HiTi Digital (Taiwan) Market Value

3494 Stock  TWD 16.25  0.55  3.50%   
HiTi Digital's market value is the price at which a share of HiTi Digital trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of HiTi Digital investors about its performance. HiTi Digital is selling for under 16.25 as of the 27th of November 2024; that is 3.50 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 15.35.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of HiTi Digital and determine expected loss or profit from investing in HiTi Digital over a given investment horizon. Check out HiTi Digital Correlation, HiTi Digital Volatility and HiTi Digital Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on HiTi Digital.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between HiTi Digital's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if HiTi Digital is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, HiTi Digital's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

HiTi Digital 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to HiTi Digital's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of HiTi Digital.
0.00
10/28/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
11/27/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in HiTi Digital on October 28, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding HiTi Digital or generate 0.0% return on investment in HiTi Digital over 30 days. HiTi Digital is related to or competes with ASRock, FIC Global, In Win, Getac Technology, and AOPEN. HiTi Digital, Inc. designs, manufactures, and sells digital imaging output systems in Taiwan and internationally. More

HiTi Digital Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure HiTi Digital's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess HiTi Digital upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

HiTi Digital Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for HiTi Digital's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as HiTi Digital's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use HiTi Digital historical prices to predict the future HiTi Digital's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.8216.2531.68
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1.4616.8932.32
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.2713.3428.77
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
15.8217.2218.62
Details

HiTi Digital Backtested Returns

HiTi Digital is relatively risky given 3 months investment horizon. HiTi Digital holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of 0.13, which attests that the entity had a 0.13% return per unit of volatility over the last 3 months. We are able to interpolate and break down twenty-nine different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate if expected returns of 2.03% are justified by taking the suggested risk. Use HiTi Digital market risk adjusted performance of 1.37, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1044 to evaluate company specific risk that cannot be diversified away. HiTi Digital holds a performance score of 10 on a scale of zero to a hundred. The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 1.37, which attests to a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, HiTi Digital will likely underperform. Use HiTi Digital standard deviation, total risk alpha, treynor ratio, as well as the relationship between the jensen alpha and sortino ratio , to analyze future returns on HiTi Digital.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.99  

Near perfect reversele predictability

HiTi Digital has near perfect reversele predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between HiTi Digital time series from 28th of October 2024 to 12th of November 2024 and 12th of November 2024 to 27th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of HiTi Digital price movement. The serial correlation of -0.99 indicates that 99.0% of current HiTi Digital price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.99
Spearman Rank Test-0.25
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.49

HiTi Digital lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is HiTi Digital stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting HiTi Digital's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of HiTi Digital returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that HiTi Digital has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

HiTi Digital regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If HiTi Digital stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if HiTi Digital stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in HiTi Digital stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

HiTi Digital Lagged Returns

When evaluating HiTi Digital's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of HiTi Digital stock have on its future price. HiTi Digital autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, HiTi Digital autocorrelation shows the relationship between HiTi Digital stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in HiTi Digital.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Additional Tools for HiTi Stock Analysis

When running HiTi Digital's price analysis, check to measure HiTi Digital's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy HiTi Digital is operating at the current time. Most of HiTi Digital's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of HiTi Digital's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move HiTi Digital's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of HiTi Digital to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.