What are the odds of Enerplus depinning in September?

Enerplus Earnings Before Interest Taxes and Depreciation Amortization EBITDA are projected to decrease significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The past year's Earnings Before Interest Taxes and Depreciation Amortization EBITDA were at 178.89 Million. The current year Average Equity is expected to grow to about 1.9 B, whereas Working Capital is forecasted to decline to (55 M). As many of us are excited about energy space, it is fair to digest Enerplus. We will evaluate why we are still optimistic in anticipation of a recovery. Here I will also digest some basic indicators that Enerplus investors should consider in September.
Published over a year ago
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Reviewed by Michael Smolkin

The company is undervalued at 3.21 per share with modest projections ahead. On a scale of 0 to 100, Enerplus holds a performance score of 5. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 2.5919, which means a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. Let's try to break down what Enerplus's beta means in this case. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Enerplus will likely underperform. Although it is vital to follow Enerplus historical returns, it is good to be conservative about what you can do with the information regarding equity current trending patterns. The philosophy towards predicting future performance of any stock is to evaluate the business as a whole together with its past performance, including all available fundamental and technical indicators. By reviewing Enerplus technical indicators, you can presently evaluate if the expected return of 0.44% will be sustainable into the future. Please utilizes Enerplus information ratio, downside variance, day median price, as well as the relationship between the treynor ratio and kurtosis to make a quick decision on whether Enerplus price patterns will revert.
The performance of Enerplus in the marketplace will significantly impact your decision to invest in its stock. Revenue growth, profitability, competitive positioning, management quality, and industry trends can influence Enerplus' stock prices. When investing in Enerplus, there are several factors to consider and potential outcomes to expect. As a company performs well, its stock price may increase, allowing investors to benefit from price appreciation. However, Enerplus Stock can experience significant price fluctuations due to market conditions, economic factors, industry trends, or company-specific news. This is why investing in stocks such as Enerplus carries risks, including the potential for capital loss. Stock prices can decline, and investors may incur losses if they sell shares at a lower price than their initial investment.

And What about dividends?

A dividend is the distribution of a portion of Enerplus earnings, decided and managed by the company's board of directors and paid to a class of its shareholders. Note, announcements of dividend payouts are generally accompanied by a proportional increase or decrease in a company's stock price. Enerplus dividend payments follow a chronological order of events, and the associated dates are important to determine the shareholders who qualify for receiving the dividend payment. Enerplus one year expected dividend income is about USD0.06 per share.
Investing in stocks that pay dividends, such as stock of Enerplus, is one of many strategies that are good for long-term investments. Ex-dividend dates are significant because investors in Enerplus must own a stock before its ex-dividend date to receive its next dividend.
This type of analysis is very useful when you want to generate a past dividend schedule and payout information for Enerplus. Then that information in the form of graph and calendar can be used to fully explain how Du Pont dividends can provide a real clue to its valuation.

How important is Enerplus's Liquidity

Enerplus financial leverage refers to using borrowed capital as a funding source to finance Enerplus ongoing operations. It is usually used to expand the firm's asset base and generate returns on borrowed capital. Enerplus financial leverage is typically calculated by taking the company's all interest-bearing debt and dividing it by total capital. So the higher the debt-to-capital ratio (i.e., financial leverage), the riskier the company. Financial leverage can amplify the potential profits to Enerplus' owners, but it also increases the potential losses and risk of financial distress, including bankruptcy, if the firm cannot cover its debt costs. The degree of Enerplus' financial leverage can be measured in several ways, including by ratios such as the debt-to-equity ratio (total debt / total equity), equity multiplier (total assets / total equity), or the debt ratio (total debt / total assets). Please check the breakdown between Enerplus's total debt and its cash.

A Deeper Perspective

Enerplus holds a total of two hundred twenty-two million five hundred sixty thousand outstanding shares. Over half of Enerplus outstanding shares are owned by other corporate entities. These other corporate entities are typically referred to corporate investors that obtain positions in a given instrument to benefit from reduced trade commissions. Consequently, these institutions are subject to different rules and regulation than regular investors in Enerplus. Please watch out for any change in the institutional holdings of Enerplus as this could mean something significant has changed or about to change at the company. Please note that no matter how much assets the company secures, if the real value of the firm is less than the current market value, you may not be able to make money on it.
 2017 2018 2019 2020 (projected)
Interest Expense38.71 M36.8 M33.92 M38.73 M
Gross Profit572.32 M931.96 M669.96 M668.75 M

Ownership Breakdown

Retail Investors
34.59%
Institutions
65.1%
Retail Investors34.59
Insiders0.31
Institutions65.1

Some Enerplus technical indicators suggest correction

Latest Information Ratio is up to 0.03. Price may dip again. Enerplus exhibits above-average semi-deviation for your current time horizon. We encourage investors to investigate Enerplus individually to make sure intended market timing strategies and available technical indicagtors are consistent with their estimates about Enerplus future systematic risk.

The Current Takeaway on Enerplus Investment

Although some companies under the oil & gas e&p industry are still a bit expensive, Enerplus may offer a potential longer-term growth to shareholders. In closing, as of the 7th of August 2020, we believe that Enerplus is currently undervalued with above average probability of bankruptcy in the next two years. Our overall 30 days buy-hold-sell recommendation on the firm is Cautious Hold.

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Editorial Staff

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