Evergreen International (Taiwan) Market Value

2607 Stock  TWD 30.90  0.55  1.75%   
Evergreen International's market value is the price at which a share of Evergreen International trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Evergreen International Storage investors about its performance. Evergreen International is selling for under 30.90 as of the 27th of November 2024; that is 1.75% down since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 30.75.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Evergreen International Storage and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Evergreen International over a given investment horizon. Check out Evergreen International Correlation, Evergreen International Volatility and Evergreen International Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Evergreen International.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Evergreen International's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Evergreen International is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Evergreen International's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Evergreen International 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Evergreen International's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Evergreen International.
0.00
05/31/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 5 months and 30 days
11/27/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Evergreen International on May 31, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Evergreen International Storage or generate 0.0% return on investment in Evergreen International over 180 days. Evergreen International is related to or competes with Yulon, Far Eastern, China Steel, Chang Hwa, and Oriental Union. Evergreen International Storage Transport Corporation engages in the container trucking, operation of container distribu... More

Evergreen International Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Evergreen International's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Evergreen International Storage upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Evergreen International Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Evergreen International's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Evergreen International's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Evergreen International historical prices to predict the future Evergreen International's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
30.3931.4532.51
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
29.9831.0432.10
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
29.9430.9932.05
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
31.2931.5431.79
Details

Evergreen International Backtested Returns

At this stage we consider Evergreen Stock to be very steady. Evergreen International secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0245, which denotes the company had a 0.0245% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-nine technical indicators for Evergreen International Storage, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please confirm Evergreen International's Mean Deviation of 0.7117, downside deviation of 1.26, and Coefficient Of Variation of 5218.01 to check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0259%. Evergreen International has a performance score of 1 on a scale of 0 to 100. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.28, which means not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Evergreen International's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Evergreen International is expected to be smaller as well. Evergreen International right now shows a risk of 1.06%. Please confirm Evergreen International semi deviation, coefficient of variation, and the relationship between the mean deviation and downside deviation , to decide if Evergreen International will be following its price patterns.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.28  

Weak reverse predictability

Evergreen International Storage has weak reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Evergreen International time series from 31st of May 2024 to 29th of August 2024 and 29th of August 2024 to 27th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Evergreen International price movement. The serial correlation of -0.28 indicates that nearly 28.0% of current Evergreen International price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.28
Spearman Rank Test-0.23
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.39

Evergreen International lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Evergreen International stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Evergreen International's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Evergreen International returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Evergreen International has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Evergreen International regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Evergreen International stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Evergreen International stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Evergreen International stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Evergreen International Lagged Returns

When evaluating Evergreen International's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Evergreen International stock have on its future price. Evergreen International autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Evergreen International autocorrelation shows the relationship between Evergreen International stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Evergreen International Storage.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Additional Tools for Evergreen Stock Analysis

When running Evergreen International's price analysis, check to measure Evergreen International's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Evergreen International is operating at the current time. Most of Evergreen International's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Evergreen International's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Evergreen International's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Evergreen International to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.