Beijing Bashi (China) Market Value

600386 Stock   4.30  0.04  0.94%   
Beijing Bashi's market value is the price at which a share of Beijing Bashi trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Beijing Bashi Media investors about its performance. Beijing Bashi is trading at 4.30 as of the 27th of November 2024, a 0.94 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's open price was 4.26.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Beijing Bashi Media and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Beijing Bashi over a given investment horizon. Check out Beijing Bashi Correlation, Beijing Bashi Volatility and Beijing Bashi Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Beijing Bashi.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Beijing Bashi's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Beijing Bashi is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Beijing Bashi's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Beijing Bashi 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Beijing Bashi's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Beijing Bashi.
0.00
12/03/2023
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 11 months and 27 days
11/27/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Beijing Bashi on December 3, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Beijing Bashi Media or generate 0.0% return on investment in Beijing Bashi over 360 days. Beijing Bashi is related to or competes with Peoples Insurance, Chongqing Shunbo, TongFu Microelectronics, Shenzhen Clou, Tianshan Aluminum, Rising Nonferrous, and ZYF Lopsking. Beijing Bashi is entity of China. It is traded as Stock on SHG exchange. More

Beijing Bashi Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Beijing Bashi's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Beijing Bashi Media upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Beijing Bashi Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Beijing Bashi's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Beijing Bashi's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Beijing Bashi historical prices to predict the future Beijing Bashi's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1.244.307.36
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.473.536.59
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
1.204.267.32
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Beijing Bashi. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Beijing Bashi's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Beijing Bashi's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Beijing Bashi Media.

Beijing Bashi Media Backtested Returns

Beijing Bashi appears to be relatively risky, given 3 months investment horizon. Beijing Bashi Media secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.17, which signifies that the company had a 0.17% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. By analyzing Beijing Bashi's technical indicators, you can evaluate if the expected return of 0.52% is justified by implied risk. Please makes use of Beijing Bashi's Mean Deviation of 2.24, risk adjusted performance of 0.1134, and Downside Deviation of 3.39 to double-check if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Beijing Bashi holds a performance score of 13. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.23, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Beijing Bashi are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Beijing Bashi is likely to outperform the market. Please check Beijing Bashi's downside deviation, standard deviation, and the relationship between the semi deviation and coefficient of variation , to make a quick decision on whether Beijing Bashi's price patterns will revert.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.71  

Almost perfect reverse predictability

Beijing Bashi Media has almost perfect reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Beijing Bashi time series from 3rd of December 2023 to 31st of May 2024 and 31st of May 2024 to 27th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Beijing Bashi Media price movement. The serial correlation of -0.71 indicates that around 71.0% of current Beijing Bashi price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.71
Spearman Rank Test-0.53
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.32

Beijing Bashi Media lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Beijing Bashi stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Beijing Bashi's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Beijing Bashi returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Beijing Bashi has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Beijing Bashi regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Beijing Bashi stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Beijing Bashi stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Beijing Bashi stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Beijing Bashi Lagged Returns

When evaluating Beijing Bashi's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Beijing Bashi stock have on its future price. Beijing Bashi autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Beijing Bashi autocorrelation shows the relationship between Beijing Bashi stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Beijing Bashi Media.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Other Information on Investing in Beijing Stock

Beijing Bashi financial ratios help investors to determine whether Beijing Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Beijing with respect to the benefits of owning Beijing Bashi security.