Marathon Petroleum Corp Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy

MPC Stock

USD 156.50 1.98 1.25%

Marathon Petroleum's risk of distress is less than 5% at the present time. It is unlikely to undergo any financial straits in the next 24 months. Probability of distress shows the probability of financial torment over the next two years of operations under current economic and market conditions. All items used in analyzing the odds of distress are taken from the Marathon balance sheet, as well as cash flow and income statements available from the company's most recent filings. Check out Marathon Petroleum Piotroski F Score and Marathon Petroleum Altman Z Score analysis.

As of November 25, 2024, Market Cap is expected to decline to about 32.6 B

Marathon Petroleum Corp Company probability of distress Analysis

Marathon Petroleum's Probability Of Bankruptcy is a relative measure of the likelihood of financial distress. For stocks, the Probability Of Bankruptcy is the normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs, it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within the next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100, indicating the firm's actual probability it will be financially distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.

Probability Of Bankruptcy

Normalized

Z-Score

More About Probability Of Bankruptcy | All Equity Analysis

Current Marathon Petroleum Probability Of Bankruptcy

Less than 5%

Most of Marathon Petroleum's fundamental indicators, such as Probability Of Bankruptcy, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, Marathon Petroleum Corp is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.

Our calculation of Marathon Petroleum probability of bankruptcy is based on Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score, but not limited to these measures. To be applied to a broader range of industries and markets, we use several other techniques to enhance the accuracy of predicting Marathon Petroleum odds of financial distress. These include financial statement analysis, different types of price predictions, earning estimates, analysis consensus, and basic intrinsic valuation. Please use the options below to get a better understanding of different measures that drive the calculation of Marathon Petroleum Corp financial health.

Is Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Marathon Petroleum. If investors know Marathon will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Marathon Petroleum listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.

Quarterly Earnings Growth

(0.77)

Dividend Share

3.385

Earnings Share

12.88

Revenue Per Share

403.307

Quarterly Revenue Growth

(0.15)

The market value of Marathon Petroleum Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Marathon that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Marathon Petroleum's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Marathon Petroleum's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Marathon Petroleum's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Marathon Petroleum's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.

