AerCap Holdings Potential Upside

AER Stock  USD 138.08  -1.02  -0.73%   
Potential Upside is the amount of upward price movement an investor or an analyst expects of a particular equity instrument. Below is AerCap Holdings's current Potential Upside with peer comparisons and related risk metrics.

Current Potential Upside Value

With Potential Upside at 2.54, AerCap Holdings shows modest estimated upside from current levels. AerCap Holdings trades near but slightly below the model-derived fair value estimate.

Potential Upside

 = 

1PM

2PM

 = 
2.54
1PM = First upper moment
2PM = Second upper moment

Potential Upside Peers Comparison

AerCap Holdings's Potential Upside of 2.54 falls below the 3.7 peer average. Values range from 0.1867 (Air Lease) to 6.24 (FTAI Aviation), with wide dispersion across the group. AerCap Holdings shows less estimated upside from current levels than the peer average.

Potential Upside Relative To Other Indicators

The chart below plots Potential Upside against Maximum Drawdown for AerCap Holdings and its peers. Each point represents one equity — position along the horizontal axis shows Potential Upside while the vertical axis shows Maximum Drawdown. Equities that cluster in different quadrants carry distinct risk-return profiles. Use the dropdowns to swap in other indicators for either axis.
AerCap Holdings's Potential Upside reads 2.54 while Maximum Drawdown reads 8.52 , a 3.36 ratio between the two. This indicates Maximum Drawdown is significantly higher than Potential Upside for AerCap Holdings.
Compare AerCap Holdings to Peers

Methodology, Assumptions & Data Sources

AerCap Holdings has a current Potential Upside reading of 2.54. The Potential Upside for AerCap Holdings applies a standardized calculation to daily closing prices and, where applicable, volume data across the selected period. Inputs are drawn from end-of-day closing prices reported by supported exchanges, adjusted for splits and dividends where applicable. AerCap Holdings operates in the industrials sector, which may exhibit distinct volatility and momentum characteristics relative to the broader market. The calculation assumes continuous price data across the selected period. All readings are presented as reference data.

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