Super Micro Computer Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| SMCI Stock | USD 33.15 3.45 11.62% |
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your typical level of risk aversion, our recommendation regarding Super Micro Computer is 'Strong Sell'. The recommendation algorithm takes into account all of Super Micro's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
Check out Super Micro Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Super and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Super Micro Computer. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in main economic indicators.
Super |
Execute Super Micro Buy or Sell Advice
The Super recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Super Micro Computer. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Super Micro Computer or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Super Micro's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Sell
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Somewhat reliable | Details | |
Hype Condition | Under hyped | Details | |
Current Valuation | Fairly Valued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Very Small | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Almost neglects market trends | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Alarmed | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Healthy | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Possible Manipulator | Details |
Super Micro Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Super Micro Computer generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Super Micro Computer has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Super Micro Computer is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Super Micro Computer currently holds about 267.4 M in cash with (2.48 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 5.11. | |
| Roughly 55.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Supermicro Stock Jumps 12 percent Friday to Cap Off a Wild Week |
Super Micro Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Super Micro's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Super Micro's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Super Micro daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Super Micro Computer price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Super Micro returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Super Micro.
| Mean Return | -0.52 | Value At Risk | -12.18 | Potential Upside | 15.12 | Standard Deviation | 8.73 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Super Micro historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Super Stock Institutional Investors
| Shares | Gfs Advisors, Llc | 2024-06-30 | 409 K | Amvescap Plc. | 2024-06-30 | 364.8 K | Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc | 2024-06-30 | 351.8 K | Legal & General Group Plc | 2024-06-30 | 340.1 K | Norges Bank | 2024-06-30 | 314.7 K | Bank Of New York Mellon Corp | 2024-06-30 | 310.6 K | Bank Of America Corp | 2024-06-30 | 302.9 K | D. E. Shaw & Co Lp | 2024-06-30 | 257.9 K | Ubs Asset Mgmt Americas Inc | 2024-06-30 | 241.3 K | Vanguard Group Inc | 2024-06-30 | 6 M | Blackrock Inc | 2024-06-30 | 4 M |
Super Micro Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change To Inventory | (199.7M) | (196.3M) | (519.7M) | 100.0M | 90.0M | 94.5M | |
| Change In Cash | (49.8M) | 21.1M | 35.1M | 172.4M | 1.2B | 1.3B | |
| Free Cash Flow | (74.7M) | 64.9M | (486.0M) | 626.8M | (2.5B) | (2.4B) | |
| Depreciation | 28.5M | 28.2M | 32.5M | 34.9M | 40.1M | 42.1M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 15.3M | 7.3M | (335K) | 111.9M | (3.9B) | (3.7B) | |
| Net Income | 84.3M | 111.9M | 285.2M | 640.0M | 1.2B | 1.3B | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 212.4M | 233.4M | 268.6M | 441.0M | 1.7B | 1.8B | |
| Change To Netincome | 21.7M | 11.1M | (726.0M) | (38.2M) | (34.4M) | (36.1M) | |
| Investments | (43.6M) | (58.0M) | (46.3M) | (39.5M) | (35.5M) | (37.3M) | |
| Net Borrowings | 4.3M | 66.5M | 512.0M | (300.5M) | (345.6M) | (328.3M) |
Super Micro Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Super Micro or Technology Hardware, Storage & Peripherals sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Super Micro's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Super stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.47 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.46 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 8.81 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.07 |
Super Micro Volatility Alert
Super Micro Computer is displaying above-average volatility over the selected time horizon. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Super Micro's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Super Micro's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Super Micro Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Super Micro's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Super Micro's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Super Micro and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Super Micro or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Super Micro's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Super Micro by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Super Micro to competition |
| Fundamentals | Super Micro | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.32 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.12 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.08 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.06 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 19.92 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 585.56 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 14.48 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 55.32 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 95.04 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 55.89 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 3.55 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 1.30 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 14.94 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 1.28 B | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 1.29 B | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 1.21 B | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 267.4 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 5.11 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 2.17 B | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 0.43 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 1.91 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 9.32 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | (2.48 B) | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 1.70 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 2.01 X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 0.76 X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 40.32 | |
| Beta | 1.28 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 19.41 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 9.94 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 2.64 B | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 1.8 B | 1.48 B |
| Current Asset | 938 M | 9.34 B |
Note: Exercise or conversion by David Weigand of 28 shares of Super Micro subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Super Micro Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Super . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Super Micro Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Super Micro Computer? Buying financial instruments such as Super Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having Super Micro in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
Run Junk Bonds Funds Thematic Idea Now
Junk Bonds Funds
Funds or Etfs that invest most of their assets into speculative (junk) bonds or to other fixed income instruments with interest rates 3 to 4 percentage points above government issues. The Junk Bonds Funds theme has 42 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Junk Bonds Funds Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Check out Super Micro Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. You can also try the Correlation Analysis module to reduce portfolio risk simply by holding instruments which are not perfectly correlated.
Is Technology Hardware, Storage & Peripherals space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Super Micro. If investors know Super will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Super Micro listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.61 | Earnings Share 2.01 | Revenue Per Share 26.881 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 1.43 | Return On Assets 0.1162 |
The market value of Super Micro Computer is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Super that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Super Micro's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Super Micro's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Super Micro's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Super Micro's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Super Micro's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Super Micro is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Super Micro's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.