Is NVR Stock a Good Investment?

NVR Investment Advice

  NVR
To provide specific investment advice or recommendations on NVR Inc stock, we recommend investors consider the following general factors when evaluating NVR Inc. This will help you to make an informed decision on whether to include NVR in one of your diversified portfolios:
  • Examine NVR's financial health by looking at its balance sheet, income statement, and cash flow statement. Analyze key financial ratios, such as Price-to-Earnings (P/E), Price-to-Sales (P/S), and Price-to-Book (P/B), to determine whether the stock is fairly valued or over/undervalued.
  • Research NVR's leadership team and their track record. Good management can help NVR navigate difficult times and make strategic decisions that benefit shareholders and increases its net worth.
  • Consider the overall health of the Household Durables space and any emerging trends that could impact NVR's business and its evolving consumer preferences.
  • Compare NVR's performance and market position to its competitors. Analyze how NVR is positioned in terms of product offerings, innovation, and market share.
  • Check if NVR pays a dividend and its dividend yield and payout ratio.
  • Review what financial analysts are saying about NVR's stock and their price targets. However, remember that analysts' opinions can vary, and their predictions may not always be accurate.
It's important to note that investing in NVR Inc stock, carries risks, and you should carefully consider your investment goals and risk tolerance before making any investment decisions. Also, remember that it's important for investors to have a long-term perspective and a well-diversified portfolio to manage the impact of stock market volatility on their investments. Below is a detailed guide on how to decide if NVR Inc is a good investment.
 
Sell
 
Buy
Hold
Macroaxis provides trade recommendations on NVR Inc to complement and cross-verify current analyst consensus on NVR. Our advice engine determines the firm's potential to grow exclusively from the perspective of an investor's current risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure NVR Inc is not overpriced, please verify all NVR Inc fundamentals, including its current ratio, and the relationship between the ebitda and target price . Given that NVR Inc has a price to earning of 18.12 X, we recommend you to check NVR market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself for the next few years given your last-minute risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

Low keyDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Very SmallDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Slowly supersedes the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

AlarmedDetails

Analyst Consensus

BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

HealthyDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Possible ManipulatorDetails

Examine NVR Stock

Researching NVR's stock involves analyzing various aspects of the company and its industry to make an informed investment decision. The key areas to focus on are fundamentals, business model and competitive advantage. It is also important to analyze trends in revenue, net income, and cash flow, as well as key financial ratios, such as price-to-earnings (P/E), price-to-sales (P/S), and debt-to-equity (D/E). About 85.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company recorded earning per share (EPS) of 488.7. NVR Inc had not issued any dividends in recent years. The entity had 1:30 split on the 1st of October 1993.
To determine if NVR is a good investment, evaluating the company's potential for future growth is also very important. This may include expanding into new markets, launching new products or services, or improving operational efficiency. Companies with strong growth prospects can be more attractive investments. This aspect of the research should be conducted in the context of the overall market and industry in which the company operates and should include an analysis of growth potential, competitive landscape, and any regulatory or economic factors that could impact the business. Some of the essential points regarding NVR's research are outlined below:
NVR Inc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
NVR Inc is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Over 85.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from simplywall.st: NVR Insiders Sold US7.8m Of Shares Suggesting Hesitancy

