Marathon Petroleum Corp Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| MPC Stock | USD 158.48 0.81 0.51% |
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Marathon Petroleum Corp is 'Strong Hold'. Macroaxis provides Marathon Petroleum buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding MPC positions.
Check out Marathon Petroleum Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Marathon and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Marathon Petroleum Corp. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in american community survey.
Marathon |
Execute Marathon Petroleum Buy or Sell Advice
The Marathon recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Marathon Petroleum Corp. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Marathon Petroleum Corp or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Marathon Petroleum's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Hold
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Low key | Details | |
Current Valuation | Fairly Valued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Very Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Follows the market closely | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Alarmed | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Healthy | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
Marathon Petroleum Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Marathon Petroleum generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Over 75.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: B. Metzler seel. Sohn Co. Holding AG Makes New Investment in Marathon Petroleum Co. |
Marathon Petroleum Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Marathon Petroleum's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Marathon Petroleum's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Marathon Petroleum daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Marathon Petroleum Corp price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Marathon Petroleum returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Marathon Petroleum.
| Mean Return | -0.09 | Value At Risk | -3.01 | Potential Upside | 3.19 | Standard Deviation | 1.94 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Marathon Petroleum historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Marathon Stock Institutional Investors
| Shares | Norges Bank | 2024-06-30 | 3.5 M | Northern Trust Corp | 2024-09-30 | 3.5 M | T. Rowe Price Associates, Inc. | 2024-06-30 | 3.2 M | Amvescap Plc. | 2024-06-30 | 3.2 M | Legal & General Group Plc | 2024-06-30 | 3.1 M | Bank Of America Corp | 2024-06-30 | 2.9 M | Amundi | 2024-06-30 | 2.7 M | Pacer Advisors, Inc. | 2024-06-30 | 2.7 M | Goldman Sachs Group Inc | 2024-06-30 | 2.6 M | Vanguard Group Inc | 2024-09-30 | 32.1 M | Blackrock Inc | 2024-06-30 | 28.2 M |
Marathon Petroleum Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change To Inventory | (362M) | 1.8B | (33M) | (787M) | (489M) | (464.6M) | |
| Change In Cash | (196M) | (973M) | 4.7B | 3.3B | (3.2B) | (3.0B) | |
| Free Cash Flow | 4.6B | (368M) | 2.9B | 13.9B | 12.2B | 12.8B | |
| Depreciation | 3.2B | 3.4B | 3.4B | 3.2B | 3.3B | 2.1B | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 4.5B | 7.6B | (5.4B) | 1.8B | 869M | 832.6M | |
| Net Income | 2.6B | (9.8B) | 9.7B | 14.5B | 9.7B | 10.2B | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 1.5B | 556M | 5.3B | 8.6B | 5.4B | 2.8B | |
| Investments | (966M) | (348M) | (5.7B) | 2.5B | (2.6B) | (2.5B) | |
| Change Receivables | (2.0B) | 1.5B | (5.3B) | (2.3B) | (2.1B) | (2.0B) | |
| Net Borrowings | 1.2B | 2.7B | (6.3B) | 1.1B | 954M | 536.2M | |
| Dividends Paid | 1.4B | 1.5B | 1.5B | 1.3B | 1.3B | 978.7M | |
| Change To Netincome | 2.5B | 11.1B | (8.6B) | (1.4B) | (1.3B) | (1.2B) |
Marathon Petroleum Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Marathon Petroleum or Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Marathon Petroleum's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Marathon stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.19 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.73 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.93 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.12 |
Marathon Petroleum Volatility Alert
Marathon Petroleum Corp exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.41 and kurtosis of 3.53. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Marathon Petroleum's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Marathon Petroleum's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Marathon Petroleum Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Marathon Petroleum's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Marathon Petroleum's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Marathon Petroleum and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Marathon Petroleum or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Marathon Petroleum's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Marathon Petroleum by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Marathon Petroleum to competition |
| Fundamentals | Marathon Petroleum | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.21 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0516 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.03 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.03 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 75.19 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 321.39 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 0.25 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 75.20 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 8.04 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 5.62 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 2.69 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 0.36 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 149.35 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 26.57 B | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 18.56 B | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 9.67 B | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 8.62 B | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 23.76 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 28.5 B | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 0.82 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 1.65 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 58.26 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 14.12 B | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 3.27 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 12.88 X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 15.65 X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 170.27 | |
| Number Of Employees | 18.2 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 1.37 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 50.93 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 85.99 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 34.56 B | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 11.98 B | 1.48 B |
Note: Acquisition by J Stice of 225 shares of Marathon Petroleum subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Marathon Petroleum Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Marathon . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 0.0161 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.31) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | |||
| Day Median Price | 159.37 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 159.07 | |||
| Market Facilitation Index | 2.59 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (1.29) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.81) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 12.86 |
About Marathon Petroleum Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Marathon Petroleum Corp? Buying financial instruments such as Marathon Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
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Check out Marathon Petroleum Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. You can also try the Stock Screener module to find equities using a custom stock filter or screen asymmetry in trading patterns, price, volume, or investment outlook..
Is Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Marathon Petroleum. If investors know Marathon will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Marathon Petroleum listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.77) | Dividend Share 3.385 | Earnings Share 12.88 | Revenue Per Share 403.307 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.15) |
The market value of Marathon Petroleum Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Marathon that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Marathon Petroleum's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Marathon Petroleum's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Marathon Petroleum's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Marathon Petroleum's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Marathon Petroleum's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Marathon Petroleum is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Marathon Petroleum's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.