Northwest Bancshares price boost is difficult to understand

Today article will concentrate on Northwest Bancshares. I will evaluate if Northwest Bancshares shares are reasonably priced going into March. The company Piotroski F Score is 6 - Healthy. Given the investment horizon of 30 days, Northwest Bancshares is expected to generate 1.37 times less return on investment than the market. But when comparing it to its historical volatility, the company is 1.77 times less risky than the market. It trades about 0.37 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The market is currently generating roughly 0.29 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. What is Northwest Bancshares Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price? In reference to normal probability distribution, the odds of Northwest Bancshares to move above current price in 30 days from now is about 6.82%. The Northwest Bancshares probability density function shows the probability of Northwest Bancshares Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days . Given the investment horizon of 30 days, Northwest Bancshares has beta of -0.0749 indicating as returns on benchmark increase, returns on holding Northwest Bancshares are expected to decrease at a much smaller rate. During bear market, however, Northwest Bancshares is likely to outperform the market. Additionally, the company has an alpha of 0.2242 implying that it can potentially generate 0.2242% excess return over S&P 500 after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
Published over a year ago
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Reviewed by Raphi Shpitalnik

Northwest Bancsha currently holds roughly 68.79M in cash with 146.97M of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.67. This firm dividends can provide a clue to current valuation of the stock. Northwest Bancshares one year expected dividend income is about $0.33 per share. Earning per share calculations of the entity is based on official Zacks consensus of 1 analysts regarding the stock future annual earnings. Given the historical accuracy of 92.11%, the future earnings per share of the company is estimated to be 0.87 with lowest and highest values of 0.87 and 0.87 respectively. Please note that this consensus of annual earnings estimates for Northwest Bancshares is an estimate of EPS before non-recurring items and including employee stock options expenses.
Investing in Northwest Bancshares, just like investing in any other equity instrument, is characterized by a strong risk-return correlation. High risks mean high returns and low risk means lower expected returns. Risk management is the act of identifying and assessing the potential risk and developing strategies to minimize these risks and earn maximum possible profits while holding Northwest Bancshares along with other instruments in the same portfolio. Using conventional technical analysis and fundamental analysis to select individual securities into a portfolio complements risk management and adds value to overall investors' investing strategies.
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Northwest Bancshares. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Northwest Bancshares' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Northwest Bancshares' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Northwest Bancshares.

How important is Northwest Bancshares's Liquidity

Northwest Bancshares financial leverage refers to using borrowed capital as a funding source to finance Northwest Bancshares ongoing operations. It is usually used to expand the firm's asset base and generate returns on borrowed capital. Northwest Bancshares financial leverage is typically calculated by taking the company's all interest-bearing debt and dividing it by total capital. So the higher the debt-to-capital ratio (i.e., financial leverage), the riskier the company. Financial leverage can amplify the potential profits to Northwest Bancshares' owners, but it also increases the potential losses and risk of financial distress, including bankruptcy, if the firm cannot cover its debt costs. The degree of Northwest Bancshares' financial leverage can be measured in several ways, including by ratios such as the debt-to-equity ratio (total debt / total equity), equity multiplier (total assets / total equity), or the debt ratio (total debt / total assets). Please check the breakdown between Northwest Bancshares's total debt and its cash.

Northwest Bancshares Gross Profit

Northwest Bancshares Gross Profit growth is one of the most critical measures in evaluating the company. The Gross Profit growth rate is calculated simply by comparing Northwest Bancshares previous period's values with its current period's values. Each time period you're measuring should be of equal lengths the increase or decrease, in a company's Gross Profit between two periods. Here we show Northwest Bancshares Gross Profit growth over the last 10 years. Please check Northwest Bancshares' gross profit and other fundamental indicators for more details.

Northwest Bancshares Correlation with Peers

Investors in Northwest can reduce exposure to individual asset risk by holding a diversified portfolio of assets in addition to a long position in Northwest Bancshares. Diversification will allow for the same portfolio return with reduced risk. The correlation table of Northwest Bancshares and its peers is a two-dimensional matrix that shows the correlation coefficient between pairs of securities Northwest is related in some way. The cells in the table are color-coded to highlight significantly positive and negative relationships. Each cell shows the correlation between one pair of equities and can be used to run pair trading strategies or create efficient portfolios with your current brokerage. Please check volatility of Northwest for more details

Breaking down Northwest Bancshares Further

The latest increase in of Northwest Bancshares short term price appreciation may encourage investors to take a closer look at the firm as it closed today at a share price of 18.16 on 515078.000 in trading volume. The company directors and management have been quite successful with maneuvering the fund at opportune times to take advantage of all market conditions in January. The stock standard deviation of daily returns for 30 days (very short) investing horizon is currently 0.9933. The very small Stock volatility is a good signal to investors with longer term investment horizons. Northwest Bancshares makes 2.13k number of employees. Northwest Bancshares is selling for under 18.50. That is 1.43 percent up. Day Low was 18.16. Northwest Bancshares Trade and Non Trade Payables is decreasing over the last 5 years. Moreover, Northwest Bancshares Return on Average Assets is increasing over the last 5 years.
Share Based CompensationNet Cash Flow from Operations
 2013 0.00  0.00 
 2014 0.00  0.00 
 2015 0.00  0.00 
 2018 0.00  0.00 
 2019 (projected) 0.00  0.00 
All things considered, our current 'Buy/Hold/Sell' recommendation on the entity is Hold. We believe Northwest Bancshares is overvalued with low odds of financial distress for the next two years.

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This story should be regarded as informational only and should not be considered a solicitation to sell or buy any financial products. Macroaxis does not express any opinion as to the present or future value of any investments referred to in this post. This post may not be reproduced without the consent of Macroaxis LLC. Macroaxis LLC and Ellen Johnson do not own shares of Northwest Bancshares. Please refer to our Terms of Use for any information regarding our disclosure principles.

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