Is Vistra Energy Stock a Good Investment?
Vistra Energy Investment Advice | VST |
- Examine Vistra Energy's financial health by looking at its balance sheet, income statement, and cash flow statement. Analyze key financial ratios, such as Price-to-Earnings (P/E), Price-to-Sales (P/S), and Price-to-Book (P/B), to determine whether the stock is fairly valued or over/undervalued.
- Research Vistra Energy's leadership team and their track record. Good management can help Vistra Energy navigate difficult times and make strategic decisions that benefit shareholders and increases its net worth.
- Consider the overall health of the Independent Power and Renewable Electricity Producers space and any emerging trends that could impact Vistra Energy's business and its evolving consumer preferences.
- Compare Vistra Energy's performance and market position to its competitors. Analyze how Vistra Energy is positioned in terms of product offerings, innovation, and market share.
- Check if Vistra Energy pays a dividend and its dividend yield and payout ratio.
- Review what financial analysts are saying about Vistra Energy's stock and their price targets. However, remember that analysts' opinions can vary, and their predictions may not always be accurate.
It's important to note that investing in Vistra Energy Corp stock, carries risks, and you should carefully consider your investment goals and risk tolerance before making any investment decisions. Also, remember that it's important for investors to have a long-term perspective and a well-diversified portfolio to manage the impact of stock market volatility on their investments. Below is a detailed guide on how to decide if Vistra Energy Corp is a good investment.
Sell | Buy |
Cautious Hold
Market Performance | OK | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Under hyped | Details | |
Current Valuation | Overvalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Very Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Follows the market closely | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Impartial | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Strong Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Poor | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
Examine Vistra Energy Stock
Researching Vistra Energy's stock involves analyzing various aspects of the company and its industry to make an informed investment decision. The key areas to focus on are fundamentals, business model and competitive advantage. It is also important to analyze trends in revenue, net income, and cash flow, as well as key financial ratios, such as price-to-earnings (P/E), price-to-sales (P/S), and debt-to-equity (D/E). About 90.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.86. Vistra Energy Corp recorded earning per share (EPS) of 5.31. The entity last dividend was issued on the 20th of December 2024. The firm had 50:1 split on the 9th of August 2013.
To determine if Vistra Energy is a good investment, evaluating the company's potential for future growth is also very important. This may include expanding into new markets, launching new products or services, or improving operational efficiency. Companies with strong growth prospects can be more attractive investments. This aspect of the research should be conducted in the context of the overall market and industry in which the company operates and should include an analysis of growth potential, competitive landscape, and any regulatory or economic factors that could impact the business. Some of the essential points regarding Vistra Energy's research are outlined below:
| Vistra Energy Corp is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Vistra Energy Corp appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Vistra Energy Corp has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Over 90.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| On 31st of December 2024 Vistra Energy paid $ 0.2215 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Vistra Stock Unprecedented Energy Demand Cycle Ahead - Seeking Alpha |
Vistra Energy Quarterly Good Will |
|
Vistra Energy uses earnings reports to provide investors with an update of all three financial statements, including the income statement, the balance sheet, and the cash flow statement. Therefore, it is also crucial when considering investing in Vistra Energy Corp. Every quarterly earnings report provides investors with an overview of sales, expenses, and net income for the most recent period. It also may provide a comparison to Vistra Energy's previous reporting period. The quarterly earnings reports are usually disseminated to the public via Form 10-Q, which is a legal document filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission every quarter.
| 6th of March 2024 Upcoming Quarterly Report | View | |
| 14th of May 2024 Next Financial Report | View | |
| 31st of December 2023 Next Fiscal Quarter End | View | |
| 6th of March 2024 Next Fiscal Year End | View | |
| 30th of September 2023 Last Quarter Report | View | |
| 31st of December 2022 Last Financial Announcement | View |
Earnings surprises can significantly impact Vistra Energy's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate. Below are the table of largest EPS Surprises Vistra Energy's investors have experienced.
