Super Micro Computer Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy

SMCI Stock

USD 33.15 3.45 11.62%

Super Micro's odds of distress is below 1% at the present time. The company is very unlikely to encounter any financial distress in the next two years. Probability of distress shows the probability of financial torment over the next two years of operations under current economic and market conditions. All items used in analyzing the odds of distress are taken from the Super balance sheet, as well as cash flow and income statements available from the company's most recent filings. Check out Super Micro Piotroski F Score and Super Micro Altman Z Score analysis.

The current Market Cap is estimated to decrease to about 262.2 M. Enterprise Value is estimated to decrease to about 249.1 M

Super Micro Computer Company probability of distress Analysis

Super Micro's Probability Of Bankruptcy is a relative measure of the likelihood of financial distress. For stocks, the Probability Of Bankruptcy is the normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs, it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within the next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100, indicating the firm's actual probability it will be financially distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.

Probability Of Bankruptcy

Normalized

Z-Score

More About Probability Of Bankruptcy | All Equity Analysis

Current Super Micro Probability Of Bankruptcy

Less than 1%

Most of Super Micro's fundamental indicators, such as Probability Of Bankruptcy, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, Super Micro Computer is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.

Our calculation of Super Micro probability of bankruptcy is based on Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score, but not limited to these measures. To be applied to a broader range of industries and markets, we use several other techniques to enhance the accuracy of predicting Super Micro odds of financial distress. These include financial statement analysis, different types of price predictions, earning estimates, analysis consensus, and basic intrinsic valuation. Please use the options below to get a better understanding of different measures that drive the calculation of Super Micro Computer financial health.

Is Technology Hardware, Storage & Peripherals space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Super Micro. If investors know Super will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Super Micro listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.

Quarterly Earnings Growth

0.61

Earnings Share

2.01

Revenue Per Share

26.881

Quarterly Revenue Growth

1.43

Return On Assets

0.1162

The market value of Super Micro Computer is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Super that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Super Micro's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Super Micro's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Super Micro's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Super Micro's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.

