Penn National Stock Forward View - Accumulation Distribution
| PENN Stock | USD 12.84 0.31 2.36% |
Penn Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although Penn National's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we suggest always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Penn National's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Penn National fundamentals over time.
As of today, the relative strength indicator of Penn National's share price is approaching 38 indicating that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Penn National, making its price go up or down. Momentum 38
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 2.089 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.2767 | EPS Estimate Current Year (2.36) | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.9055 | Wall Street Target Price 19.0556 |
Using Penn National hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Penn National Gaming from the perspective of Penn National response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Penn National using Penn National's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Penn using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Penn National's stock price.
Penn National Short Interest
An investor who is long Penn National may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Penn National and may potentially protect profits, hedge Penn National with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 16.5159 | Short Percent 0.1598 | Short Ratio 5.46 | Shares Short Prior Month 19.3 M | 50 Day MA 14.2366 |
Penn Relative Strength Index
Penn National Gaming Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Penn National's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Penn. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Penn can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Penn National Gaming. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Penn National's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Penn National.
Penn National Implied Volatility | 0.54 |
Penn National's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Penn National Gaming stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Penn National's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Penn National stock will not fluctuate a lot when Penn National's options are near their expiration.
Penn National after-hype prediction price | USD 12.84 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Penn National to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Penn contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Penn National Gaming will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0338% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Penn National trading at USD 12.84, that is roughly USD 0.004334 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Penn National's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Penn National Gaming options at the current volatility level of 0.54%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Penn Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Penn National's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Penn National's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Penn National stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Penn National's open interest, investors have to compare it to Penn National's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Penn National is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Penn. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Penn National Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Penn price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Penn using various technical indicators. When you analyze Penn charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Previous Accumulation Distribution | Accumulation Distribution | Trend |
| 157373.0 | 0.0358 |
| Check Penn National Volatility | Backtest Penn National | Information Ratio |
Penn National Trading Date Momentum
| On February 02 2026 Penn National Gaming was traded for 12.84 at the closing time. The top price for the day was 13.14 and the lowest listed price was 12.67 . There was no trading activity during the period 0.0. Lack of trading volume on February 2, 2026 did not cause price change. The trading delta at closing time against the current closing price is 1.64% . |
Accumulation distribution indicator can signal that a trend is either nearing completion, at a continuation, or is about to break-outs. The actual value of this indicator is of no significance. What is significant is the change in value of over time. The formula for A/D of a given trading day can be expressed as follow: ((Close - Low) - (High - Close)) / (High - Low) X Volume
| Compare Penn National to competition |
Other Forecasting Options for Penn National
For every potential investor in Penn, whether a beginner or expert, Penn National's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Penn Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Penn. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Penn National's price trends.Penn National Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Penn National stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Penn National could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Penn National by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Penn National Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Penn National stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Penn National shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Penn National stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Penn National Gaming entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Penn National Risk Indicators
The analysis of Penn National's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Penn National's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting penn stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.04 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.87 | |||
| Variance | 8.27 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Penn National
The number of cover stories for Penn National depends on current market conditions and Penn National's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Penn National is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Penn National's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Penn National Short Properties
Penn National's future price predictability will typically decrease when Penn National's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Penn National Gaming often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Penn National's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Penn National's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 152.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 706.6 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Penn National to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Portfolio Optimization module to compute new portfolio that will generate highest expected return given your specified tolerance for risk.
Will Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure sector continue expanding? Could Penn diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Penn National. Anticipated expansion of Penn directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Penn National data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 2.089 | Earnings Share (6.08) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.048 | Return On Assets |
Understanding Penn National Gaming requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Penn's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value—what Penn National's is actually worth based on fundamentals—guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Penn National's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
It's important to distinguish between Penn National's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Penn National should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. In contrast, Penn National's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.