Marathon Petroleum Corp Stock Beneish M Score

MPC Stock  USD 159.29  0.00  0.00%   
This module uses fundamental data of Marathon Petroleum to approximate the value of its Beneish M Score. Marathon Petroleum M Score tells investors if the company management is likely to be manipulating earnings. The score is calculated using eight financial indicators that are adjusted by a specific multiplier. Please note, the M Score is a probabilistic model and cannot detect companies that manipulate their earnings with 100% accuracy. Check out Marathon Petroleum Piotroski F Score and Marathon Petroleum Altman Z Score analysis.
  
At present, Marathon Petroleum's Short and Long Term Debt is projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Debt To Equity is expected to grow to 1.18, whereas Short and Long Term Debt Total is forecasted to decline to about 16.3 B. At present, Marathon Petroleum's Book Value Per Share is projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Free Cash Flow Yield is expected to grow to 0.21, whereas Price To Sales Ratio is forecasted to decline to 0.26.
At this time, it appears that Marathon Petroleum Corp is an unlikely manipulator. The earnings manipulation may begin if Marathon Petroleum's top management creates an artificial sense of financial success, forcing the stock price to be traded at a high price-earnings multiple than it should be. In general, excessive earnings management by Marathon Petroleum executives may lead to removing some of the operating profits from subsequent periods to inflate earnings in the following periods. This way, the manipulation of Marathon Petroleum's earnings can lead to misrepresentations of actual financial condition, taking the otherwise loyal stakeholders on to the path of questionable ethical practices and plain fraud.
-2.73
Beneish M Score - Unlikely Manipulator
Elasticity of Receivables

0.87

Focus
Asset Quality

1.44

Focus
Expense Coverage

1.05

Focus
Gross Margin Strengs

0.86

Focus
Accruals Factor

1.05

Focus
Depreciation Resistance

1.04

Focus
Net Sales Growth

0.66

Focus
Financial Leverage Condition

0.89

Focus

Marathon Petroleum Beneish M-Score Indicator Trends

The cure to earnings manipulation is the transparency of financial reporting. It will typically remove the temptation of the top executives to inflate earnings (i.e., to promote the idea of 'winning at any cost'). Because a healthy internal audit department can enhance transparency, the board should promote the auditors' access to all the record-keeping systems across the enterprise. For example, if Marathon Petroleum's auditors report directly to the board (not management), the managers will be reluctant to manipulate simply due to the fear of punishment. On the other hand, the auditors will be free to investigate the ledgers properly because they know that the board has their back.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Net Receivables6.6 B11.6 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Total Revenue98.6 B150.3 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Total Assets58.4 B86 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Total Current Assets18.7 B32.1 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Non Current Assets Total39.7 B53.9 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Property Plant Equipment28.4 B42.4 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Depreciation And Amortization2.1 B3.3 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Selling General Administrative2.1 BB
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Total Current Liabilities12.6 B20.1 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Non Current Liabilities Total21.6 B34.4 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Short Term DebtB2.9 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Long Term Debt15.8 B25.3 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Total Cash From Operating Activities14.8 B14.1 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Long Term Investments4.3 B6.3 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Gross Profit Margin0.120.1392
Fairly Down
Slightly volatile

Marathon Petroleum Corp Beneish M-Score Driver Matrix

One of the toughest challenges investors face today is learning how to quickly synthesize historical financial statements and information provided by the company, SEC reporting, and various external parties in order to detect the potential manipulation of earnings. Understanding the correlation between Marathon Petroleum's different financial indicators related to revenue, expenses, operating profit, and net earnings helps investors identify and prioritize their investing strategies towards Marathon Petroleum in a much-optimized way. Analyzing correlations between earnings drivers directly associated with dollar figures is the most effective way to find Marathon Petroleum's degree of accounting gimmicks and manipulations.

About Marathon Petroleum Beneish M Score

M-Score is one of many grading techniques for value stocks. It was developed by Professor M. Daniel Beneish of the Kelley School of Business at Indiana University and published in 1999 under the paper titled The Detection of Earnings Manipulation. The Beneish score is a multi-factor model that utilizes financial identifiers to compile eight variables used to classify whether a company has manipulated its reported earnings. The variables are built from the officially filed financial statements to create a final score call 'M Score.' The score helps to identify companies that are likely to manipulate their profits if they show deteriorating gross margins, operating expenses, and leverage against growing revenue.

Other Operating Expenses

92.85 Billion

At present, Marathon Petroleum's Other Operating Expenses is projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting.

Marathon Petroleum Earnings Manipulation Drivers

Although earnings manipulation is typically not the result of intentional misconduct by the c-level executives, it is still a widespread practice by the senior management of public companies such as Marathon Petroleum. It is usually done by a series of misrepresentations of various accounting rules and operating activities across multiple financial cycles. The best way to spot the manipulation is to examine the historical financial statement to find inconsistencies in earning reports to find trends in assets or liabilities that are not sustainable in the future.
201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Net Receivables7.9B5.8B11.0B13.5B11.6B6.6B
Total Revenue111.3B69.9B120.5B178.2B150.3B98.6B
Total Assets98.6B85.2B85.4B89.9B86.0B58.4B
Total Current Assets20.2B28.3B30.5B35.2B32.1B18.7B
Net Debt29.8B32.5B21.6B19.3B23.1B13.5B
Short Term Debt1.3B3.8B1.4B1.8B2.9B3.0B
Long Term Debt28.1B28.7B24.4B25.2B25.3B15.8B
Operating Income5.1B(2.6B)3.8B19.8B14.5B15.2B
Investments(966M)(348M)(5.7B)2.5B(2.6B)(2.5B)

Marathon Petroleum ESG Sustainability

Some studies have found that companies with high sustainability scores are getting higher valuations than competitors with lower social-engagement activities. While most ESG disclosures are voluntary and do not directly affect the long term financial condition, Marathon Petroleum's sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to Marathon Petroleum's managers, analysts, and investors.
Environmental
Governance
Social

About Marathon Petroleum Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Marathon Petroleum Corp's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Marathon Petroleum using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Marathon Petroleum Corp based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

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When determining whether Marathon Petroleum Corp offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Marathon Petroleum's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Marathon Petroleum Corp Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Marathon Petroleum Corp Stock:
Check out Marathon Petroleum Piotroski F Score and Marathon Petroleum Altman Z Score analysis.
You can also try the Aroon Oscillator module to analyze current equity momentum using Aroon Oscillator and other momentum ratios.
Is Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Marathon Petroleum. If investors know Marathon will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Marathon Petroleum listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.77)
Dividend Share
3.385
Earnings Share
12.89
Revenue Per Share
403.307
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.15)
The market value of Marathon Petroleum Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Marathon that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Marathon Petroleum's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Marathon Petroleum's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Marathon Petroleum's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Marathon Petroleum's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Marathon Petroleum's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Marathon Petroleum is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Marathon Petroleum's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.