Noah Holdings Stock Beneish M Score

NOAH Stock  USD 12.81  1.10  9.39%   
This module uses fundamental data of Noah Holdings to approximate the value of its Beneish M Score. Noah Holdings M Score tells investors if the company management is likely to be manipulating earnings. The score is calculated using eight financial indicators that are adjusted by a specific multiplier. Please note, the M Score is a probabilistic model and cannot detect companies that manipulate their earnings with 100% accuracy. Check out Noah Holdings Piotroski F Score and Noah Holdings Altman Z Score analysis.
For more detail on how to invest in Noah Stock please use our How to Invest in Noah Holdings guide.
  
As of now, Noah Holdings' Short Term Debt is decreasing as compared to previous years. The Noah Holdings' current Short and Long Term Debt Total is estimated to increase to about 263.5 M, while Net Debt is forecasted to increase to (4.8 B). As of now, Noah Holdings' Operating Cash Flow Per Share is increasing as compared to previous years. The Noah Holdings' current Average Payables is estimated to increase to about 89.4 M, while Price To Sales Ratio is projected to decrease to 1.96.
At this time, Noah Holdings' M Score is unavailable. The earnings manipulation may begin if Noah Holdings' top management creates an artificial sense of financial success, forcing the stock price to be traded at a high price-earnings multiple than it should be. In general, excessive earnings management by Noah Holdings executives may lead to removing some of the operating profits from subsequent periods to inflate earnings in the following periods. This way, the manipulation of Noah Holdings' earnings can lead to misrepresentations of actual financial condition, taking the otherwise loyal stakeholders on to the path of questionable ethical practices and plain fraud.
-1.98
Beneish M Score - Unavailable
Elasticity of Receivables

1.34

Focus
Asset Quality

2.31

Focus
Expense Coverage

1.41

Focus
Gross Margin Strengs

1.25

Focus
Accruals Factor

1.41

Focus
Depreciation Resistance

1.0

Focus
Net Sales Growth

0.61

Focus
Financial Leverage Condition

1.12

Focus

Noah Holdings Beneish M-Score Indicator Trends

The cure to earnings manipulation is the transparency of financial reporting. It will typically remove the temptation of the top executives to inflate earnings (i.e., to promote the idea of 'winning at any cost'). Because a healthy internal audit department can enhance transparency, the board should promote the auditors' access to all the record-keeping systems across the enterprise. For example, if Noah Holdings' auditors report directly to the board (not management), the managers will be reluctant to manipulate simply due to the fear of punishment. On the other hand, the auditors will be free to investigate the ledgers properly because they know that the board has their back.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Net Receivables675.5 M826.3 M
Significantly Down
Slightly volatile
Total RevenueB3.3 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Total Assets13.3 B12.7 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Total Current Assets3.7 B7.1 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Non Current Assets Total5.8 B5.6 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Property Plant Equipment3.2 B3.1 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Depreciation And Amortization166 M158.1 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Selling General Administrative237 M275.7 M
Fairly Down
Slightly volatile
Total Current Liabilities1.1 B1.9 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Non Current Liabilities Total271.9 M366.6 M
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Operating Income618.2 M1.1 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Total Cash From Operating Activities665.1 M1.3 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Short Term Investments262.2 M379.5 M
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Long Term Investments1.6 B2.3 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Gross Profit Margin0.70.5578
Significantly Up
Slightly volatile

Noah Holdings Beneish M-Score Driver Matrix

One of the toughest challenges investors face today is learning how to quickly synthesize historical financial statements and information provided by the company, SEC reporting, and various external parties in order to detect the potential manipulation of earnings. Understanding the correlation between Noah Holdings' different financial indicators related to revenue, expenses, operating profit, and net earnings helps investors identify and prioritize their investing strategies towards Noah Holdings in a much-optimized way. Analyzing correlations between earnings drivers directly associated with dollar figures is the most effective way to find Noah Holdings' degree of accounting gimmicks and manipulations.

About Noah Holdings Beneish M Score

M-Score is one of many grading techniques for value stocks. It was developed by Professor M. Daniel Beneish of the Kelley School of Business at Indiana University and published in 1999 under the paper titled The Detection of Earnings Manipulation. The Beneish score is a multi-factor model that utilizes financial identifiers to compile eight variables used to classify whether a company has manipulated its reported earnings. The variables are built from the officially filed financial statements to create a final score call 'M Score.' The score helps to identify companies that are likely to manipulate their profits if they show deteriorating gross margins, operating expenses, and leverage against growing revenue.

Total Assets

13.32 Billion

As of now, Noah Holdings' Total Assets are increasing as compared to previous years.

Noah Holdings Earnings Manipulation Drivers

Although earnings manipulation is typically not the result of intentional misconduct by the c-level executives, it is still a widespread practice by the senior management of public companies such as Noah Holdings. It is usually done by a series of misrepresentations of various accounting rules and operating activities across multiple financial cycles. The best way to spot the manipulation is to examine the historical financial statement to find inconsistencies in earning reports to find trends in assets or liabilities that are not sustainable in the future.
201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Net Receivables1.5B914.4M1.2B912.3M826.3M675.5M
Total Revenue3.4B3.3B4.3B3.1B3.3B2.0B
Total Assets9.8B9.4B10.9B11.8B12.7B13.3B
Total Current Assets6.8B6.7B5.5B6.3B7.1B3.7B
Net Debt(4.0B)(4.7B)(3.3B)(4.2B)(5.1B)(4.8B)
Short Term Debt11.7M86.5M91.3M84.4M61.8M99.8M
Operating Income915.0M1.3B1.2B1.1B1.1B618.2M
Investments(182.0M)144.6M(2.6B)74.3M(247.1M)(259.5M)

Noah Holdings ESG Sustainability

Some studies have found that companies with high sustainability scores are getting higher valuations than competitors with lower social-engagement activities. While most ESG disclosures are voluntary and do not directly affect the long term financial condition, Noah Holdings' sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to Noah Holdings' managers, analysts, and investors.
Environmental
Governance
Social

About Noah Holdings Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Noah Holdings's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Noah Holdings using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Noah Holdings based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

When determining whether Noah Holdings offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Noah Holdings' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Noah Holdings Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Noah Holdings Stock:
Check out Noah Holdings Piotroski F Score and Noah Holdings Altman Z Score analysis.
For more detail on how to invest in Noah Stock please use our How to Invest in Noah Holdings guide.
You can also try the Money Flow Index module to determine momentum by analyzing Money Flow Index and other technical indicators.
Is Asset Management & Custody Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Noah Holdings. If investors know Noah will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Noah Holdings listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.69)
Dividend Share
7.75
Earnings Share
1.35
Revenue Per Share
40.352
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.35)
The market value of Noah Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Noah that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Noah Holdings' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Noah Holdings' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Noah Holdings' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Noah Holdings' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Noah Holdings' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Noah Holdings is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Noah Holdings' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.