Vital Farms Stock Beneish M Score

VITL Stock  USD 31.03  0.90  2.99%   
This module uses fundamental data of Vital Farms to approximate the value of its Beneish M Score. Vital Farms M Score tells investors if the company management is likely to be manipulating earnings. The score is calculated using eight financial indicators that are adjusted by a specific multiplier. Please note, the M Score is a probabilistic model and cannot detect companies that manipulate their earnings with 100% accuracy. Check out Vital Farms Piotroski F Score and Vital Farms Altman Z Score analysis.
For more information on how to buy Vital Stock please use our How to buy in Vital Stock guide.
  
At this time, Vital Farms' Total Debt To Capitalization is quite stable compared to the past year. Debt Equity Ratio is expected to rise to 0.26 this year, although the value of Long Term Debt will most likely fall to about 2.4 M. At this time, Vital Farms' ROIC is quite stable compared to the past year. Inventory Turnover is expected to rise to 13.21 this year, although the value of PTB Ratio will most likely fall to 3.66.
At this time, it appears that Vital Farms is a possible manipulator. The earnings manipulation may begin if Vital Farms' top management creates an artificial sense of financial success, forcing the stock price to be traded at a high price-earnings multiple than it should be. In general, excessive earnings management by Vital Farms executives may lead to removing some of the operating profits from subsequent periods to inflate earnings in the following periods. This way, the manipulation of Vital Farms' earnings can lead to misrepresentations of actual financial condition, taking the otherwise loyal stakeholders on to the path of questionable ethical practices and plain fraud.
-0.39
Beneish M Score - Possible Manipulator
Elasticity of Receivables

1.44

Focus
Asset Quality

1.61

Focus
Expense Coverage

2.08

Focus
Gross Margin Strengs

0.81

Focus
Accruals Factor

2.08

Focus
Depreciation Resistance

0.71

Focus
Net Sales Growth

0.5

Focus
Financial Leverage Condition

-7.9

Focus

Vital Farms Beneish M-Score Indicator Trends

The cure to earnings manipulation is the transparency of financial reporting. It will typically remove the temptation of the top executives to inflate earnings (i.e., to promote the idea of 'winning at any cost'). Because a healthy internal audit department can enhance transparency, the board should promote the auditors' access to all the record-keeping systems across the enterprise. For example, if Vital Farms' auditors report directly to the board (not management), the managers will be reluctant to manipulate simply due to the fear of punishment. On the other hand, the auditors will be free to investigate the ledgers properly because they know that the board has their back.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Net Receivables28.9 M39.7 M
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Total Revenue273.5 M542.6 M
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Total Assets176.5 M275.2 M
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Total Current Assets125.6 M195.5 M
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Non Current Assets Total50.9 M79.7 M
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Property Plant Equipment38.5 M68 M
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Depreciation And Amortization2.3 M2.9 M
Significantly Down
Slightly volatile
Selling General Administrative135.5 M129.1 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Total Current Liabilities40.1 M65.2 M
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Non Current Liabilities Total18.1 M17.3 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Short Term Debt6.6 M6.3 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Long Term Debt2.4 M2.6 M
Significantly Down
Slightly volatile
Short Term Investments47.1 M32.7 M
Way Up
Slightly volatile
Gross Profit Margin0.250.31
Significantly Down
Very volatile

Vital Farms Beneish M-Score Driver Matrix

One of the toughest challenges investors face today is learning how to quickly synthesize historical financial statements and information provided by the company, SEC reporting, and various external parties in order to detect the potential manipulation of earnings. Understanding the correlation between Vital Farms' different financial indicators related to revenue, expenses, operating profit, and net earnings helps investors identify and prioritize their investing strategies towards Vital Farms in a much-optimized way. Analyzing correlations between earnings drivers directly associated with dollar figures is the most effective way to find Vital Farms' degree of accounting gimmicks and manipulations.

About Vital Farms Beneish M Score

M-Score is one of many grading techniques for value stocks. It was developed by Professor M. Daniel Beneish of the Kelley School of Business at Indiana University and published in 1999 under the paper titled The Detection of Earnings Manipulation. The Beneish score is a multi-factor model that utilizes financial identifiers to compile eight variables used to classify whether a company has manipulated its reported earnings. The variables are built from the officially filed financial statements to create a final score call 'M Score.' The score helps to identify companies that are likely to manipulate their profits if they show deteriorating gross margins, operating expenses, and leverage against growing revenue.

Depreciation And Amortization

2.32 Million

At this time, Vital Farms' Depreciation And Amortization is quite stable compared to the past year.

Vital Farms Earnings Manipulation Drivers

Although earnings manipulation is typically not the result of intentional misconduct by the c-level executives, it is still a widespread practice by the senior management of public companies such as Vital Farms. It is usually done by a series of misrepresentations of various accounting rules and operating activities across multiple financial cycles. The best way to spot the manipulation is to examine the historical financial statement to find inconsistencies in earning reports to find trends in assets or liabilities that are not sustainable in the future.
201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Net Receivables17.7M22.5M27.1M40.2M39.7M28.9M
Total Revenue140.7M214.3M260.9M471.9M542.6M273.5M
Total Assets61.9M171.4M189.9M214.7M275.2M176.5M
Total Current Assets34.7M137.3M141.2M149.6M195.5M125.6M
Net Debt5.0M(28.7M)(30.6M)(2.2M)(61.6M)(58.5M)
Short Term Debt2.6M471K327K2.8M6.3M6.6M
Operating Income4.8M12.2M406K33.3M33.3M34.9M
Investments(5.6M)(77.8M)(372K)528K22.4M23.5M

Vital Farms ESG Sustainability

Some studies have found that companies with high sustainability scores are getting higher valuations than competitors with lower social-engagement activities. While most ESG disclosures are voluntary and do not directly affect the long term financial condition, Vital Farms' sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to Vital Farms' managers, analysts, and investors.
Environmental
Governance
Social

About Vital Farms Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Vital Farms's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Vital Farms using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Vital Farms based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

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When determining whether Vital Farms is a strong investment it is important to analyze Vital Farms' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Vital Farms' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Vital Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Vital Farms Piotroski F Score and Vital Farms Altman Z Score analysis.
For more information on how to buy Vital Stock please use our How to buy in Vital Stock guide.
You can also try the Technical Analysis module to check basic technical indicators and analysis based on most latest market data.
Is Packaged Foods & Meats space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Vital Farms. If investors know Vital will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Vital Farms listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.6
Earnings Share
1.12
Revenue Per Share
13.619
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.313
Return On Assets
0.1254
The market value of Vital Farms is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Vital that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Vital Farms' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Vital Farms' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Vital Farms' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Vital Farms' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Vital Farms' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Vital Farms is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Vital Farms' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.