Alcoa Corp Potential Upside
| AA Stock | | | USD 62.46 -0.17 -0.27% |
Potential Upside is the amount of upward price movement an investor or an analyst expects of a particular equity instrument. Below is Alcoa Corp's current Potential Upside with peer comparisons and related risk metrics.
Current Potential Upside Value
At 5.68, Alcoa Corp exhibits moderate estimated upside from current levels in Potential Upside. Alcoa Corp trades below the model-derived fair value estimate by a meaningful margin.
Potential Upside | = | 1PM2PM |
| = | 5.68 | |
| 1PM | = | First upper moment |
| 2PM | = | Second upper moment |
Potential Upside Peers Comparison
Relative to peers, Alcoa Corp's Potential Upside is below the group average of 5.76. Peer readings range from 3.0 (Suzano Papel e) to 8.33 (MP Materials Corp), reflecting moderate dispersion across the sector. Alcoa Corp shows less estimated upside from current levels than the peer average.
Potential Upside Relative To Other Indicators
The chart below plots Potential Upside against Maximum Drawdown for Alcoa Corp and its peers. Each point represents one equity — position along the horizontal axis shows Potential Upside while the vertical axis shows Maximum Drawdown. Equities that cluster in different quadrants carry distinct risk-return profiles. Use the dropdowns to swap in other indicators for either axis.
Alcoa Corp's Maximum Drawdown of
16.92 runs about
2.98 times its Potential Upside of
5.68 . This indicates Maximum Drawdown is significantly higher than Potential Upside for Alcoa Corp.
Methodology, Assumptions & Data Sources
Alcoa Corp has a current Potential Upside reading of 5.68. The Potential Upside for Alcoa Corp is produced by transforming raw price history into a standardized measure according to the indicator's defined methodology. Data sources include daily closing prices from supported exchanges, with standard corporate action adjustments applied. Alcoa Corp operates in the basic materials sector, which may exhibit distinct volatility and momentum characteristics relative to the broader market. Indicator accuracy depends on data continuity across the calculation period. Gaps in trading history may affect the output.
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