ADYEN NV (Germany) Market Value
| 1N8U Stock | EUR 12.60 0.10 0.80% |
| Symbol | ADYEN |
ADYEN NV 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to ADYEN NV's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of ADYEN NV.
| 08/28/2024 |
| 11/26/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in ADYEN NV on August 28, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding ADYEN NV UNSPADR001 or generate 0.0% return on investment in ADYEN NV over 90 days. ADYEN NV is related to or competes with Xenia Hotels, Ares Management, DALATA HOTEL, Jupiter Fund, Corporate Travel, MHP Hotel, and CEOTRONICS (CEKSG). Adyen N.V. operates a payments platform in Europe, North America, the Asia Pacific, Latin America, and internationally More
ADYEN NV Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure ADYEN NV's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess ADYEN NV UNSPADR001 upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 3.53 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.04) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 17.98 | |||
| Value At Risk | (6.38) | |||
| Potential Upside | 4.96 |
ADYEN NV Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for ADYEN NV's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as ADYEN NV's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use ADYEN NV historical prices to predict the future ADYEN NV's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.01 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.0633 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.47) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | (0.03) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.0003) |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of ADYEN NV's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
ADYEN NV UNSPADR001 Backtested Returns
At this point, ADYEN NV is somewhat reliable. ADYEN NV UNSPADR001 secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0113, which signifies that the company had a 0.0113% return per unit of volatility over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-seven technical indicators for ADYEN NV UNSPADR001, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please confirm ADYEN NV's mean deviation of 2.04, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.01 to double-check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0347%. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.53, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning ADYEN NV are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, ADYEN NV is likely to outperform the market. ADYEN NV UNSPADR001 now shows a risk of 3.06%. Please confirm ADYEN NV UNSPADR001 total risk alpha, treynor ratio, value at risk, as well as the relationship between the sortino ratio and maximum drawdown , to decide if ADYEN NV UNSPADR001 will be following its price patterns.
Auto-correlation | -0.7 |
Very good reverse predictability
ADYEN NV UNSPADR001 has very good reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between ADYEN NV time series from 28th of August 2024 to 12th of October 2024 and 12th of October 2024 to 26th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of ADYEN NV UNSPADR001 price movement. The serial correlation of -0.7 indicates that around 70.0% of current ADYEN NV price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.7 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.58 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.57 |
ADYEN NV UNSPADR001 lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is ADYEN NV stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting ADYEN NV's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of ADYEN NV returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that ADYEN NV has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
ADYEN NV regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If ADYEN NV stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if ADYEN NV stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in ADYEN NV stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
ADYEN NV Lagged Returns
When evaluating ADYEN NV's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of ADYEN NV stock have on its future price. ADYEN NV autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, ADYEN NV autocorrelation shows the relationship between ADYEN NV stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in ADYEN NV UNSPADR001.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis
Other Information on Investing in ADYEN Stock
ADYEN NV financial ratios help investors to determine whether ADYEN Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in ADYEN with respect to the benefits of owning ADYEN NV security.