Mercuries Life (Taiwan) Market Value

2867 Stock  TWD 6.68  0.30  4.30%   
Mercuries Life's market value is the price at which a share of Mercuries Life trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Mercuries Life Insurance investors about its performance. Mercuries Life is selling for under 6.68 as of the 22nd of November 2024; that is 4.3 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 6.68.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Mercuries Life Insurance and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Mercuries Life over a given investment horizon. Check out Mercuries Life Correlation, Mercuries Life Volatility and Mercuries Life Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Mercuries Life.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Mercuries Life's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Mercuries Life is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Mercuries Life's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Mercuries Life 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Mercuries Life's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Mercuries Life.
0.00
09/23/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 2 months and 2 days
11/22/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Mercuries Life on September 23, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Mercuries Life Insurance or generate 0.0% return on investment in Mercuries Life over 60 days. Mercuries Life is related to or competes with Fubon Financial, Cathay Financial, and ESUN Financial. Mercuries Life Insurance Company Ltd. provides life insurance products primarily in Taiwan More

Mercuries Life Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Mercuries Life's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Mercuries Life Insurance upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Mercuries Life Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Mercuries Life's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Mercuries Life's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Mercuries Life historical prices to predict the future Mercuries Life's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
5.646.988.32
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
6.288.449.78
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
5.496.838.17
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
6.936.997.05
Details

Mercuries Life Insurance Backtested Returns

Mercuries Life Insurance has Sharpe Ratio of -0.21, which conveys that the firm had a -0.21% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Mercuries Life exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please verify Mercuries Life's Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.08), standard deviation of 1.43, and Mean Deviation of 0.9692 to check out the risk estimate we provide. The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of -0.0093, which conveys not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Mercuries Life are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Mercuries Life is likely to outperform the market. At this point, Mercuries Life Insurance has a negative expected return of -0.3%. Please make sure to verify Mercuries Life's information ratio, total risk alpha, maximum drawdown, as well as the relationship between the jensen alpha and treynor ratio , to decide if Mercuries Life Insurance performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.01  

Very weak reverse predictability

Mercuries Life Insurance has very weak reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Mercuries Life time series from 23rd of September 2024 to 23rd of October 2024 and 23rd of October 2024 to 22nd of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Mercuries Life Insurance price movement. The serial correlation of -0.01 indicates that just 1.0% of current Mercuries Life price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.01
Spearman Rank Test0.08
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.0

Mercuries Life Insurance lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Mercuries Life stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Mercuries Life's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Mercuries Life returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Mercuries Life has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Mercuries Life regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Mercuries Life stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Mercuries Life stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Mercuries Life stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Mercuries Life Lagged Returns

When evaluating Mercuries Life's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Mercuries Life stock have on its future price. Mercuries Life autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Mercuries Life autocorrelation shows the relationship between Mercuries Life stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Mercuries Life Insurance.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Additional Tools for Mercuries Stock Analysis

When running Mercuries Life's price analysis, check to measure Mercuries Life's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Mercuries Life is operating at the current time. Most of Mercuries Life's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Mercuries Life's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Mercuries Life's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Mercuries Life to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.