Aercap Holdings Nv Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

AER Stock  USD 95.70  0.11  0.11%   
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding AerCap Holdings NV is 'Strong Hold'. A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated analysis based on historical performance and your stated risk tolerance. It serves as guidance on whether to purchase or sell AerCap Holdings NV within the specified time frame.
  
Check out AerCap Holdings Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as AerCap and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. AerCap Holdings NV. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in income.

Execute AerCap Holdings Buy or Sell Advice

The AerCap recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on AerCap Holdings NV. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in AerCap Holdings NV or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute AerCap Holdings' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell AerCap HoldingsBuy AerCap Holdings
Strong Hold

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Very SmallDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Slowly supersedes the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

AlarmedDetails

Analyst Consensus

Strong BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

HealthyDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon AerCap Holdings NV has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0271, Jensen Alpha of 0.0276, Total Risk Alpha of 0.0315, Sortino Ratio of 0.0235 and Treynor Ratio of 0.0624
Macroaxis provides advice on AerCap Holdings NV to complement and cross-verify current analyst consensus on AerCap Holdings NV. Our investment recommendation engine determines the company's potential to grow exclusively from the perspective of an investor's current risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure AerCap Holdings is not overpriced, please confirm all AerCap Holdings NV fundamentals, including its price to book, total debt, target price, as well as the relationship between the ebitda and cash flow from operations . Given that AerCap Holdings NV has a price to earning of 6.73 X, we suggest you to validate AerCap Holdings NV market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

AerCap Holdings Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

AerCap Holdings NV generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
AerCap Holdings NV is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Over 91.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
On 5th of December 2024 AerCap Holdings paid $ 0.25 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Is AerCap Holdings N.V. Top Stock Pick in Billionaire George Soros Portfolio

AerCap Holdings Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of AerCap Holdings' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of AerCap Holdings' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of AerCap Holdings daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use AerCap Holdings NV price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of AerCap Holdings returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for AerCap Holdings.
Mean Return
0.04
Value At Risk
-2.23
Potential Upside
1.84
Standard Deviation
1.28
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of AerCap Holdings historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

AerCap Stock Institutional Investors

The AerCap Holdings' institutional investors refer to entities that pool money to purchase AerCap Holdings' securities or originate loans. These institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds.
Shares
59 North Capital Management, Lp2024-09-30
3.2 M
Lyrical Asset Management Lp2024-09-30
3.1 M
Cooke & Bieler Lp2024-09-30
2.8 M
Ninety One Uk Limited2024-09-30
2.4 M
Norges Bank2024-06-30
2.3 M
Redwood Capital Management, Llc2024-09-30
2.1 M
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts2024-09-30
2.1 M
Ubs Asset Mgmt Americas Inc2024-09-30
2.1 M
Lord, Abbett & Co Llc2024-09-30
2.1 M
Eagle Capital Management Llc2024-09-30
11.9 M
Blackrock Inc2024-09-30
10.9 M
Note, although AerCap Holdings' institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

AerCap Holdings Cash Flow Accounts

202020212022202320242025 (projected)
Change In Cash194.9M419.5M(158.0M)68.7M61.8M75.7M
Free Cash Flow946.7M1.9B1.3B(971.0M)(1.1B)(1.2B)
Depreciation1.6B1.7B2.4B2.5B2.9B3.0B
Other Non Cash Items1.4B381.0M3.8B(881.1M)(1.0B)(962.6M)
Capital Expenditures1.2B1.8B3.9B6.2B7.2B7.5B
Net Income(294.9M)1.0B(721.2M)3.1B3.6B3.8B
End Period Cash Flow1.5B1.9B1.8B1.8B2.1B2.2B
Investments(712.3M)(23.5B)(2.2B)(3.2B)(2.9B)(3.0B)
Net Borrowings34.5M(613.7M)20.5B(3.8B)(4.3B)(4.1B)
Change To Netincome286.6M1.4B366.2M3.6B4.1B4.3B

AerCap Holdings Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to AerCap Holdings or Trading Companies & Distributors sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that AerCap Holdings' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a AerCap stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.03
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.42
σ
Overall volatility
1.23
Ir
Information ratio 0.02

AerCap Holdings Volatility Alert

AerCap Holdings NV has relatively low volatility with skewness of 0.12 and kurtosis of 0.86. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure AerCap Holdings' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact AerCap Holdings' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

AerCap Holdings Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing AerCap Holdings' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze AerCap Holdings' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between AerCap Holdings and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as AerCap Holdings or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of AerCap Holdings' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing AerCap Holdings by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare AerCap Holdings to competition
FundamentalsAerCap HoldingsPeer Average
Return On Equity0.15-0.31
Return On Asset0.0348-0.14
Profit Margin0.32 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.46 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation63.02 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding189.73 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders3.40 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions90.91 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted2.47 M4.71 M
Price To Earning6.73 X28.72 X
Price To Book1.10 X9.51 X
Price To Sales2.35 X11.42 X
Revenue7.57 B9.43 B
Gross Profit4.53 B27.38 B
EBITDA4.55 B3.9 B
Net Income3.14 B570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents1.6 B2.7 B
Cash Per Share5.50 X5.01 X
Total Debt46.58 B5.32 B
Debt To Equity3.18 %48.70 %
Current Ratio1.64 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share90.66 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations5.26 B971.22 M
Short Ratio2.74 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share12.28 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth0.91 X4.89 X
Target Price113.11
Number Of Employees67818.84 K
Beta1.83-0.15
Market Capitalization18.36 B19.03 B
Total Asset71.27 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings10.8 B9.33 B
Working Capital4.42 B1.48 B
Note: Disposition of 4393 shares by Chapman James N of AerCap Holdings subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

AerCap Holdings Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as AerCap . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About AerCap Holdings Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell AerCap Holdings NV? Buying financial instruments such as AerCap Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

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In addition to having AerCap Holdings in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Additional Tools for AerCap Stock Analysis

When running AerCap Holdings' price analysis, check to measure AerCap Holdings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy AerCap Holdings is operating at the current time. Most of AerCap Holdings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of AerCap Holdings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move AerCap Holdings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of AerCap Holdings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.