Vistra Energy Corp Stock Market Outlook
| VST Stock | USD 159.13 6.16 4.03% |
Slightly above 54% of Vistra Energy's investor base is interested to short. The analysis of overall sentiment of trading Vistra Energy Corp stock suggests that many investors are impartial at this time. Vistra Energy's investing sentiment can be driven by a variety of factors including economic data, Vistra Energy's earnings reports, geopolitical events, and overall market trends.
Comfort Level 46
Impartial
Panic | Confidence |
Today, several news technology companies offer sentiment data to assist traders in manufacturing news sentiment indicators for investment decisions. We partner with these technology firms in helping retail investors build forecasting models that use Vistra Energy's input sentiment indicators derived from textual data and news published on major financial information outlets and social sites. These indicators can be used to analyze time-dependent numerical information representing public perception toward Vistra Energy Corp.
News SentimentBullish | Hype SentimentBullish | Insider SentimentDisposing |
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Vistra Energy Corp is 'Cautious Hold'. A buy or sell recommendation is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Vistra Energy Corp given historical horizon and risk tolerance. When we issue a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Vistra Energy Corp, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
Execute Vistra Energy Advice
The Vistra recommendation should be used to complement the investment advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Vistra Energy Corp. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Vistra Energy Corp or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Vistra Energy's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Cautious Hold
Market Performance | Weakest | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Low key | Details | |
Current Valuation | Undervalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Responds to the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Impartial | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Strong Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Healthy | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
For the selected time horizon Vistra Energy Corp has a Mean Deviation of 2.52, Standard Deviation of 3.45 and Variance of 11.89Macroaxis provides recommendation on Vistra Energy Corp to complement and cross-verify current analyst consensus on Vistra Energy Corp. Our trade recommendation engine determines the firm's potential to grow exclusively from the perspective of an investor's current risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure Vistra Energy Corp is not overpriced, please validate all Vistra Energy fundamentals, including its book value per share, and the relationship between the net income and number of employees . Given that Vistra Energy Corp has a price to earning of 31.55 X, we advise you to double-check Vistra Energy Corp market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your current risk tolerance and investing horizon.
Vistra Energy Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Vistra Energy Corp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Vistra Energy Corp has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Over 93.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| On 31st of December 2025 Vistra Energy paid $ 0.227 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from cnbc.com: Jim Cramers top 10 things to watch in the stock market Friday |
Vistra Energy Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Vistra Energy's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Vistra Energy's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Vistra Energy daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Vistra Energy Corp price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Vistra Energy returns is essential to provide solid investment analysis for Vistra Energy.
| Mean Return | -0.23 | Value At Risk | -6.85 | Potential Upside | 4.60 | Standard Deviation | 3.45 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Vistra Energy historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Vistra Stock Institutional Investors
The Vistra Energy's institutional investors refer to entities that pool money to purchase Vistra Energy's securities or originate loans. These institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds.
