Chung Hwa (Taiwan) Market Value
| 1905 Stock | TWD 18.40 0.10 0.54% |
| Symbol | Chung |
Chung Hwa 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Chung Hwa's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Chung Hwa.
| 10/28/2024 |
| 11/27/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Chung Hwa on October 28, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Chung Hwa Pulp or generate 0.0% return on investment in Chung Hwa over 30 days. Chung Hwa is related to or competes with Cheng Shin, China Steel, and Yulon. Chung Hwa Pulp Corporation manufacture, sells, and distributes pulp, paper, paperboard, timber, chemical products, and f... More
Chung Hwa Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Chung Hwa's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Chung Hwa Pulp upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Information Ratio | (0.09) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 9.19 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.76) | |||
| Potential Upside | 3.0 |
Chung Hwa Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Chung Hwa's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Chung Hwa's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Chung Hwa historical prices to predict the future Chung Hwa's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.01) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.06) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.32) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.34) |
Chung Hwa Pulp Backtested Returns
Chung Hwa Pulp secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.0195, which signifies that the company had a -0.0195% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Chung Hwa Pulp exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Chung Hwa's Standard Deviation of 1.77, mean deviation of 1.24, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.01) to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.14, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Chung Hwa's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Chung Hwa is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Chung Hwa Pulp has a negative expected return of -0.0355%. Please make sure to confirm Chung Hwa's treynor ratio, potential upside, and the relationship between the total risk alpha and maximum drawdown , to decide if Chung Hwa Pulp performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Auto-correlation | -0.25 |
Weak reverse predictability
Chung Hwa Pulp has weak reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Chung Hwa time series from 28th of October 2024 to 12th of November 2024 and 12th of November 2024 to 27th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Chung Hwa Pulp price movement. The serial correlation of -0.25 indicates that over 25.0% of current Chung Hwa price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.25 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.29 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.06 |
Chung Hwa Pulp lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Chung Hwa stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Chung Hwa's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Chung Hwa returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Chung Hwa has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Chung Hwa regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Chung Hwa stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Chung Hwa stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Chung Hwa stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Chung Hwa Lagged Returns
When evaluating Chung Hwa's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Chung Hwa stock have on its future price. Chung Hwa autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Chung Hwa autocorrelation shows the relationship between Chung Hwa stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Chung Hwa Pulp.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
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Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.Additional Tools for Chung Stock Analysis
When running Chung Hwa's price analysis, check to measure Chung Hwa's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Chung Hwa is operating at the current time. Most of Chung Hwa's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Chung Hwa's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Chung Hwa's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Chung Hwa to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.