Nextdecade Corp Current Valuation
| NEXT Stock | USD 5.10 0.32 5.90% |
Valuation analysis of Nextdecade Corp helps investors to measure Nextdecade Corp's intrinsic value by examining its available valuation indicators, including the cash flow records, the balance sheet account changes and income statement patterns. Enterprise Value Over EBITDA is likely to gain to 15.03 in 2026. Enterprise Value Multiple is likely to gain to 15.03 in 2026. Fundamental drivers impacting Nextdecade Corp's valuation include:
Undervalued
Today
Please note that Nextdecade Corp's price fluctuation is slightly risky at this time. Calculation of the real value of Nextdecade Corp is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing Nextdecade Corp's time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
Nextdecade Corp's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price of 5.10, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value. | Historical | Market 5.1 | Real 5.91 | Target 9.0 | Hype 5.1 |
The intrinsic value of Nextdecade Corp's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Nextdecade Corp's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Nextdecade Corp helps investors to forecast how Nextdecade stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Nextdecade Corp more accurately as focusing exclusively on Nextdecade Corp's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors: Nextdecade Current Valuation Driver Correlations
Understanding the fundamental principles of building solid financial models for Nextdecade Corp is extremely important. It helps to project a fair market value of Nextdecade Stock properly, considering its historical fundamentals such as Current Valuation. Since Nextdecade Corp's main accounts across its financial reports are all linked and dependent on each other, it is essential to analyze all possible correlations between related accounts. However, instead of reviewing all of Nextdecade Corp's historical financial statements, investors can examine the correlated drivers to determine its overall health. This can be effectively done using a conventional correlation matrix of Nextdecade Corp's interrelated accounts and indicators.
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Is there potential for Oil & Gas Storage & Transportation market expansion? Will Nextdecade introduce new products? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Nextdecade Corp. Anticipated expansion of Nextdecade directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. Understanding fair value requires weighing current performance against future potential. All the valuation information about Nextdecade Corp listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Nextdecade Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Nextdecade that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Nextdecade Corp's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Nextdecade Corp's true underlying value. Analysts utilize numerous techniques to assess fundamental value, seeking to purchase shares when trading prices fall beneath estimated intrinsic worth. Because Nextdecade Corp's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Nextdecade Corp's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between Nextdecade Corp's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Nextdecade Corp should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Meanwhile, Nextdecade Corp's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.
Nextdecade Corp 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Nextdecade Corp's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Nextdecade Corp.
| 11/15/2025 |
| 02/13/2026 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Nextdecade Corp on November 15, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Nextdecade Corp or generate 0.0% return on investment in Nextdecade Corp over 90 days. Nextdecade Corp is related to or competes with Talos Energy, Calumet Specialty, World Kinect, Now, Global Partners, Enerflex, and Kimbell Royalty. NextDecade Corporation engages in the development activities related to the liquefaction and sale of liquefied natural g... More
Nextdecade Corp Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Nextdecade Corp's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Nextdecade Corp upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Information Ratio | (0.07) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 17.5 | |||
| Value At Risk | (6.04) | |||
| Potential Upside | 5.21 |
Nextdecade Corp Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Nextdecade Corp's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Nextdecade Corp's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Nextdecade Corp historical prices to predict the future Nextdecade Corp's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.03) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.26) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.48) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.15) |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Nextdecade Corp's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Nextdecade Corp February 13, 2026 Technical Indicators
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| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.03) | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.14) | |||
| Mean Deviation | 2.63 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | (2,140) | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.52 | |||
| Variance | 12.41 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.07) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.26) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.48) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.15) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 17.5 | |||
| Value At Risk | (6.04) | |||
| Potential Upside | 5.21 | |||
| Skewness | 0.1966 | |||
| Kurtosis | 0.5008 |
Nextdecade Corp Backtested Returns
Nextdecade Corp has Sharpe Ratio of -0.0442, which conveys that the firm had a -0.0442 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Nextdecade Corp exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please verify Nextdecade Corp's Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.03), standard deviation of 3.52, and Mean Deviation of 2.63 to check out the risk estimate we provide. The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 1.18, which conveys a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Nextdecade Corp will likely underperform. At this point, Nextdecade Corp has a negative expected return of -0.16%. Please make sure to verify Nextdecade Corp's potential upside and day median price , to decide if Nextdecade Corp performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Auto-correlation | -0.26 |
Weak reverse predictability
Nextdecade Corp has weak reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Nextdecade Corp time series from 15th of November 2025 to 30th of December 2025 and 30th of December 2025 to 13th of February 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Nextdecade Corp price movement. The serial correlation of -0.26 indicates that nearly 26.0% of current Nextdecade Corp price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.26 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.02 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.03 |
Enterprise Value can be a useful tool to compare companies with different capital structures. Long term liability and current cash or cash equivalents can have a huge impact on market valuation of a given company.