NVR Quarterly Good Will

48.93 Million

NVR uses earnings reports to provide investors with an update of all three financial statements, including the income statement, the balance sheet, and the cash flow statement. Therefore, it is also crucial when considering investing in NVR Inc. Every quarterly earnings report provides investors with an overview of sales, expenses, and net income for the most recent period. It also may provide a comparison to NVR's previous reporting period. The quarterly earnings reports are usually disseminated to the public via Form 10-Q, which is a legal document filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission every quarter.
30th of January 2024
Upcoming Quarterly Report
View
23rd of April 2024
Next Financial Report
View
31st of December 2023
Next Fiscal Quarter End
View
30th of January 2024
Next Fiscal Year End
View
30th of September 2023
Last Quarter Report
View
31st of December 2022
Last Financial Announcement
View
Earnings surprises can significantly impact NVR's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate. Below are the table of largest EPS Surprises NVR's investors have experienced.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
1994-10-25
1994-09-300.240.21-0.0312 
1995-01-31
1994-12-310.20.250.0525 
1995-10-26
1995-09-300.460.38-0.0817 
1998-01-29
1997-12-310.30.390.0930 
1996-02-05
1995-12-310.350.440.0925 
1997-10-23
1997-09-300.790.68-0.1113 
1999-01-28
1998-12-310.961.140.1818 
1998-04-23
1998-03-310.60.810.2135 

Know NVR's Top Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as NVR is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading NVR Inc backward and forwards among themselves. NVR's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase NVR's securities or originate loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Diamond Hill Capital Management Inc2024-09-30
39 K
Norges Bank2024-06-30
36.9 K
Smead Capital Management Inc2024-09-30
36.2 K
Jennison Associates Llc2024-09-30
35.5 K
Fmr Inc2024-09-30
33.6 K
T. Rowe Price Associates, Inc.2024-06-30
33.4 K
Amvescap Plc.2024-06-30
30.8 K
Northern Trust Corp2024-09-30
29.1 K
Thrivent Financial For Lutherans2024-09-30
28.7 K
International Assets Investment Management, Llc2024-09-30
363 K
Vanguard Group Inc2024-09-30
341.3 K
Note, although NVR's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

NVR's market capitalization trends

The company currently falls under 'Large-Cap' category with a total capitalization of 27.57 B.

Market Cap

23.8 Billion

NVR's profitablity analysis

Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets 0.24  0.13 
Return On Capital Employed 0.34  0.43 
Return On Assets 0.24  0.13 
Return On Equity 0.36  0.41 
The company has Net Profit Margin of 0.16 %, which implies that it may need a different competitive strategy as even a very small decline in it revenue may erase profits and result in a net loss. This is way below average. In the same way, it shows Net Operating Margin of 0.2 %, which entails that for every 100 dollars of revenue, it generated $0.2 of operating income.
Determining NVR's profitability involves analyzing its financial statements and using various financial metrics to determine if NVR is a good buy. For example, gross profit margin measures NVR's profitability after accounting for the cost of goods sold, while net profit margin measures profitability after accounting for all expenses. Other important metrics include return on assets, return on equity, and free cash flow. By reviewing multiple sources and metrics, you can gain a complete picture of NVR's profitability and make more informed investment decisions.

Evaluate NVR's management efficiency

NVR Inc has Return on Asset of 0.1996 % which means that on every $100 spent on assets, it made $0.1996 of profit. This is way below average. In the same way, it shows a return on shareholders' equity (ROE) of 0.3872 %, implying that it generated $0.3872 on every 100 dollars invested. NVR's management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well NVR manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. At this time, NVR's Return On Capital Employed is relatively stable compared to the past year. As of 11/22/2024, Return On Equity is likely to grow to 0.41, while Return On Tangible Assets are likely to drop 0.13. At this time, NVR's Total Assets are relatively stable compared to the past year. As of 11/22/2024, Non Currrent Assets Other is likely to grow to about 795 M, while Other Current Assets are likely to drop slightly above 260.1 M.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Book Value Per Share1.3 K1.4 K
Tangible Book Value Per Share1.3 K1.4 K
Enterprise Value Over EBITDA 10.40  6.70 
Price Book Value Ratio 5.19  3.27 
Enterprise Value Multiple 10.40  6.70 
Price Fair Value 5.19  3.27 
Enterprise Value20.5 B21.5 B
The leadership approach at NVR's fosters a culture of excellence and accountability. Our analysis examines how this culture influences financial outcomes and stock valuation.
Beta
1.201

Basic technical analysis of NVR Stock

As of the 22nd of November, NVR secures the Market Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0972, risk adjusted performance of 0.0299, and Mean Deviation of 1.12. Concerning fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model lets you check available technical drivers of NVR Inc, as well as the relationship between them. Please verify NVR Inc information ratio and downside variance to decide if NVR Inc is priced favorably, providing market reflects its recent price of 8946.53 per share. Given that NVR Inc has jensen alpha of 7.0E-4, we recommend you to check NVR's last-minute market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself next year.