| Shares | Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc. | 2025-06-30 | 3.8 M | Bank Of America Corp | 2025-06-30 | 3.4 M | Castle Hook Partners Lp | 2025-06-30 | 3.3 M | Hhg Plc | 2025-06-30 | 3.2 M | Northern Trust Corp | 2025-06-30 | 3.2 M | Ubs Group Ag | 2025-06-30 | 3 M | Nuveen, Llc | 2025-06-30 | 3 M | Franklin Resources Inc | 2025-06-30 | 2.7 M | Bank Of New York Mellon Corp | 2025-06-30 | 2.3 M | Vanguard Group Inc | 2025-06-30 | 41.8 M | Blackrock Inc | 2025-06-30 | 28.4 M |
Vistra Energy Cash Flow Accounts
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | ||
| Capital Expenditures | 1.0B | 1.3B | 1.7B | 2.1B | 2.4B | 2.5B | |
| Net Income | (1.3B) | (1.2B) | 1.5B | 2.8B | 2.5B | 2.7B | |
| Dividends Paid | 290M | 453M | (463M) | (478M) | (430.2M) | (408.7M) | |
| Change To Inventory | (100M) | 36M | (174M) | (31M) | (27.9M) | (26.5M) | |
| Change In Cash | 915M | (834M) | 3.0B | (2.3B) | (2.1B) | (2.0B) | |
| Free Cash Flow | (1.2B) | (816M) | 3.8B | 2.5B | 2.9B | 3.0B | |
| Depreciation | 2.1B | 2.0B | 2.0B | 2.6B | 3.0B | 1.8B | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 790M | 2.4B | (282M) | (1.2B) | (1.1B) | (1.0B) | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 1.4B | 525M | 3.5B | 1.2B | 1.4B | 1.3B | |
| Net Borrowings | 556M | 2.3B | 1.8B | 1.5B | 1.8B | 1.8B | |
| Change To Netincome | (398M) | 768M | (206M) | (122M) | (140.3M) | (147.3M) | |
| Change Receivables | 88M | (33M) | (772M) | (308M) | (277.2M) | (291.1M) |
Vistra Energy Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Vistra Energy or Independent Power and Renewable Electricity Producers sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Vistra Energy's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Vistra stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.36 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.29 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.51 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.1 |
Vistra Energy Volatility Alert
Vistra Energy Corp exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 0.05 and kurtosis of 1.06. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Vistra Energy's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Vistra Energy's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Vistra Energy Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Vistra Energy's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Vistra Energy's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Vistra Energy and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Vistra Energy or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Vistra Energy's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Vistra Energy by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Vistra Energy to competition |
| Fundamentals | Vistra Energy | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.17 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0359 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.07 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.21 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 70.08 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 338.83 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 0.70 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 92.86 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 9.01 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 31.55 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 18.55 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 2.95 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 19.38 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 5.98 B | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 7.19 B | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 2.81 B | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 1.19 B | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 1.54 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 17.36 B | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 2.32 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 1.10 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 8.07 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 4.56 B | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 1.68 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 2.78 X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 1.24 X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 229.85 | |
| Number Of Employees | 6.85 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 1.44 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 50.71 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 37.77 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | (454 M) | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | (313 M) | 1.48 B |
Note: Disposition of 21358 shares by James Burke of Vistra Energy at 213.78 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Vistra Energy Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Vistra . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
Vistra Energy Target Price Consensus
Vistra target price is determined by taking all analyst projections and averaging them out. There is no one specific way to measure analysts' performance other than comparing it to past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Vistra Energy's target price projections below should be used in combination with other traditional price prediction techniques such as stock price forecasting, investor sentiment analysis, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
| 18 | Strong Buy |
Most Vistra analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to help potential investors understand Vistra stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching the public financial statements of Vistra Energy Corp, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to those companies' conference calls.
Macroaxis Advice Exposure ValuationVistra Energy Target Price Projection
Vistra Energy's current and average target prices are 159.13 and 229.85, respectively. The current price of Vistra Energy is the price at which Vistra Energy Corp is currently trading. On the other hand, Vistra Energy's target price is what analysts think the stock is worth. The more significant the discrepancy between the two prices, the more it stimulates investors to act.Current Price
Vistra Energy Market Quote on 10th of February 2026
Target Price
Analyst Consensus On Vistra Energy Target Price
Vistra Energy Analyst Ratings
Vistra Energy's analyst stock recommendations are determined by taking an average estimate of all analysts we track and classifying them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell, or Sell. Ratings generally communicate what analysts sense about Vistra Energy stock, and they use a lot of effort and time to analyze it and arrive at a rating. That suggests that analyst recommendations are the outcome of an objective and thorough examination of Vistra Energy's financials, market performance, and future outlook by experienced professionals. Vistra Energy's historical ratings below, therefore, can serve as a valuable tool for investors.Analyst Consensus Breakdown
Average Consensus Estimates
About Vistra Energy Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Vistra Energy Corp? Buying financial instruments such as Vistra Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
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Additional Tools for Vistra Stock Analysis
When running Vistra Energy's price analysis, check to measure Vistra Energy's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Vistra Energy is operating at the current time. Most of Vistra Energy's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Vistra Energy's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Vistra Energy's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Vistra Energy to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.