Old Republic International Stock Beneish M Score

ORI Stock  USD 38.80  0.20  0.52%   
This module uses fundamental data of Old Republic to approximate the value of its Beneish M Score. Old Republic M Score tells investors if the company management is likely to be manipulating earnings. The score is calculated using eight financial indicators that are adjusted by a specific multiplier. Please note, the M Score is a probabilistic model and cannot detect companies that manipulate their earnings with 100% accuracy. Check out Old Republic Piotroski F Score and Old Republic Altman Z Score analysis.
  
As of now, Old Republic's Short and Long Term Debt is decreasing as compared to previous years. The Old Republic's current Interest Debt Per Share is estimated to increase to 6.17, while Long Term Debt is projected to decrease to under 710.4 M. As of now, Old Republic's Stock Based Compensation To Revenue is increasing as compared to previous years. The Old Republic's current Net Income Per Share is estimated to increase to 2.22, while Price To Sales Ratio is projected to decrease to 0.74.
At this time, it appears that Old Republic Interna is a possible manipulator. The earnings manipulation may begin if Old Republic's top management creates an artificial sense of financial success, forcing the stock price to be traded at a high price-earnings multiple than it should be. In general, excessive earnings management by Old Republic executives may lead to removing some of the operating profits from subsequent periods to inflate earnings in the following periods. This way, the manipulation of Old Republic's earnings can lead to misrepresentations of actual financial condition, taking the otherwise loyal stakeholders on to the path of questionable ethical practices and plain fraud.
-2.18
Beneish M Score - Possible Manipulator
Elasticity of Receivables

2.21

Focus
Asset Quality

1.1

Focus
Expense Coverage

1.01

Focus
Gross Margin Strengs

N/A

Focus
Accruals Factor

1.01

Focus
Depreciation Resistance

1.0

Focus
Net Sales Growth

0.56

Focus
Financial Leverage Condition

0.72

Focus

Old Republic Beneish M-Score Indicator Trends

The cure to earnings manipulation is the transparency of financial reporting. It will typically remove the temptation of the top executives to inflate earnings (i.e., to promote the idea of 'winning at any cost'). Because a healthy internal audit department can enhance transparency, the board should promote the auditors' access to all the record-keeping systems across the enterprise. For example, if Old Republic's auditors report directly to the board (not management), the managers will be reluctant to manipulate simply due to the fear of punishment. On the other hand, the auditors will be free to investigate the ledgers properly because they know that the board has their back.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Net Receivables2.7 B2.2 B
Fairly Up
Slightly volatile
Total RevenueB7.3 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Total Assets27.8 B26.5 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Total Current AssetsB5.8 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Non Current Assets Total302.4 M318.3 M
Notably Down
Pretty Stable
Depreciation And Amortization31.3 M33 M
Notably Down
Slightly volatile
Selling General Administrative3.1 B5.4 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Total Current Liabilities6.6 B9.3 B
Way Down
Pretty Stable
Non Current Liabilities Total5.7 B5.2 B
Significantly Up
Very volatile
Short Term Debt675 M399.5 M
Way Up
Slightly volatile
Long Term Debt710.4 M1.2 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Short Term Investments2.4 B2.6 B
Moderately Down
Slightly volatile
Long Term Investments9.1 B15.8 B
Way Down
Very volatile

Old Republic Interna Beneish M-Score Driver Matrix

One of the toughest challenges investors face today is learning how to quickly synthesize historical financial statements and information provided by the company, SEC reporting, and various external parties in order to detect the potential manipulation of earnings. Understanding the correlation between Old Republic's different financial indicators related to revenue, expenses, operating profit, and net earnings helps investors identify and prioritize their investing strategies towards Old Republic in a much-optimized way. Analyzing correlations between earnings drivers directly associated with dollar figures is the most effective way to find Old Republic's degree of accounting gimmicks and manipulations.

About Old Republic Beneish M Score

M-Score is one of many grading techniques for value stocks. It was developed by Professor M. Daniel Beneish of the Kelley School of Business at Indiana University and published in 1999 under the paper titled The Detection of Earnings Manipulation. The Beneish score is a multi-factor model that utilizes financial identifiers to compile eight variables used to classify whether a company has manipulated its reported earnings. The variables are built from the officially filed financial statements to create a final score call 'M Score.' The score helps to identify companies that are likely to manipulate their profits if they show deteriorating gross margins, operating expenses, and leverage against growing revenue.

Other Operating Expenses

3.4 Billion

As of now, Old Republic's Other Operating Expenses is increasing as compared to previous years.

Old Republic Earnings Manipulation Drivers

Although earnings manipulation is typically not the result of intentional misconduct by the c-level executives, it is still a widespread practice by the senior management of public companies such as Old Republic. It is usually done by a series of misrepresentations of various accounting rules and operating activities across multiple financial cycles. The best way to spot the manipulation is to examine the historical financial statement to find inconsistencies in earning reports to find trends in assets or liabilities that are not sustainable in the future.
201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Net Receivables5.3B6.0B6.7B7.5B2.2B2.7B
Total Revenue7.2B7.2B9.3B8.1B7.3B4.0B
Total Assets21.1B22.8B25.0B25.2B26.5B27.8B
Total Current Assets15.7B17.3B18.1B20.2B5.8B4.0B
Net Debt(9.4B)(10.4B)(9.8B)(11.1B)1.4B1.5B
Short Term Debt974M397.9M398.4M399M399.5M675.0M
Long Term Debt973.9M966.4M1.6B1.6B1.2B710.4M
Operating Income1.2B557.1M1.8B923.9M598.6M434.4M
Investments(423.3M)(844.8M)(889.4M)(2.6B)79.1M83.1M

Old Republic ESG Sustainability

Some studies have found that companies with high sustainability scores are getting higher valuations than competitors with lower social-engagement activities. While most ESG disclosures are voluntary and do not directly affect the long term financial condition, Old Republic's sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to Old Republic's managers, analysts, and investors.
Environmental
Governance
Social

About Old Republic Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Old Republic International's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Old Republic using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Old Republic International based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

When determining whether Old Republic Interna offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Old Republic's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Old Republic International Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Old Republic International Stock:
Check out Old Republic Piotroski F Score and Old Republic Altman Z Score analysis.
You can also try the Instant Ratings module to determine any equity ratings based on digital recommendations. Macroaxis instant equity ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.
Is Property & Casualty Insurance space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Old Republic. If investors know Old will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Old Republic listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
5.952
Dividend Share
1.04
Earnings Share
3.49
Revenue Per Share
30.853
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.33
The market value of Old Republic Interna is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Old that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Old Republic's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Old Republic's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Old Republic's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Old Republic's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Old Republic's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Old Republic is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Old Republic's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.