(0.05)(0.06)
Gross Profit Margin 0.72  0.50 

Current Xponential Analysis - Recommendations

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Xponential analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Xponential analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target PriceAdvice# of Analysts
33.69Strong Buy9Odds
Xponential Fitness current and past analyst recommendations published by a number of research institutions as well as average analyst consensus.
Most Xponential analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Xponential stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Xponential Fitness, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Xponential conference calls.
Xponential Analyst Advice Details

Xponential Stock Analysis Indicators

Xponential Fitness stock analysis indicators help investors evaluate how Xponential Fitness stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing and determine when trading Xponential Fitness shares will generate the highest return on investment. By understating and applying Xponential Fitness stock analysis, traders can identify Xponential Fitness position entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Begin Period Cash Flow37.4 M
Long Term Debt319.3 M
Common Stock Shares Outstanding39.7 M
Total Stockholder Equity-10.6 M
Tax Provision896 K
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y-0.817
Property Plant And Equipment Net90.9 M
Cash And Short Term Investments37.1 M
Cash37.1 M
Accounts Payable19.1 M
Net Debt366.2 M
50 Day M A13.147
Total Current Liabilities92.3 M
Other Operating Expenses279 M
Non Current Assets Total431.4 M
Forward Price Earnings15.4083
Non Currrent Assets Other48.8 M
Stock Based Compensation18 M

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When running Xponential Fitness' price analysis, check to measure Xponential Fitness' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Xponential Fitness is operating at the current time. Most of Xponential Fitness' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Xponential Fitness' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Xponential Fitness' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Xponential Fitness to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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