Vital Farms Valuation

VITL Stock  USD 32.27  1.83  6.01%   
At this time, the company appears to be overvalued. Vital Farms has a current Real Value of $23.22 per share. The regular price of the company is $32.27. Our model measures the value of Vital Farms from inspecting the company fundamentals such as Shares Outstanding of 43.79 M, return on equity of 0.23, and Operating Margin of 0.06 % as well as reviewing its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy. Key fundamental drivers impacting Vital Farms' valuation include:
Price Book
5.2611
Enterprise Value
1.2 B
Enterprise Value Ebitda
16.2889
Price Sales
2.3136
Forward PE
208.3333
Overvalued
Today
32.27
Please note that Vital Farms' price fluctuation is not too volatile at this time. Calculation of the real value of Vital Farms is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing Vital Farms' time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
The fair value of the Vital stock is determined by what a typical buyer is willing to pay for full or partial control of Vital Farms. Since Vital Farms is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Vital Stock. However, Vital Farms' intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  32.27 Real  23.22 Target  17.83 Hype  30.41 Naive  32.79
The intrinsic value of Vital Farms' stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow or dividend analysis. That value may differ from its market price, which is determined by factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, headlines, and other external factors that may influence Vital Farms' stock price.
23.22
Real Value
33.48
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Vital Farms helps investors to forecast how Vital stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Vital Farms more accurately as focusing exclusively on Vital Farms' fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjectedHigh
0.270.280.29
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
27.2230.4133.60
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
29.6032.7935.98
Details
6 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
16.2317.8319.79
Details
Traditionally, analysts and sophisticated investors use multiple methods for valuing a cash-flow-generating entity or its stock. For example, some money managers use Vital Farms' intrinsic value based on its ongoing forecasts of Vital Farms' financial statements. In contrast, other private, professional wealth advisors use a multiplier approach by looking to relative value analysis against Vital Farms' closest peers.

Vital Farms Cash

88.36 Million

Vital Valuation Trend

Knowing Vital Farms' actual value is paramount for traders when making sound investment determinations. Using both Vital Farms' enterprise value as well as its market capitalization is the best way to estimate the value of the company and is usually enough for investors to make market timing decisions.

Vital Revenue by Product

Vital Farms Total Value Analysis

Vital Farms is at this time anticipated to have valuation of 1.19 B with market capitalization of 1.33 B, debt of 22.56 M, and cash on hands of 90.34 M. Please note that valuation may be misleading and is a subject to auditing or accounting errors. We encourage investors to vigilantly validate all of the Vital Farms fundamentals before making equity appraisal based on enterprise value of the company
  Takeover PriceMarket CapDebt ObligationsCash
1.19 B
1.33 B
22.56 M
90.34 M

Vital Farms Investor Information

About 34.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders. The company has Price/Earnings (P/E) ratio of 103.36. Vital Farms had not issued any dividends in recent years. Based on the key indicators related to Vital Farms' liquidity, profitability, solvency, and operating efficiency, Vital Farms may be sliding down financialy. It has an above-average probability of going through some form of financial hardship next quarter.

Vital Farms Asset Utilization

The asset utilization indicator refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. Vital Farms has an asset utilization ratio of 171.47 percent. This suggests that the Company is making $1.71 for each dollar of assets. An increasing asset utilization means that Vital Farms is more efficient with each dollar of assets it utilizes for everyday operations.
 
Covid

Vital Farms Ownership Allocation

Vital Farms shows a total of 43.79 Million outstanding shares. The majority of Vital Farms outstanding shares are owned by institutional holders. These institutional investors are usually referred to as non-private investors looking to take positions in Vital Farms to benefit from reduced commissions. Consequently, institutions are subject to a different set of regulations than regular investors in Vital Farms. Please pay attention to any change in the institutional holdings of Vital Farms as this could imply that something significant has changed or is about to change at the company. Also note that roughly ten million two hundred fourty-six thousand seven hundred sixty-six invesors are currently shorting Vital Farms expressing very little confidence in its future performance.

Vital Farms Profitability Analysis

The company reported the previous year's revenue of 471.86 M. Net Income was 25.57 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 110.45 M.

About Vital Farms Valuation

We use absolute and relative valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Vital Farms. In general, an absolute valuation paradigm, as applied to this company, attempts to find the value of Vital Farms based exclusively on its fundamental and basic technical indicators. By analyzing Vital Farms's financials, quarterly and monthly indicators, and their related drivers, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Vital Farms's intrinsic value. As compared to an absolute model, our relative valuation model uses a comparative analysis of Vital Farms. We calculate exposure to Vital Farms's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of Vital Farms's related companies.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Gross Profit186.7 M196 M
Pretax Profit Margin 0.06  0.06 
Operating Profit Margin 0.06  0.07 
Net Profit Margin 0.05  0.05 
Gross Profit Margin 0.31  0.25 

Vital Farms Quarterly Retained Earnings

65.09 Million

Vital Farms Growth Indicators

Investing in growth stocks can be very risky. If the company such as Vital Farms does not do well, investors take a loss on the stock when it is time to sell. Also, because growth stocks typically do not pay dividends, the only opportunity an investor has to make money on their investment is when they eventually sell their shares.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding41.7 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y0.6
Forward Price Earnings208.3333

Vital Farms Current Valuation Indicators

Vital Farms' valuation analysis is a process of estimating the intrinsic value of all assets and outstanding equities. There are different methodologies and models we use to develop the final Vital Farms' valuation. The techniques such as discounted cash flow and fundamental indicators such as book value per share or market capitalization are well known and widely used across most financial advisers and money managers.
Valuations are an essential part of business, for companies themselves, but also for investors. For companies, such as Vital Farms, valuations can help measure their progress and success and can help them track their performance in the market compared to others. In addition, investors can use Vital Farms' valuations to help determine the worth of potential investments. They can do this by using data and information made public by a company. Regardless of who the valuation is for, it essentially describes Vital Farms' worth.
When determining whether Vital Farms is a strong investment it is important to analyze Vital Farms' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Vital Farms' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Vital Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Vital Farms. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in estimate.
For more information on how to buy Vital Stock please use our How to buy in Vital Stock guide.
You can also try the Portfolio Holdings module to check your current holdings and cash postion to detemine if your portfolio needs rebalancing.
Is Packaged Foods & Meats space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Vital Farms. If investors know Vital will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Vital Farms listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.6
Earnings Share
1.12
Revenue Per Share
13.619
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.313
Return On Assets
0.1254
The market value of Vital Farms is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Vital that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Vital Farms' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Vital Farms' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Vital Farms' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Vital Farms' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Vital Farms' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Vital Farms is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Vital Farms' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.