| Reported | Fiscal Date | Estimated EPS | Reported EPS | Surprise | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2018-02-26 | 2017-12-31 | 0.22 | 0.18 | -0.04 | 18 | ||
2020-08-05 | 2020-06-30 | 0.41 | 0.34 | -0.07 | 17 | ||
2018-08-06 | 2018-06-30 | 0.27 | 0.2 | -0.07 | 25 | ||
2023-05-09 | 2023-03-31 | -0.02 | 0.0789 | 0.0989 | 494 | ||
2017-05-18 | 2017-03-31 | 0.08 | 0.18 | 0.1 | 125 | ||
2020-05-05 | 2020-03-31 | 0.37 | 0.24 | -0.13 | 35 | ||
2017-08-04 | 2017-06-30 | 0.07 | -0.06 | -0.13 | 185 | ||
2019-05-03 | 2019-03-31 | 0.24 | 0.43 | 0.19 | 79 |
Vistra Energy Target Price Consensus
Vistra target price is determined by taking all analyst projections and averaging them out. There is no one specific way to measure analysts' performance other than comparing it to past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Vistra Energy's target price projections below should be used in combination with other traditional price prediction techniques such as stock price forecasting, investor sentiment analysis, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
| 15 | Strong Buy |
Most Vistra analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to help potential investors understand Vistra stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching the public financial statements of Vistra Energy Corp, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to those companies' conference calls.
Macroaxis Advice Exposure ValuationVistra Energy Target Price Projection
Vistra Energy's current and average target prices are 176.30 and 161.46, respectively. The current price of Vistra Energy is the price at which Vistra Energy Corp is currently trading. On the other hand, Vistra Energy's target price is what analysts think the stock is worth or could sell for in the future. The more significant the discrepancy between the two prices, the more it stimulates investors to act.Current Price
Vistra Energy Market Quote on 30th of January 2025
Target Price
Analyst Consensus On Vistra Energy Target Price
Vistra Energy Analyst Ratings
Vistra Energy's analyst stock recommendations are determined by taking an average estimate of all analysts we track and classifying them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell, or Sell. Ratings generally communicate what analysts sense about Vistra Energy stock, and they use a lot of effort and time to analyze it and arrive at a rating. That suggests that analyst recommendations are the outcome of an objective and thorough examination of Vistra Energy's financials, market performance, and future outlook by experienced professionals. Vistra Energy's historical ratings below, therefore, can serve as a valuable tool for investors.Know Vistra Energy's Top Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Vistra Energy is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Vistra Energy Corp backward and forwards among themselves. Vistra Energy's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Vistra Energy's securities or originate loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
| Shares | Franklin Resources Inc | 2024-09-30 | 3.3 M | Third Point, Llc | 2024-09-30 | 3.2 M | Bank Of America Corp | 2024-09-30 | 3.1 M | Bank Of New York Mellon Corp | 2024-09-30 | 3.1 M | Neuberger Berman Group Llc | 2024-09-30 | 3 M | Ubs Group Ag | 2024-09-30 | 3 M | Wellington Management Company Llp | 2024-09-30 | 2.9 M | Lsv Asset Management | 2024-09-30 | 2.9 M | Coatue Management Llc | 2024-09-30 | 2.8 M | Vanguard Group Inc | 2024-09-30 | 43.7 M | Blackrock Inc | 2024-09-30 | 28.3 M |
Vistra Energy's market capitalization trends
The company currently falls under 'Large-Cap' category with a total capitalization of 52.81 B.Market Cap |
|
Vistra Energy's profitablity analysis
| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Return On Tangible Assets | 0.06 | 0.06 | |
| Return On Capital Employed | 0.10 | 0.11 | |
| Return On Assets | 0.04 | 0.05 | |
| Return On Equity | 0.32 | 0.41 |
Determining Vistra Energy's profitability involves analyzing its financial statements and using various financial metrics to determine if Vistra Energy is a good buy. For example, gross profit margin measures Vistra Energy's profitability after accounting for the cost of goods sold, while net profit margin measures profitability after accounting for all expenses. Other important metrics include return on assets, return on equity, and free cash flow. By reviewing multiple sources and metrics, you can gain a complete picture of Vistra Energy's profitability and make more informed investment decisions.
Vistra Energy's Earnings Breakdown by Geography
Please note, the imprecision that can be found in Vistra Energy's accounting process means that the reasonable investor should take a skeptical approach toward the financial statement analysis of Vistra Energy Corp. Check Vistra Energy's Beneish M Score to see the likelihood of Vistra Energy's management manipulating its earnings.