| Competition |
In accordance with the recently published financial statements, Nextdecade Corp has a Current Valuation of 7.98 B. This is 79.54% lower than that of the Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels sector and 13.17% lower than that of the Energy industry. The current valuation for all United States stocks is 51.98% higher than that of the company.
Nextdecade Current Valuation Peer Comparison
Stock peer comparison is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It analyses Nextdecade Corp's direct or indirect competition against its Current Valuation to detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics or determine the stocks which would be a good addition to a portfolio. Peer analysis of Nextdecade Corp could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Nextdecade Corp by comparing valuation metrics of similar companies.Nextdecade Corp is currently under evaluation in current valuation category among its peers.
Nextdecade Corp ESG Sustainability
Some studies have found that companies with high sustainability scores are getting higher valuations than competitors with lower social-engagement activities. While most ESG disclosures are voluntary and do not directly affect the long term financial condition, Nextdecade Corp's sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to Nextdecade Corp's managers, analysts, and investors.Environmental | Governance | Social |
Nextdecade Fundamentals
| Return On Equity | -0.0127 | ||||
| Return On Asset | -0.0185 | ||||
| Current Valuation | 7.98 B | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 264.8 M | ||||
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 45.50 % | ||||
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 44.83 % | ||||
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 20.39 M | ||||
| Price To Earning | (1.71) X | ||||
| Price To Book | 9.30 X | ||||
| Gross Profit | (1.61 M) | ||||
| EBITDA | 371.66 M | ||||
| Net Income | 277.45 M | ||||
| Cash And Equivalents | 40.5 M | ||||
| Cash Per Share | 0.31 X | ||||
| Total Debt | 4.07 B | ||||
| Debt To Equity | 0.01 % | ||||
| Current Ratio | 5.24 X | ||||
| Book Value Per Share | 0.58 X | ||||
| Cash Flow From Operations | (95.58 M) | ||||
| Short Ratio | 7.11 X | ||||
| Earnings Per Share | (0.74) X | ||||
| Target Price | 9.0 | ||||
| Number Of Employees | 237 | ||||
| Beta | 2.02 | ||||
| Market Capitalization | 1.44 B | ||||
| Total Asset | 6.4 B | ||||
| Retained Earnings | (453.52 M) | ||||
| Working Capital | (182.51 M) | ||||
| Current Asset | 124.23 M | ||||
| Current Liabilities | 13 M | ||||
| Net Asset | 6.4 B |
About Nextdecade Corp Fundamental Analysis
The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Nextdecade Corp's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Nextdecade Corp using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Nextdecade Corp based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.
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Additional Tools for Nextdecade Stock Analysis
When running Nextdecade Corp's price analysis, check to measure Nextdecade Corp's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Nextdecade Corp is operating at the current time. Most of Nextdecade Corp's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Nextdecade Corp's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Nextdecade Corp's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Nextdecade Corp to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.