	Total Assets	Total Stockholder Equity	Current Deferred Revenue	Net Debt	Accounts Payable	Net Receivables	Good Will	Short Term Investments	Total Liab	Total Current Assets	Short Term Debt	Long Term Debt	Intangible Assets	Property Plant Equipment	Net Tangible Assets	Total Permanent Equity	Retained Earnings	Capital Surpluse	Deferred Long Term Liab	Long Term Investments	Treasury Stock	Common Stock	Long Term Debt Total	Short Long Term Debt	Cash And Equivalents	Net Invested Capital	Net Working Capital	Capital Stock
Total Assets		0.95	0.69	0.95	0.76	0.72	0.87	0.88	0.91	0.82	0.67	0.99	0.43	0.98	0.84	0.78	0.57	0.96	0.94	0.94	-0.78	0.96	0.98	0.61	0.45	0.92	0.69	-0.13
Total Stockholder Equity	0.95		0.77	0.88	0.67	0.61	0.95	0.83	0.76	0.66	0.48	0.92	0.42	0.94	0.72	0.65	0.52	0.89	0.85	0.88	-0.67	0.88	0.91	0.42	0.35	0.9	0.52	-0.09
Current Deferred Revenue	0.69	0.77		0.71	0.37	0.26	0.85	0.78	0.45	0.35	0.31	0.68	-0.11	0.69	0.4	0.45	0.16	0.66	0.55	0.53	-0.28	0.56	0.65	0.27	0.01	0.77	0.22	-0.02
Net Debt	0.95	0.88	0.71		0.57	0.53	0.84	0.88	0.87	0.72	0.72	0.98	0.32	0.96	0.72	0.71	0.45	0.91	0.9	0.91	-0.67	0.93	0.97	0.69	0.29	0.87	0.63	-0.11
Accounts Payable	0.76	0.67	0.37	0.57		0.98	0.52	0.64	0.81	0.89	0.53	0.7	0.4	0.68	0.89	0.61	0.65	0.79	0.73	0.68	-0.81	0.71	0.72	0.43	0.7	0.7	0.75	-0.22
Net Receivables	0.72	0.61	0.26	0.53	0.98		0.42	0.61	0.81	0.92	0.56	0.67	0.44	0.63	0.91	0.57	0.65	0.78	0.71	0.64	-0.84	0.7	0.69	0.45	0.74	0.66	0.82	-0.23
Good Will	0.87	0.95	0.85	0.84	0.52	0.42		0.79	0.63	0.47	0.38	0.84	0.24	0.88	0.57	0.61	0.41	0.8	0.73	0.79	-0.49	0.78	0.82	0.35	0.18	0.86	0.3	-0.05
Short Term Investments	0.88	0.83	0.78	0.88	0.64	0.61	0.79		0.79	0.74	0.78	0.89	0.11	0.86	0.77	0.71	0.56	0.93	0.8	0.76	-0.73	0.85	0.9	0.72	0.49	0.96	0.71	-0.38
Total Liab	0.91	0.76	0.45	0.87	0.81	0.81	0.63	0.79		0.91	0.79	0.91	0.41	0.86	0.85	0.72	0.57	0.9	0.92	0.87	-0.82	0.9	0.92	0.71	0.53	0.79	0.81	-0.18
Total Current Assets	0.82	0.66	0.35	0.72	0.89	0.92	0.47	0.74	0.91		0.77	0.81	0.41	0.74	0.94	0.67	0.59	0.89	0.83	0.73	-0.86	0.82	0.83	0.69	0.66	0.75	0.94	-0.21
Short Term Debt	0.67	0.48	0.31	0.72	0.53	0.56	0.38	0.78	0.79	0.77		0.72	0.17	0.64	0.69	0.68	0.62	0.74	0.72	0.64	-0.78	0.73	0.76	0.98	0.62	0.72	0.83	-0.56
Long Term Debt	0.99	0.92	0.68	0.98	0.7	0.67	0.84	0.89	0.91	0.81	0.72		0.42	0.98	0.82	0.77	0.55	0.96	0.94	0.94	-0.77	0.97	0.99	0.67	0.42	0.9	0.71	-0.14
Intangible Assets	0.43	0.42	-0.11	0.32	0.4	0.44	0.24	0.11	0.41	0.41	0.17	0.42		0.4	0.36	0.38	0.43	0.3	0.42	0.57	-0.56	0.45	0.39	0.14	0.38	0.29	0.42	0.05
Property Plant Equipment	0.98	0.94	0.69	0.96	0.68	0.63	0.88	0.86	0.86	0.74	0.64	0.98	0.4		0.8	0.79	0.58	0.93	0.93	0.96	-0.74	0.97	0.98	0.59	0.41	0.88	0.61	-0.15
Net Tangible Assets	0.84	0.72	0.4	0.72	0.89	0.91	0.57	0.77	0.85	0.94	0.69	0.82	0.36	0.8		0.74	0.72	0.91	0.85	0.78	-0.88	0.87	0.85	0.61	0.74	0.77	0.85	-0.31
Total Permanent Equity	0.78	0.65	0.45	0.71	0.61	0.57	0.61	0.71	0.72	0.67	0.68	0.77	0.38	0.79	0.74		0.68	0.73	0.78	0.83	-0.75	0.82	0.78	0.66	0.58	0.73	0.61	-0.4
Retained Earnings	0.57	0.52	0.16	0.45	0.65	0.65	0.41	0.56	0.57	0.59	0.62	0.55	0.43	0.58	0.72	0.68		0.59	0.64	0.65	-0.9	0.67	0.61	0.57	0.92	0.63	0.61	-0.77
Capital Surpluse	0.96	0.89	0.66	0.91	0.79	0.78	0.8	0.93	0.9	0.89	0.74	0.96	0.3	0.93	0.91	0.73	0.59		0.9	0.85	-0.8	0.93	0.97	0.68	0.53	0.93	0.78	-0.22
Deferred Long Term Liab	0.94	0.85	0.55	0.9	0.73	0.71	0.73	0.8	0.92	0.83	0.72	0.94	0.42	0.93	0.85	0.78	0.64	0.9		0.91	-0.82	0.94	0.94	0.66	0.5	0.82	0.72	-0.22
Long Term Investments	0.94	0.88	0.53	0.91	0.68	0.64	0.79	0.76	0.87	0.73	0.64	0.94	0.57	0.96	0.78	0.83	0.65	0.85	0.91		-0.8	0.97	0.94	0.59	0.5	0.81	0.63	-0.19
Treasury Stock	-0.78	-0.67	-0.28	-0.67	-0.81	-0.84	-0.49	-0.73	-0.82	-0.86	-0.78	-0.77	-0.56	-0.74	-0.88	-0.75	-0.9	-0.8	-0.82	-0.8		-0.83	-0.81	-0.71	-0.88	-0.77	-0.87	0.56
Common Stock	0.96	0.88	0.56	0.93	0.71	0.7	0.78	0.85	0.9	0.82	0.73	0.97	0.45	0.97	0.87	0.82	0.67	0.93	0.94	0.97	-0.83		0.98	0.68	0.55	0.86	0.73	-0.26
Long Term Debt Total	0.98	0.91	0.65	0.97	0.72	0.69	0.82	0.9	0.92	0.83	0.76	0.99	0.39	0.98	0.85	0.78	0.61	0.97	0.94	0.94	-0.81	0.98		0.71	0.5	0.91	0.74	-0.22
Short Long Term Debt	0.61	0.42	0.27	0.69	0.43	0.45	0.35	0.72	0.71	0.69	0.98	0.67	0.14	0.59	0.61	0.66	0.57	0.68	0.66	0.59	-0.71	0.68	0.71		0.55	0.67	0.76	-0.56
Cash And Equivalents	0.45	0.35	0.01	0.29	0.7	0.74	0.18	0.49	0.53	0.66	0.62	0.42	0.38	0.41	0.74	0.58	0.92	0.53	0.5	0.5	-0.88	0.55	0.5	0.55		0.52	0.73	-0.76
Net Invested Capital	0.92	0.9	0.77	0.87	0.7	0.66	0.86	0.96	0.79	0.75	0.72	0.9	0.29	0.88	0.77	0.73	0.63	0.93	0.82	0.81	-0.77	0.86	0.91	0.67	0.52		0.68	-0.36
Net Working Capital	0.69	0.52	0.22	0.63	0.75	0.82	0.3	0.71	0.81	0.94	0.83	0.71	0.42	0.61	0.85	0.61	0.61	0.78	0.72	0.63	-0.87	0.73	0.74	0.76	0.73	0.68		-0.36
Capital Stock	-0.13	-0.09	-0.02	-0.11	-0.22	-0.23	-0.05	-0.38	-0.18	-0.21	-0.56	-0.14	0.05	-0.15	-0.31	-0.4	-0.77	-0.22	-0.22	-0.19	0.56	-0.26	-0.22	-0.56	-0.76	-0.36	-0.36

