National Grid Plc Stock Technical Analysis
| NGG Stock | USD 86.89 0.90 1.03% |
As of the 5th of February, National Grid secures the Mean Deviation of 0.8295, risk adjusted performance of 0.1783, and Downside Deviation of 0.9087. In connection with fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model lets you check existing technical drivers of National Grid PLC, as well as the relationship between them. Please verify National Grid PLC information ratio, value at risk, as well as the relationship between the Value At Risk and expected short fall to decide if National Grid PLC is priced some-what accurately, providing market reflects its recent price of 86.89 per share. Given that National Grid PLC has jensen alpha of 0.2234, we recommend you to check National Grid's last-minute market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.
National Grid Momentum Analysis
Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as National, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to NationalNational Grid's Momentum analyses are specifically helpful, as they help investors time the market using mark points where the market can reverse. The reversal spots are usually identified through divergence between price movement and momentum.National Grid Analyst Consensus
| Target Price | Consensus | # of Analysts | |
| 80.83 | Buy | 4 | Odds |
Most National analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand National stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of National Grid PLC, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to National conference calls.
Can Multi-Utilities industry sustain growth momentum? Does National have expansion opportunities? Factors like these will boost the valuation of National Grid. Anticipated expansion of National directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. Determining accurate worth demands scrutiny of both present operating results and projected expansion capacity. Evaluating National Grid demands reviewing these metrics collectively while recognizing certain factors exert disproportionate influence.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.12) | Dividend Share 0.472 | Earnings Share 4.08 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.11) |
Investors evaluate National Grid PLC using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating National Grid's intrinsic value - the estimated true worth - helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Market participants employ diverse analytical approaches to determine fair value and identify buying opportunities when prices dip below calculated worth. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause National Grid's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between National Grid's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding National Grid should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Conversely, National Grid's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.
National Grid 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to National Grid's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of National Grid.
| 11/07/2025 |
| 02/05/2026 |
If you would invest 0.00 in National Grid on November 7, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding National Grid PLC or generate 0.0% return on investment in National Grid over 90 days. National Grid is related to or competes with American Electric, Duke Energy, Dominion Energy, Exelon, Xcel Energy, Southern, and Consolidated Edison. National Grid plc transmits and distributes electricity and gas More
National Grid Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure National Grid's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess National Grid PLC upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 0.9087 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.1756 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 4.11 | |||
| Value At Risk | (1.10) | |||
| Potential Upside | 1.91 |
National Grid Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for National Grid's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as National Grid's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use National Grid historical prices to predict the future National Grid's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1783 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.2234 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.1585 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.198 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 1.16 |
National Grid February 5, 2026 Technical Indicators
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1783 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 1.17 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 0.8295 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.6537 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 0.9087 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 419.09 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.02 | |||
| Variance | 1.05 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.1756 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.2234 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.1585 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.198 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 1.16 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 4.11 | |||
| Value At Risk | (1.10) | |||
| Potential Upside | 1.91 | |||
| Downside Variance | 0.8258 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.4274 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.97) | |||
| Skewness | (0.07) | |||
| Kurtosis | (0.38) |
National Grid PLC Backtested Returns
National Grid appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. National Grid PLC has Sharpe Ratio of 0.21, which conveys that the firm had a 0.21 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for National Grid, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please exercise National Grid's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1783, downside deviation of 0.9087, and Mean Deviation of 0.8295 to check out if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, National Grid holds a performance score of 16. The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.2, which conveys not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, National Grid's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding National Grid is expected to be smaller as well. Please check National Grid's expected short fall, and the relationship between the value at risk and daily balance of power , to make a quick decision on whether National Grid's current price movements will revert.
Auto-correlation | -0.08 |
Very weak reverse predictability
National Grid PLC has very weak reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between National Grid time series from 7th of November 2025 to 22nd of December 2025 and 22nd of December 2025 to 5th of February 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of National Grid PLC price movement. The serial correlation of -0.08 indicates that barely 8.0% of current National Grid price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.08 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.21 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 10.2 |
National Grid technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
National Grid PLC Technical Analysis
The output start index for this execution was fifty with a total number of output elements of eleven. The Average True Range was developed by J. Welles Wilder in 1970s. It is one of components of the Welles Wilder Directional Movement indicators. The ATR is a measure of National Grid PLC volatility. High ATR values indicate high volatility, and low values indicate low volatility.
About National Grid Technical Analysis
The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of National Grid PLC on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of National Grid PLC based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this company, focuses on National Grid PLC price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding National Grid PLC. By analyzing National Grid's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of National Grid's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to National Grid specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.
| 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0434 | 0.0322 | 0.037 | 0.0573 | Price To Sales Ratio | 2.0 | 2.59 | 2.97 | 2.48 |
National Grid February 5, 2026 Technical Indicators
Most technical analysis of National help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for National from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze National charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1783 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 1.17 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 0.8295 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.6537 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 0.9087 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 419.09 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.02 | |||
| Variance | 1.05 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.1756 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.2234 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.1585 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.198 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 1.16 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 4.11 | |||
| Value At Risk | (1.10) | |||
| Potential Upside | 1.91 | |||
| Downside Variance | 0.8258 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.4274 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.97) | |||
| Skewness | (0.07) | |||
| Kurtosis | (0.38) |
National Grid February 5, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators
Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as National stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 14,740 | ||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.69) | ||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | ||
| Day Median Price | 86.69 | ||
| Day Typical Price | 86.75 | ||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.25) |
Complementary Tools for National Stock analysis
When running National Grid's price analysis, check to measure National Grid's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy National Grid is operating at the current time. Most of National Grid's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of National Grid's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move National Grid's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of National Grid to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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