Evaluate Vistra Energy's management efficiency
Vistra Energy Corp has Return on Asset of 0.0641 % which means that on every $100 spent on assets, it made $0.0641 of profit. This is way below average. In the same way, it shows a return on shareholders' equity (ROE) of 0.3017 %, implying that it generated $0.3017 on every 100 dollars invested. Vistra Energy's management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well Vistra Energy manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. At this time, Vistra Energy's Return On Capital Employed is comparatively stable compared to the past year. Return On Assets is likely to gain to 0.05 in 2025, whereas Return On Tangible Assets are likely to drop 0.06 in 2025. Total Current Liabilities is likely to drop to about 6.3 B in 2025. Non Current Liabilities Total is likely to drop to about 14.4 B in 2025| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Book Value Per Share | 12.95 | 13.60 | |
| Tangible Book Value Per Share | 2.13 | 2.24 | |
| Enterprise Value Over EBITDA | 6.40 | 6.08 | |
| Price Book Value Ratio | 2.42 | 2.54 | |
| Enterprise Value Multiple | 6.40 | 6.08 | |
| Price Fair Value | 2.42 | 2.54 | |
| Enterprise Value | 22.9 B | 16.3 B |
Leadership at Vistra Energy emphasizes sustainable growth and financial prudence. Our analysis evaluates how these priorities impact the stock's performance in the market.
Basic technical analysis of Vistra Stock
As of the 30th of January, Vistra Energy has the Semi Deviation of 5.53, risk adjusted performance of 0.0833, and Coefficient Of Variation of 1119.77. In relation to fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model makes it possible for you to check existing technical drivers of Vistra Energy Corp, as well as the relationship between them.Vistra Energy's insider trading activities
Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific Vistra Energy insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on Vistra Energy's material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases Vistra Energy insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.
Jeff Hunter over three months ago Acquisition by Jeff Hunter of 6923 shares of Vistra Energy subject to Rule 16b-3 | ||
Stephanie Moore over six months ago Acquisition by Stephanie Moore of 36969 shares of Vistra Energy subject to Rule 16b-3 | ||
Stephanie Moore over six months ago Disposition of 745 shares by Stephanie Moore of Vistra Energy at 26.56 subject to Rule 16b-3 | ||
Stephen Muscato over a year ago Acquisition by Stephen Muscato of 13570 shares of Vistra Energy subject to Rule 16b-3 | ||
Stephen Muscato over a year ago Payment of 5474 shares by Stephen Muscato of Vistra Energy subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Vistra Energy's Outstanding Corporate Bonds
Vistra Energy issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the largest components of the U.S. bond market, which is considered the world's largest securities market. Vistra Energy Corp uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt. Most Vistra bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when Vistra Energy Corp has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.
| US92840JAB52 Corp BondUS92840JAB52 | View | |
| VSTJET 7875 01 MAY 27 Corp BondUS92840JAD19 | View | |
| VST 5125 13 MAY 25 Corp BondUS92840VAL62 | View | |
| US92840VAH50 Corp BondUS92840VAH50 | View | |
| VISTRA OPERATIONS LLC Corp BondUS92840VAG77 | View | |
| Vistra Operations Co Corp BondUS92840VAF94 | View | |
| Vistra Operations Co Corp BondUS92840VAE20 | View | |
| Vistra Operations Co Corp BondUS92840VAB80 | View |
Understand Vistra Energy's technical and predictive indicators
Using predictive indicators to make investment decisions involves analyzing Vistra Energy's various financial and market-based factors to help forecast future trends and identify investment opportunities. Select the indicators that are most relevant to your investment strategy. Each indicator has its own strengths and weaknesses, so it's essential to combine multiple indicators to get a more comprehensive view of the market and reduce the risk of making poor decisions based on limited data.
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0833 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.6857 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 3.39 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 5.53 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 5.93 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 1119.77 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 5.19 | |||
| Variance | 26.97 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.073 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.4034 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.01) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0638 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.6757 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 36.82 | |||
| Value At Risk | (4.92) | |||
| Potential Upside | 8.48 | |||
| Downside Variance | 35.22 | |||
| Semi Variance | 30.6 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (3.73) | |||
| Skewness | (2.43) | |||
| Kurtosis | 13.52 |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0833 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.6857 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 3.39 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 5.53 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 5.93 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 1119.77 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 5.19 | |||
| Variance | 26.97 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.073 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.4034 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.01) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0638 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.6757 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 36.82 | |||
| Value At Risk | (4.92) | |||
| Potential Upside | 8.48 | |||
| Downside Variance | 35.22 | |||
| Semi Variance | 30.6 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (3.73) | |||
| Skewness | (2.43) | |||
| Kurtosis | 13.52 |
Consider Vistra Energy's intraday indicators
Vistra Energy intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Vistra Energy stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.
