Henkel AG (UK) Market Value

0IZ8 Stock   72.05  1.55  2.20%   
Henkel AG's market value is the price at which a share of Henkel AG trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Henkel AG Co investors about its performance. Henkel AG is selling for under 72.05 as of the 28th of November 2024; that is 2.20% up since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 71.85.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Henkel AG Co and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Henkel AG over a given investment horizon. Check out Henkel AG Correlation, Henkel AG Volatility and Henkel AG Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Henkel AG.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Henkel AG's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Henkel AG is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Henkel AG's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Henkel AG 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Henkel AG's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Henkel AG.
0.00
09/29/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 2 months and 2 days
11/28/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Henkel AG on September 29, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Henkel AG Co or generate 0.0% return on investment in Henkel AG over 60 days. Henkel AG is related to or competes with Cincinnati Financial, PureTech Health, St Galler, Sparebank, Jupiter Fund, and Discover Financial. Henkel AG is entity of United Kingdom. It is traded as Stock on LSE exchange. More

Henkel AG Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Henkel AG's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Henkel AG Co upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Henkel AG Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Henkel AG's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Henkel AG's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Henkel AG historical prices to predict the future Henkel AG's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
71.0172.0072.99
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
71.6872.6773.66
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
72.0673.0574.03
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
69.3670.5171.66
Details

Henkel AG Backtested Returns

Henkel AG holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of -0.0614, which attests that the entity had a -0.0614% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Henkel AG exposes twenty-three different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please check out Henkel AG's Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.03), standard deviation of 0.9787, and Market Risk Adjusted Performance of 1.25 to validate the risk estimate we provide. The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of -0.0403, which attests to not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Henkel AG are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Henkel AG is likely to outperform the market. At this point, Henkel AG has a negative expected return of -0.0601%. Please make sure to check out Henkel AG's jensen alpha, treynor ratio, and the relationship between the standard deviation and total risk alpha , to decide if Henkel AG performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.19  

Insignificant reverse predictability

Henkel AG Co has insignificant reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Henkel AG time series from 29th of September 2024 to 29th of October 2024 and 29th of October 2024 to 28th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Henkel AG price movement. The serial correlation of -0.19 indicates that over 19.0% of current Henkel AG price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.19
Spearman Rank Test-0.27
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.98

Henkel AG lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Henkel AG stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Henkel AG's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Henkel AG returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Henkel AG has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Henkel AG regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Henkel AG stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Henkel AG stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Henkel AG stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Henkel AG Lagged Returns

When evaluating Henkel AG's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Henkel AG stock have on its future price. Henkel AG autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Henkel AG autocorrelation shows the relationship between Henkel AG stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Henkel AG Co.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Additional Tools for Henkel Stock Analysis

When running Henkel AG's price analysis, check to measure Henkel AG's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Henkel AG is operating at the current time. Most of Henkel AG's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Henkel AG's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Henkel AG's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Henkel AG to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.