	Total Assets	Total Stockholder Equity	Net Debt	Total Liab	Total Current Assets	Current Deferred Revenue	Retained Earnings	Accounts Payable	Long Term Debt	Net Receivables	Short Term Investments	Short Term Debt	Common Stock	Property Plant Equipment	Treasury Stock	Net Tangible Assets	Total Permanent Equity	Long Term Debt Total	Deferred Long Term Liab	Long Term Investments	Intangible Assets	Short Long Term Debt	Net Invested Capital	Net Working Capital	Capital Stock
Total Assets		1.0	0.82	1.0	1.0	0.88	0.99	0.98	0.77	1.0	-0.28	0.83	0.99	0.78	-0.45	0.92	0.58	0.82	0.78	0.45	0.24	0.4	0.71	0.74	0.82
Total Stockholder Equity	1.0		0.8	0.99	1.0	0.86	0.99	0.98	0.75	0.99	-0.29	0.8	0.99	0.77	-0.41	0.91	0.56	0.8	0.76	0.41	0.23	0.35	0.69	0.72	0.81
Net Debt	0.82	0.8		0.83	0.82	0.65	0.76	0.79	0.74	0.81	-0.21	0.89	0.83	0.51	-0.29	0.65	0.37	0.72	0.53	0.39	0.12	0.56	0.53	0.49	0.57
Total Liab	1.0	0.99	0.83		1.0	0.9	0.99	0.99	0.79	0.99	-0.26	0.86	0.98	0.8	-0.48	0.93	0.59	0.85	0.8	0.48	0.24	0.45	0.73	0.75	0.83
Total Current Assets	1.0	1.0	0.82	1.0		0.87	0.99	0.98	0.77	1.0	-0.28	0.83	0.99	0.77	-0.44	0.92	0.57	0.82	0.77	0.44	0.23	0.39	0.71	0.73	0.82
Current Deferred Revenue	0.88	0.86	0.65	0.9	0.87		0.9	0.94	0.79	0.88	0.05	0.79	0.81	0.9	-0.78	0.93	0.76	0.84	0.92	0.73	0.31	0.54	0.72	0.76	0.81
Retained Earnings	0.99	0.99	0.76	0.99	0.99	0.9		0.98	0.79	0.99	-0.28	0.82	0.96	0.82	-0.49	0.96	0.62	0.85	0.82	0.47	0.27	0.42	0.76	0.79	0.86
Accounts Payable	0.98	0.98	0.79	0.99	0.98	0.94	0.98		0.8	0.98	-0.16	0.84	0.95	0.85	-0.57	0.95	0.67	0.84	0.85	0.56	0.31	0.46	0.73	0.76	0.83
Long Term Debt	0.77	0.75	0.74	0.79	0.77	0.79	0.79	0.8		0.78	-0.3	0.91	0.69	0.72	-0.5	0.83	0.54	0.94	0.78	0.66	0.17	0.8	0.82	0.76	0.82
Net Receivables	1.0	0.99	0.81	0.99	1.0	0.88	0.99	0.98	0.78		-0.27	0.83	0.98	0.78	-0.45	0.93	0.58	0.83	0.78	0.45	0.25	0.4	0.73	0.75	0.82
Short Term Investments	-0.28	-0.29	-0.21	-0.26	-0.28	0.05	-0.28	-0.16	-0.3	-0.27		-0.27	-0.28	0.01	-0.53	-0.2	0.32	-0.3	0.04	0.24	0.17	-0.13	-0.39	-0.29	-0.37
Short Term Debt	0.83	0.8	0.89	0.86	0.83	0.79	0.82	0.84	0.91	0.83	-0.27		0.77	0.75	-0.5	0.82	0.57	0.91	0.77	0.58	0.29	0.81	0.76	0.7	0.76
Common Stock	0.99	0.99	0.83	0.98	0.99	0.81	0.96	0.95	0.69	0.98	-0.28	0.77		0.7	-0.34	0.85	0.51	0.73	0.69	0.36	0.2	0.29	0.62	0.64	0.74
Property Plant Equipment	0.78	0.77	0.51	0.8	0.77	0.9	0.82	0.85	0.72	0.78	0.01	0.75	0.7		-0.77	0.9	0.88	0.8	0.97	0.58	0.53	0.54	0.7	0.74	0.78
Treasury Stock	-0.45	-0.41	-0.29	-0.48	-0.44	-0.78	-0.49	-0.57	-0.5	-0.45	-0.53	-0.5	-0.34	-0.77		-0.64	-0.77	-0.57	-0.8	-0.71	-0.35	-0.52	-0.48	-0.55	-0.51
Net Tangible Assets	0.92	0.91	0.65	0.93	0.92	0.93	0.96	0.95	0.83	0.93	-0.2	0.82	0.85	0.9	-0.64		0.71	0.91	0.92	0.55	0.32	0.53	0.83	0.87	0.9
Total Permanent Equity	0.58	0.56	0.37	0.59	0.57	0.76	0.62	0.67	0.54	0.58	0.32	0.57	0.51	0.88	-0.77	0.71		0.59	0.85	0.55	0.64	0.44	0.46	0.52	0.51
Long Term Debt Total	0.82	0.8	0.72	0.85	0.82	0.84	0.85	0.84	0.94	0.83	-0.3	0.91	0.73	0.8	-0.57	0.91	0.59		0.86	0.57	0.19	0.77	0.87	0.85	0.87
Deferred Long Term Liab	0.78	0.76	0.53	0.8	0.77	0.92	0.82	0.85	0.78	0.78	0.04	0.77	0.69	0.97	-0.8	0.92	0.85	0.86		0.63	0.41	0.61	0.74	0.77	0.8
Long Term Investments	0.45	0.41	0.39	0.48	0.44	0.73	0.47	0.56	0.66	0.45	0.24	0.58	0.36	0.58	-0.71	0.55	0.55	0.57	0.63		0.24	0.68	0.58	0.57	0.58
Intangible Assets	0.24	0.23	0.12	0.24	0.23	0.31	0.27	0.31	0.17	0.25	0.17	0.29	0.2	0.53	-0.35	0.32	0.64	0.19	0.41	0.24		0.21	0.22	0.25	0.23
Short Long Term Debt	0.4	0.35	0.56	0.45	0.39	0.54	0.42	0.46	0.8	0.4	-0.13	0.81	0.29	0.54	-0.52	0.53	0.44	0.77	0.61	0.68	0.21		0.69	0.59	0.59
Net Invested Capital	0.71	0.69	0.53	0.73	0.71	0.72	0.76	0.73	0.82	0.73	-0.39	0.76	0.62	0.7	-0.48	0.83	0.46	0.87	0.74	0.58	0.22	0.69		0.98	0.97
Net Working Capital	0.74	0.72	0.49	0.75	0.73	0.76	0.79	0.76	0.76	0.75	-0.29	0.7	0.64	0.74	-0.55	0.87	0.52	0.85	0.77	0.57	0.25	0.59	0.98		0.97
Capital Stock	0.82	0.81	0.57	0.83	0.82	0.81	0.86	0.83	0.82	0.82	-0.37	0.76	0.74	0.78	-0.51	0.9	0.51	0.87	0.8	0.58	0.23	0.59	0.97	0.97

