Standard Chemical (Taiwan) Market Value

1720 Stock  TWD 64.40  0.80  1.26%   
Standard Chemical's market value is the price at which a share of Standard Chemical trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Standard Chemical Pharmaceutical investors about its performance. Standard Chemical is selling for under 64.40 as of the 23rd of November 2024; that is 1.26 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 64.0.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Standard Chemical Pharmaceutical and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Standard Chemical over a given investment horizon. Check out Standard Chemical Correlation, Standard Chemical Volatility and Standard Chemical Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Standard Chemical.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Standard Chemical's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Standard Chemical is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Standard Chemical's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Standard Chemical 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Standard Chemical's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Standard Chemical.
0.00
10/24/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
11/23/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Standard Chemical on October 24, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Standard Chemical Pharmaceutical or generate 0.0% return on investment in Standard Chemical over 30 days. Standard Chemical is related to or competes with Sinphar Pharmaceutical, Grape King, Apex Biotechnology, and Maywufa. Standard Chem Pharm CO., LTD. engages in the manufacture and sale of pharmaceutical products in Taiwan and international... More

Standard Chemical Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Standard Chemical's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Standard Chemical Pharmaceutical upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Standard Chemical Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Standard Chemical's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Standard Chemical's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Standard Chemical historical prices to predict the future Standard Chemical's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
63.3964.4065.41
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
63.5464.5565.56
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
63.4564.4665.47
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
63.3864.1364.89
Details

Standard Chemical Backtested Returns

Standard Chemical owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of -0.0378, which indicates the firm had a -0.0378% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Standard Chemical Pharmaceutical exposes twenty-four different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please validate Standard Chemical's Variance of 1.01, coefficient of variation of (2,185), and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.03) to confirm the risk estimate we provide. The entity has a beta of 0.22, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Standard Chemical's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Standard Chemical is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Standard Chemical has a negative expected return of -0.0381%. Please make sure to validate Standard Chemical's market risk adjusted performance, coefficient of variation, jensen alpha, as well as the relationship between the mean deviation and standard deviation , to decide if Standard Chemical performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.67  

Good predictability

Standard Chemical Pharmaceutical has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Standard Chemical time series from 24th of October 2024 to 8th of November 2024 and 8th of November 2024 to 23rd of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Standard Chemical price movement. The serial correlation of 0.67 indicates that around 67.0% of current Standard Chemical price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.67
Spearman Rank Test0.1
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.29

Standard Chemical lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Standard Chemical stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Standard Chemical's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Standard Chemical returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Standard Chemical has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Standard Chemical regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Standard Chemical stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Standard Chemical stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Standard Chemical stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Standard Chemical Lagged Returns

When evaluating Standard Chemical's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Standard Chemical stock have on its future price. Standard Chemical autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Standard Chemical autocorrelation shows the relationship between Standard Chemical stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Standard Chemical Pharmaceutical.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Additional Tools for Standard Stock Analysis

When running Standard Chemical's price analysis, check to measure Standard Chemical's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Standard Chemical is operating at the current time. Most of Standard Chemical's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Standard Chemical's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Standard Chemical's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Standard Chemical to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.