	2019	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024 (projected)
Return On Assets	0.0186	(0.13)	0.0151	0.16	0.11	0.0586
Asset Turnover	1.13	0.82	1.41	1.98	1.74	2.28
Net Debt	29.8B	32.5B	21.6B	19.3B	23.1B	13.5B
Total Current Liabilities	16.1B	15.7B	17.9B	20.0B	20.2B	12.6B
Non Current Liabilities Total	39.3B	39.3B	33.9B	34.8B	34.4B	21.6B
Total Assets	98.6B	85.2B	85.4B	89.9B	86.0B	58.4B
Total Current Assets	20.2B	28.3B	30.5B	35.2B	32.1B	18.7B
Total Cash From Operating Activities	9.4B	2.4B	4.4B	16.4B	14.1B	14.8B

	Return On Equity	0.21
	Return On Asset	0.0516
	Profit Margin	0.03 %
	Operating Margin	0.03 %
	Current Valuation	75.19 B
	Shares Outstanding	321.39 M
	Shares Owned By Insiders	0.25 %
	Shares Owned By Institutions	75.20 %
	Number Of Shares Shorted	8.04 M
	Price To Earning	5.62 X
	Price To Book	2.69 X
	Price To Sales	0.36 X
	Revenue	149.35 B
	Gross Profit	26.57 B
	EBITDA	18.56 B
	Net Income	9.67 B
	Cash And Equivalents	8.62 B
	Cash Per Share	23.76 X
	Total Debt	28.5 B
	Debt To Equity	0.82 %
	Current Ratio	1.65 X
	Book Value Per Share	58.26 X
	Cash Flow From Operations	14.12 B
	Short Ratio	3.27 X
	Earnings Per Share	12.88 X
	Price To Earnings To Growth	15.65 X
	Target Price	170.27
	Number Of Employees	18.2 K
	Beta	1.37
	Market Capitalization	50.93 B
	Total Asset	85.99 B
	Retained Earnings	34.56 B
	Working Capital	11.98 B
	Current Asset	9.47 B
	Current Liabilities	6.34 B
	Annual Yield	0.02 %
	Five Year Return	3.75 %
	Net Asset	85.99 B
	Last Dividend Paid	3.39

Marathon Petroleum Corp Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy

Marathon Petroleum Corp Company probability of distress Analysis

Probability Of Bankruptcy

Normalized

Z-Score

Current Marathon Petroleum Probability Of Bankruptcy

Marathon Probability Of Bankruptcy Driver Correlations

Marathon Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison

Marathon Petroleum Main Bankruptcy Drivers

Marathon Petroleum ESG Sustainability

Marathon Fundamentals

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