	2019	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024 (projected)
Return On Assets	0.0439	0.0499	0.089	0.17	0.12	0.13
Asset Turnover	1.74	1.59	1.62	1.94	1.5	2.13
Net Debt	(181.1M)	(134.1M)	329.4M	(150.2M)	504.4M	529.6M
Total Current Liabilities	707.6M	968.9M	1.5B	1.4B	2.4B	2.5B
Non Current Liabilities Total	145.3M	176.7M	309.3M	327.9M	2.1B	2.2B
Total Assets	1.9B	2.2B	3.2B	3.7B	9.9B	10.4B
Total Current Assets	1.6B	1.9B	2.8B	3.2B	9.1B	9.5B
Total Cash From Operating Activities	(30.3M)	123.0M	(440.8M)	663.6M	(2.5B)	(2.4B)

	Return On Equity	0.32
	Return On Asset	0.12
	Profit Margin	0.08 %
	Operating Margin	0.06 %
	Current Valuation	17.9 B
	Shares Outstanding	585.56 M
	Shares Owned By Insiders	14.48 %
	Shares Owned By Institutions	55.23 %
	Number Of Shares Shorted	95.04 M
	Price To Earning	55.89 X
	Price To Book	3.18 X
	Price To Sales	1.16 X
	Revenue	14.94 B
	Gross Profit	1.28 B
	EBITDA	1.29 B
	Net Income	1.21 B
	Cash And Equivalents	267.4 M
	Cash Per Share	5.11 X
	Total Debt	2.17 B
	Debt To Equity	0.43 %
	Current Ratio	1.91 X
	Book Value Per Share	9.32 X
	Cash Flow From Operations	(2.48 B)
	Short Ratio	1.70 X
	Earnings Per Share	2.01 X
	Price To Earnings To Growth	0.76 X
	Target Price	40.32
	Beta	1.28
	Market Capitalization	17.39 B
	Total Asset	9.94 B
	Retained Earnings	2.64 B
	Working Capital	1.8 B
	Current Asset	938 M
	Current Liabilities	363.62 M
	Net Asset	9.94 B

RSI	Rush Street Interactive
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Super Micro Computer Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy

Super Micro Computer Company probability of distress Analysis

Probability Of Bankruptcy

Normalized

Z-Score

Current Super Micro Probability Of Bankruptcy

Super Probability Of Bankruptcy Driver Correlations

Super Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison

Super Micro Main Bankruptcy Drivers

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