| Accumulation Distribution | 2.1 M | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.9911 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.14 | |||
| Day Median Price | 165.85 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 169.33 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 21.0 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 21.09 |
Vistra Energy Corporate Filings
F3 | 8th of January 2025 The report used by insiders such as officers, directors, and major shareholders (beneficial owners holding more than 10% of any class of the company's equity securities) to declare their ownership of a company's stock | ViewVerify |
8K | 30th of December 2024 Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about | ViewVerify |
F4 | 11th of December 2024 The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities | ViewVerify |
13A | 12th of November 2024 The form used by investors holding more than 5% of a company's stock, to report their beneficial ownership pursuant to Rule 13d-1 or Rule 13d-2 under the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 | ViewVerify |
Vistra Stock media impact
Far too much social signal, news, headlines, and media speculation about Vistra Energy that are available to investors today. That information is available publicly through Vistra media outlets and privately through word of mouth or via Vistra internal channels. However, regardless of the origin, that massive amount of Vistra data is challenging to quantify into actionable patterns, especially for investors that are not very sophisticated with ever-evolving tools and techniques used in the investment management field.
A primary focus of Vistra Energy news analysis is to determine if its current price reflects all relevant headlines and social signals impacting the current market conditions. A news analyst typically looks at the history of Vistra Energy relative headlines and hype rather than examining external drivers such as technical or fundamental data. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned thinking related to Vistra Energy's headlines and news coverage data. This data is often completely overlooked or insufficiently analyzed for actionable insights to drive Vistra Energy alpha.
Vistra Energy Sentiment by Major News Outlets
Investor sentiment, mood or attitude towards Vistra Energy can have a significant impact on its stock price or the market as a whole. This sentiment can be positive or negative, and various factors, such as economic indicators, news events, or market trends, can influence it. When investor sentiment is positive, investors are more likely to buy stocks, increasing demand and increasing the stock price. Positive investor sentiment can be driven by good news about the company or the broader market, such as solid earnings reports or positive economic data.
Note that negative investor sentiment can cause investors to sell stocks, leading to a decrease in demand and a drop in the stock price. Negative sentiment can be driven by factors such as poor earnings reports, negative news about the company or industry, or broader economic concerns. It's important to note that investor sentiment is just one of many factors that can affect stock prices. Other factors, such as company performance, industry trends, and global economic conditions, can also play a significant role in determining the value of a stock.
Vistra Energy Corp Historical Investor Sentiment
Investor biases related to Vistra Energy's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Vistra. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Vistra can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Vistra Energy Corp. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Vistra Energy's market sentiment shows the aggregated news analyzed to detect positive and negative mentions from the text and comments. The data is normalized to provide daily scores for Vistra Energy and other traded tickers. The bigger the bubble, the more accurate the estimated score. Higher bars for a given day show more participation in the average Vistra Energy news discussions. The higher the estimate score, the more favorable the investor's outlook on Vistra Energy.
Vistra Energy Maximum Pain Price Across April 17th 2025 Option Contracts
Vistra Energy's options can also be used to analyze investors' bias and current market sentiment in the context of behavioral finance. For example, Max pain usually refers to a trading concept that asserts that market manipulation can cause the market price of Vistra Energy close to the expiration of its current option contract to expire worthlessly. According to most research, about 35% of options are not executed, with roughly 50% traded out before expiration. So, Max pain occurs when market makers reach a net favorable position across all options at a strike price where option holders stand to lose the most money. By contrast, option sellers may reap the most after selling more options than buying, causing them to expire worthlessly. Please continue to view the detailed analysis of Vistra Energy's options.
Vistra Energy Corporate Directors
| Gavin Baiera | Independent Director | Profile | |
| Hilary Ackermann | Independent Director | Profile | |
| John Sult | Independent Director | Profile | |
| Jeff Hunter | Independent Director | Profile |
Additional Tools for Vistra Stock Analysis
When running Vistra Energy's price analysis, check to measure Vistra Energy's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Vistra Energy is operating at the current time. Most of Vistra Energy's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Vistra Energy's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Vistra Energy's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Vistra Energy to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.