NVR's insider trading activities

Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific NVR insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on NVR's material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases NVR insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.

NVR's Outstanding Corporate Bonds

NVR issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the largest components of the U.S. bond market, which is considered the world's largest securities market. NVR Inc uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt. Most NVR bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when NVR Inc has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.

Understand NVR's technical and predictive indicators

Using predictive indicators to make investment decisions involves analyzing NVR's various financial and market-based factors to help forecast future trends and identify investment opportunities. Select the indicators that are most relevant to your investment strategy. Each indicator has its own strengths and weaknesses, so it's essential to combine multiple indicators to get a more comprehensive view of the market and reduce the risk of making poor decisions based on limited data.

Consider NVR's intraday indicators

NVR intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of NVR stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.

NVR Corporate Filings

F4
12th of November 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
10Q
5th of November 2024
Quarterly performance report mandated by Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), to be filed by publicly traded corporations
ViewVerify
8K
22nd of October 2024
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
13A
10th of September 2024
An amended filing to the original Schedule 13G
ViewVerify
NVR time-series forecasting models is one of many NVR's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary NVR's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

NVR Stock media impact

Far too much social signal, news, headlines, and media speculation about NVR that are available to investors today. That information is available publicly through NVR media outlets and privately through word of mouth or via NVR internal channels. However, regardless of the origin, that massive amount of NVR data is challenging to quantify into actionable patterns, especially for investors that are not very sophisticated with ever-evolving tools and techniques used in the investment management field.
A primary focus of NVR news analysis is to determine if its current price reflects all relevant headlines and social signals impacting the current market conditions. A news analyst typically looks at the history of NVR relative headlines and hype rather than examining external drivers such as technical or fundamental data. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned thinking related to NVR's headlines and news coverage data. This data is often completely overlooked or insufficiently analyzed for actionable insights to drive NVR alpha.

NVR Sentiment by Major News Outlets

Investor sentiment, mood or attitude towards NVR can have a significant impact on its stock price or the market as a whole. This sentiment can be positive or negative, and various factors, such as economic indicators, news events, or market trends, can influence it. When investor sentiment is positive, investors are more likely to buy stocks, increasing demand and increasing the stock price. Positive investor sentiment can be driven by good news about the company or the broader market, such as solid earnings reports or positive economic data.
Note that negative investor sentiment can cause investors to sell stocks, leading to a decrease in demand and a drop in the stock price. Negative sentiment can be driven by factors such as poor earnings reports, negative news about the company or industry, or broader economic concerns. It's important to note that investor sentiment is just one of many factors that can affect stock prices. Other factors, such as company performance, industry trends, and global economic conditions, can also play a significant role in determining the value of a stock.

NVR Inc Historical Investor Sentiment

Investor biases related to NVR's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in NVR. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding NVR can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around NVR Inc. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
NVR's market sentiment shows the aggregated news analyzed to detect positive and negative mentions from the text and comments. The data is normalized to provide daily scores for NVR and other traded tickers. The bigger the bubble, the more accurate the estimated score. Higher bars for a given day show more participation in the average NVR news discussions. The higher the estimate score, the more favorable the investor's outlook on NVR.

NVR Corporate Directors

William RosierIndependent DirectorProfile
Susan RossIndependent DirectorProfile
Alfred FestaIndependent DirectorProfile
Charles AndrewsIndependent DirectorProfile

Additional Tools for NVR Stock Analysis

When running NVR's price analysis, check to measure NVR's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy NVR is operating at the current time. Most of NVR's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of NVR's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move NVR's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of NVR to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.