National Grid Plc Stock Beneish M Score

NGG Stock  USD 63.26  0.15  0.24%   
This module uses fundamental data of National Grid to approximate the value of its Beneish M Score. National Grid M Score tells investors if the company management is likely to be manipulating earnings. The score is calculated using eight financial indicators that are adjusted by a specific multiplier. Please note, the M Score is a probabilistic model and cannot detect companies that manipulate their earnings with 100% accuracy. Check out National Grid Piotroski F Score and National Grid Altman Z Score analysis.
  
At this time, National Grid's Interest Debt Per Share is most likely to increase in the upcoming years. The National Grid's current Cash Flow To Debt Ratio is estimated to increase to 0.20, while Long Term Debt is projected to decrease to roughly 32.7 B. At this time, National Grid's Operating Cash Flow Per Share is most likely to increase slightly in the upcoming years. The National Grid's current Payables Turnover is estimated to increase to 2.72, while PTB Ratio is projected to decrease to 1.20.
At this time, it appears that National Grid PLC is a possible manipulator. The earnings manipulation may begin if National Grid's top management creates an artificial sense of financial success, forcing the stock price to be traded at a high price-earnings multiple than it should be. In general, excessive earnings management by National Grid executives may lead to removing some of the operating profits from subsequent periods to inflate earnings in the following periods. This way, the manipulation of National Grid's earnings can lead to misrepresentations of actual financial condition, taking the otherwise loyal stakeholders on to the path of questionable ethical practices and plain fraud.
-2.09
Beneish M Score - Possible Manipulator
Elasticity of Receivables

1.72

Focus
Asset Quality

2.37

Focus
Expense Coverage

1.31

Focus
Gross Margin Strengs

0.71

Focus
Accruals Factor

1.31

Focus
Depreciation Resistance

0.68

Focus
Net Sales Growth

0.56

Focus
Financial Leverage Condition

0.91

Focus

National Grid Beneish M-Score Indicator Trends

The cure to earnings manipulation is the transparency of financial reporting. It will typically remove the temptation of the top executives to inflate earnings (i.e., to promote the idea of 'winning at any cost'). Because a healthy internal audit department can enhance transparency, the board should promote the auditors' access to all the record-keeping systems across the enterprise. For example, if National Grid's auditors report directly to the board (not management), the managers will be reluctant to manipulate simply due to the fear of punishment. On the other hand, the auditors will be free to investigate the ledgers properly because they know that the board has their back.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Net Receivables1.9 BB
Sufficiently Down
Slightly volatile
Total Revenue11.1 B19.9 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Total Assets103.2 B98.3 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Total Current Assets6.2 B10.4 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Non Current Assets Total92.3 B87.9 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Property Plant Equipment51.9 B74.1 B
Way Down
Very volatile
Depreciation And Amortization2.2 B2.1 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Selling General Administrative1.8 B2.5 B
Way Down
Pretty Stable
Total Current Liabilities6.6 B11.4 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Non Current Liabilities Total59.9 B57 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Net Debt48.8 B46.5 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Short Term Debt3.3 B5.1 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Long Term Debt32.7 B41.5 B
Significantly Down
Very volatile
Operating Income2.6 B4.5 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Total Cash From Operating Activities7.3 B6.9 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Short Term Investments584.2 M615 M
Notably Down
Slightly volatile
Long Term Investments52.6 B37.5 B
Significantly Up
Slightly volatile
Gross Profit Margin0.520.7332
Way Down
Pretty Stable

National Grid PLC Beneish M-Score Driver Matrix

One of the toughest challenges investors face today is learning how to quickly synthesize historical financial statements and information provided by the company, SEC reporting, and various external parties in order to detect the potential manipulation of earnings. Understanding the correlation between National Grid's different financial indicators related to revenue, expenses, operating profit, and net earnings helps investors identify and prioritize their investing strategies towards National Grid in a much-optimized way. Analyzing correlations between earnings drivers directly associated with dollar figures is the most effective way to find National Grid's degree of accounting gimmicks and manipulations.

About National Grid Beneish M Score

M-Score is one of many grading techniques for value stocks. It was developed by Professor M. Daniel Beneish of the Kelley School of Business at Indiana University and published in 1999 under the paper titled The Detection of Earnings Manipulation. The Beneish score is a multi-factor model that utilizes financial identifiers to compile eight variables used to classify whether a company has manipulated its reported earnings. The variables are built from the officially filed financial statements to create a final score call 'M Score.' The score helps to identify companies that are likely to manipulate their profits if they show deteriorating gross margins, operating expenses, and leverage against growing revenue.

Other Operating Expenses

8.54 Billion

At this time, National Grid's Other Operating Expenses is most likely to increase significantly in the upcoming years.

National Grid Earnings Manipulation Drivers

Although earnings manipulation is typically not the result of intentional misconduct by the c-level executives, it is still a widespread practice by the senior management of public companies such as National Grid. It is usually done by a series of misrepresentations of various accounting rules and operating activities across multiple financial cycles. The best way to spot the manipulation is to examine the historical financial statement to find inconsistencies in earning reports to find trends in assets or liabilities that are not sustainable in the future.
201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Net Receivables2.7B1.5B2.0B2.1B2.0B1.9B
Total Revenue14.5B13.7B18.4B21.7B19.9B11.1B
Total Assets67.6B67.2B94.9B92.7B98.3B103.2B
Total Current Assets5.8B9.9B18.0B9.2B10.4B6.2B
Net Debt30.7B31.1B45.3B42.8B46.5B48.8B
Short Term Debt4.1B3.8B12.3B3.0B5.1B3.3B
Long Term Debt26.1B27.5B32.9B39.4B41.5B32.7B
Operating Income3.2B2.4B3.8B4.0B4.5B2.6B
Investments(3.2B)(550M)(615M)240M(7.5B)(7.9B)

National Grid ESG Sustainability

Some studies have found that companies with high sustainability scores are getting higher valuations than competitors with lower social-engagement activities. While most ESG disclosures are voluntary and do not directly affect the long term financial condition, National Grid's sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to National Grid's managers, analysts, and investors.
Environmental
Governance
Social

About National Grid Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze National Grid PLC's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of National Grid using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of National Grid PLC based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

When determining whether National Grid PLC is a strong investment it is important to analyze National Grid's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact National Grid's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding National Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out National Grid Piotroski F Score and National Grid Altman Z Score analysis.
You can also try the Portfolio Anywhere module to track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device.
Is Multi-Utilities space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of National Grid. If investors know National will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about National Grid listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.82)
Dividend Share
0.55
Earnings Share
2.57
Revenue Per Share
3.9126
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.06)
The market value of National Grid PLC is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of National that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of National Grid's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is National Grid's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because National Grid's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect National Grid's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between National Grid's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if National Grid is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, National Grid's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.