Penn National Stock Forecast - Accumulation Distribution

PENN Stock  USD 15.14  0.29  1.95%   
Penn Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Although Penn National's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Penn National's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Penn National fundamentals over time.
The relative strength indicator of Penn National's share price is below 30 as of today indicating that the stock is becoming oversold or undervalued. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Penn National Gaming, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 21

 Sell Stretched

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Penn National's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Penn National Gaming, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Penn National's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
2.089
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.2767
EPS Estimate Current Year
(2.00)
EPS Estimate Next Year
0.815
Wall Street Target Price
19.1667
Using Penn National hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Penn National Gaming from the perspective of Penn National response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Penn National using Penn National's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Penn using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Penn National's stock price.

Penn National Short Interest

An investor who is long Penn National may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Penn National and may potentially protect profits, hedge Penn National with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
16.7049
Short Percent
0.1492
Short Ratio
5.66
Shares Short Prior Month
18.3 M
50 Day MA
15.0194

Penn National Gaming Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Penn National's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Penn. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Penn can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Penn National Gaming. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Penn National's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Penn National.

Penn National Implied Volatility

    
  0.51  
Penn National's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Penn National Gaming stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Penn National's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Penn National stock will not fluctuate a lot when Penn National's options are near their expiration.

Penn National after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 14.78  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Penn National to cross-verify your projections.
At this time, Penn National's Payables Turnover is very stable compared to the past year. As of the 5th of January 2026, Receivables Turnover is likely to grow to 31.19, while Inventory Turnover is likely to drop 19.69. . As of the 5th of January 2026, Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is likely to grow to about 209.9 M, while Common Stock Shares Outstanding is likely to drop about 99.8 M.

Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Penn Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Penn National's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Penn National's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Penn National stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Penn National's open interest, investors have to compare it to Penn National's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Penn National is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Penn. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

Penn National Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Penn price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Penn using various technical indicators. When you analyze Penn charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Penn National Gaming has current Accumulation Distribution of 135282.0. The accumulation distribution (A/D) indicator shows the degree to which Penn National is accumulated by the market over a given period. It uses the quote sensitivity to the highest or lowest daily price of Penn National Gaming to determine if accumulation or reduction is taking place in the market. This value is adjusted by Penn National trading volume to give more weight to distributions with higher volume over lower volume.
Check Penn National VolatilityBacktest Penn NationalInformation Ratio  

Penn National Trading Date Momentum

On January 05 2026 Penn National Gaming was traded for  15.14  at the closing time. The top price for the day was 15.48  and the lowest listed price was  14.81 . The trading volume for the day was 3.1 M. The trading history from January 5, 2026 did not cause price change. The trading delta at closing time against the current closing price is 2.11% .
Accumulation distribution indicator can signal that a trend is either nearing completion, at a continuation, or is about to break-outs. The actual value of this indicator is of no significance. What is significant is the change in value of over time. The formula for A/D of a given trading day can be expressed as follow: ((Close - Low) - (High - Close)) / (High - Low) X Volume
Compare Penn National to competition

Other Forecasting Options for Penn National

For every potential investor in Penn, whether a beginner or expert, Penn National's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Penn Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Penn. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Penn National's price trends.

Penn National Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Penn National stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Penn National could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Penn National by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Penn National Gaming Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Penn National's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Penn National's current price.

Penn National Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Penn National stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Penn National shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Penn National stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Penn National Gaming entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Penn National Risk Indicators

The analysis of Penn National's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Penn National's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting penn stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Pair Trading with Penn National

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Penn National position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Penn National will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving together with Penn Stock

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Moving against Penn Stock

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  0.79CAT CaterpillarPairCorr
  0.75KO Coca ColaPairCorr
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  0.7FTV Fortive CorpPairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Penn National could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Penn National when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Penn National - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Penn National Gaming to buy it.
The correlation of Penn National is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Penn National moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Penn National Gaming moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Penn National can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching
When determining whether Penn National Gaming offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Penn National's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Penn National Gaming Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Penn National Gaming Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Penn National to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Share Portfolio module to track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device.
Is Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Penn National. If investors know Penn will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Penn National listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
2.089
Earnings Share
(6.08)
Revenue Per Share
45.744
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.048
Return On Assets
0.0095
The market value of Penn National Gaming is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Penn that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Penn National's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Penn National's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Penn National's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Penn National's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Penn National's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Penn National is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Penn National's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.